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Why thank you for that. Check the numbers yourself. |
AussieDownUnder | 29 |
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Not really. It doesn't count OT points -- 19 OT games this year so far. Pure stats can't take injuries into consideration. B2B games with tired teams, etc. Yeah the percentages sound high, much more to the game than just pure numbers. I do pretty well with totals, but there is no sure thing. What's really interesting is tracking the TOTALs for teasers. The percentages get even higher, but then you have to be able to pick better than 74% of the time. Used to like teasers, but straight bets are really the only way to go. |
AussieDownUnder | 29 |
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Well stated. Thanks for the insight. |
AussieDownUnder | 29 |
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When two OVER teams meet, the game goes over about 85% of the time. For two UNDER teams, it's close to 89%. However, I don't count OTs. So two teams tied at the end of regulation and its UNDER let's say, I count the game as UNDER for my stats. I also watch 1H vesus 2H as pointed out. It's not perfect, but it does help for capping. For today, I like the UNDER for CLE-BOS and the OVER for NO-MIA. I'm not committed yet, still looking at the games. Just some ideas for you to ponder. |
AussieDownUnder | 29 |
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I think SAC is 5-0 ATS at home with at least one day's rest. LAC is 1-1 ATS on the road B2B. |
eskeerdo | 7 |
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Not counting tonight's results: TEAM ATS Wins |
Limitlessxp | 5 |
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Yeah, I saw that. I feel like a dunce passing on that. Figured as much after I got home. Just my luck. |
masterkush | 40 |
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PHI 41-27 1Q over NY and I chickened out on the ticket. Just great. |
masterkush | 40 |
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Figures ... watch 'em destroy NY in the first quarter. |
masterkush | 40 |
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They wanted PHI-4 1Q at the casino, shied away from it Hope I don't regret that. |
masterkush | 40 |
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Thanks and GL to you as well. |
masterkush | 40 |
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You're welcome MK. Thinking about PHI 1H as well, 10-1 SU 1H at home vs NY 2-11 SU 1H on the road. |
masterkush | 40 |
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POR an amazing 10-0 SU 1H at home this year, taking that bet as well. Don't have the historical lines on 1H, don't know ATS. |
masterkush | 40 |
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Maybe the OVER as well? |
RLeith35 | 2 |
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I hear ya. For me, in CFB it's San Diego State. I bet against, they win. Bet for them, they loose. For years. Same with the Hornets in pro hoops and Chicago Cubs in baseball. I just stay away. No rhyme or reason. I know the feeling. |
TheSquare | 16 |
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Nice pick with 1Q. Curious, why that pick? |
jaime2309 | 175 |
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And 7-0 UNDER last 7 road games as well. |
SuperSlapem | 12 |
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You're more than welcome, GL. |
masterkush | 37 |
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Keep in mind MIN not great on the road this year, kind of a disappointing year so far. Sometimes really hard to cap these games. Sorta have a lean on CLE in this one. GL. |
yorosan | 34 |
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ORL is 5-3 SU on the road this year. If you can get 'em +2 or so, 1Q might not be a bad bet. GS will own the 2nd half tho and ORL should tank by then. I can't find the historical 1Q odds anywhere, so I can only track the SU on 1Q. |
masterkush | 37 |
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