Using many different variables, Ive had a lot of success with the over/under.....The highest rated game has hit around 75% this year.
1) New Jersey/Carolina 11.10% chance of going OVER 5 Goals 2) LA Kings/ Minnesota 9.90% chance of going UNDER 5 Goals 3) Chicago/Nashville 8.74% Chance of of going OVER 5 Goals 4) Montreal/Washington 8.18% Change of going OVER 5 Goals 5) Calgary/Vancouver 3.42% Chance of going UNDER 5 Goals
Using many different variables, Ive had a lot of success with the over/under.....The highest rated game has hit around 75% this year.
1) New Jersey/Carolina 11.10% chance of going OVER 5 Goals 2) LA Kings/ Minnesota 9.90% chance of going UNDER 5 Goals 3) Chicago/Nashville 8.74% Chance of of going OVER 5 Goals 4) Montreal/Washington 8.18% Change of going OVER 5 Goals 5) Calgary/Vancouver 3.42% Chance of going UNDER 5 Goals
The percentages are based on many variables (average score per game, average goals given up, starting goalie, goals scored last 5 games...etc)...The Devils/Canes game is projected to go over. That game is projected to go over, (11.10%)...this does NOT mean that it has a 88.9% of going under. You should only bet the OVER. It hard to explain.
The percentages are based on many variables (average score per game, average goals given up, starting goalie, goals scored last 5 games...etc)...The Devils/Canes game is projected to go over. That game is projected to go over, (11.10%)...this does NOT mean that it has a 88.9% of going under. You should only bet the OVER. It hard to explain.
Looks like there was a change in net with the LA Kings, with Bernier in net, instead of Quick, their percentage goes to 8.08% change of going under, making it the fourth best game to bet, instead of the second.
Looks like there was a change in net with the LA Kings, with Bernier in net, instead of Quick, their percentage goes to 8.08% change of going under, making it the fourth best game to bet, instead of the second.
Best Games to Bet 1) Minnesota/Chicago 7.30% chance of going Over 5 goals 2) Ottawa/ NY Islanders 6.18% chance of going over 5.5 Goals 3) Boston/NY Ranger 4.56% chance of going over 5 Goals 4) Florida/Detriot 3.76% chance of going under 5.5 Goals 5) Edmenton/Anaheim 1.62% chance of going under 5.5 Goals
Best Games to Bet 1) Minnesota/Chicago 7.30% chance of going Over 5 goals 2) Ottawa/ NY Islanders 6.18% chance of going over 5.5 Goals 3) Boston/NY Ranger 4.56% chance of going over 5 Goals 4) Florida/Detriot 3.76% chance of going under 5.5 Goals 5) Edmenton/Anaheim 1.62% chance of going under 5.5 Goals
what do your numbers say about the Oilers @ Kings total? unfortunately NO goalies confirmed for that game yet. various sites say Dubnyk vs Quick "probable" although could be Khabib for the Oilers on the B2B.
what do your numbers say about the Oilers @ Kings total? unfortunately NO goalies confirmed for that game yet. various sites say Dubnyk vs Quick "probable" although could be Khabib for the Oilers on the B2B.
The numbers say that the Edmonton/LA Kings game goes UNDER 5 goals....But its not statistically significant, so it not as much of a sure thing as the Tampa Bay/Washington Game going OVER 5.5 Goals.....Whoever is in goal for Edmonton wont make much of a difference because Dubnyk gives up 2.67 GAA, and Khabibulin gives up 2.65 GAA........not much of the difference between them.
The numbers say that the Edmonton/LA Kings game goes UNDER 5 goals....But its not statistically significant, so it not as much of a sure thing as the Tampa Bay/Washington Game going OVER 5.5 Goals.....Whoever is in goal for Edmonton wont make much of a difference because Dubnyk gives up 2.67 GAA, and Khabibulin gives up 2.65 GAA........not much of the difference between them.
The numbers say that the Edmonton/LA Kings game goes UNDER 5 goals....But its not statistically significant, so it not as much of a sure thing as the Tampa Bay/Washington Game going OVER 5.5 Goals.....Whoever is in goal for Edmonton wont make much of a difference because Dubnyk gives up 2.67 GAA, and Khabibulin gives up 2.65 GAA........not much of the difference between them.
appreciate it, pgsj
I'm sceptical about the Caps @ Bugs OVER only because the Bugs bit me last time I bet them 5 1/2 OVER vs Winnipeg BUT your probably correct.
The numbers say that the Edmonton/LA Kings game goes UNDER 5 goals....But its not statistically significant, so it not as much of a sure thing as the Tampa Bay/Washington Game going OVER 5.5 Goals.....Whoever is in goal for Edmonton wont make much of a difference because Dubnyk gives up 2.67 GAA, and Khabibulin gives up 2.65 GAA........not much of the difference between them.
appreciate it, pgsj
I'm sceptical about the Caps @ Bugs OVER only because the Bugs bit me last time I bet them 5 1/2 OVER vs Winnipeg BUT your probably correct.
looking forward to tomorrow plays. maybe when you get some time you could give insight on how you apply your math to your games, whether its nba,MLB, or NHL. I wouldn't mind applying this system to MLB games this season. keep up the good work.
looking forward to tomorrow plays. maybe when you get some time you could give insight on how you apply your math to your games, whether its nba,MLB, or NHL. I wouldn't mind applying this system to MLB games this season. keep up the good work.
I'll post my picks in a couple of hours. I use a lot of variable in my system. For NHL, I look at such variables as goals scored/goals against, how the teams have played in their last 5 games, Goalies GAA, How each team offense/defense on the road/home.........each variable is weighted equally.....Its kind of complicated to explain.....I have applied it to MLB, NBA, and NFL, and it has worked well also....
I'll post my picks in a couple of hours. I use a lot of variable in my system. For NHL, I look at such variables as goals scored/goals against, how the teams have played in their last 5 games, Goalies GAA, How each team offense/defense on the road/home.........each variable is weighted equally.....Its kind of complicated to explain.....I have applied it to MLB, NBA, and NFL, and it has worked well also....
Second Best Game to Bet Florida/Winnipeg OVER 5 Goals
Third Best Game to Bet NY Rangers/Philadelphia OVER 5 Goals
****If your bookie gives you Pittsburgh/Boston at Over/Under 5.5 Goals instead of Over/Under 6 Goals.....betting this game OVER 5.5 would be your best Bet
Second Best Game to Bet Florida/Winnipeg OVER 5 Goals
Third Best Game to Bet NY Rangers/Philadelphia OVER 5 Goals
****If your bookie gives you Pittsburgh/Boston at Over/Under 5.5 Goals instead of Over/Under 6 Goals.....betting this game OVER 5.5 would be your best Bet
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