I just heard of a 2023 27-4 trend. Anyone care to confirm?
Favorites this year cover when: the closing total is >44 and the team was at least a 3.5 favorite the week prior.
I just heard of a 2023 27-4 trend. Anyone care to confirm?
Favorites this year cover when: the closing total is >44 and the team was at least a 3.5 favorite the week prior.
I just heard of a 2023 27-4 trend. Anyone care to confirm?
Favorites this year cover when: the closing total is >44 and the team was at least a 3.5 favorite the week prior.
The aggregate ATS record for the 10 previous seasons (2013-2022) is a virtually flat 353-365-15 (49.2%). This could just be a statistical anomaly.
I will pass on this. Good luck to the tailers and especially to the OP.
The aggregate ATS record for the 10 previous seasons (2013-2022) is a virtually flat 353-365-15 (49.2%). This could just be a statistical anomaly.
I will pass on this. Good luck to the tailers and especially to the OP.
@SPark1
I wish I had paid more attention to this, but it was only a Streak Survivor Pick taking New Orleans
The actual #s for the year prior to today's 2 wins was 18-4-1, below is a CSV you can use to see what the games were.
The push was really a loss, because -6 was the ending ATS line and everything before that was higher and a loss.
Week,Prev Closing Spread,Prev Week,Away Team, Away Total, Home Team, Home Total, Closing Total,Closing Spread,Wins,Losses,Pushes
2,3.5,1,Minnesota,28,Philadelphia,34,49,6,0,0,1
2,4,1,Kansas City,17,Jacksonville,9,50.5,3,1,0,1
3,5,2,Atlanta,6,Detroit,20,47.5,3,2,0,1
4,5,3,Miami,20,Buffalo,48,52,3,3,0,1
4,4.5,3,Seattle,24,NY Giants,3,46,2.5,4,0,1
5,10,4,Philadelphia,23,LA Rams,14,50,4,5,0,1
5,8.5,4,Kansas City,27,Minnesota,20,52,3.5,6,0,1
5,14.5,4,Dallas,10,San Francisco,42,45,3.5,7,0,1
6,3.5,5,Denver,8,Kansas City,19,47,10.5,8,0,1
6,13,5,Carolina,21,Miami,42,47,14,9,0,1
7,10.5,6,LA Chargers,17,Kansas City,31,48,6,10,0,1
7,6.5,6,Miami,17,Philadelphia,31,52,3,11,0,1
8,6,7,Kansas City,9,Denver,24,45.5,7,11,1,1
9,7.5,8,Miami,14,Kansas City,21,51,1,11,2,1
9,7,8,Dallas,23,Philadelphia,28,46.5,3,12,2,1
10,4.5,8,San Francisco,34,Jacksonville,3,44.5,3,13,2,1
10,7,8,Detroit,41,LA Chargers,38,49,2.5,14,2,1
11,6,10,Cincinnati,20,Baltimore,34,46.5,4,15,2,1
12,7.5,11,Green Bay,29,Detroit,22,47,8.5,15,3,1
12,11,11,Washington,10,Dallas,45,48,13.5,16,3,1
12,6.5,11,Jacksonville,24,Houston,21,48,1,17,3,1
12,4,11,Baltimore,20,LA Chargers,10,48.5,3,18,3,1
13,13.5,12,Seattle,35,Dallas,41,47.5,9,18,4,1
13,9.5,12,Miami,45,Washington,15,49.5,8.5,19,4,1
13,8.5,12,Detroit,33,New Orleans,28,48,4,20,4,1
@SPark1
I wish I had paid more attention to this, but it was only a Streak Survivor Pick taking New Orleans
The actual #s for the year prior to today's 2 wins was 18-4-1, below is a CSV you can use to see what the games were.
The push was really a loss, because -6 was the ending ATS line and everything before that was higher and a loss.
Week,Prev Closing Spread,Prev Week,Away Team, Away Total, Home Team, Home Total, Closing Total,Closing Spread,Wins,Losses,Pushes
2,3.5,1,Minnesota,28,Philadelphia,34,49,6,0,0,1
2,4,1,Kansas City,17,Jacksonville,9,50.5,3,1,0,1
3,5,2,Atlanta,6,Detroit,20,47.5,3,2,0,1
4,5,3,Miami,20,Buffalo,48,52,3,3,0,1
4,4.5,3,Seattle,24,NY Giants,3,46,2.5,4,0,1
5,10,4,Philadelphia,23,LA Rams,14,50,4,5,0,1
5,8.5,4,Kansas City,27,Minnesota,20,52,3.5,6,0,1
5,14.5,4,Dallas,10,San Francisco,42,45,3.5,7,0,1
6,3.5,5,Denver,8,Kansas City,19,47,10.5,8,0,1
6,13,5,Carolina,21,Miami,42,47,14,9,0,1
7,10.5,6,LA Chargers,17,Kansas City,31,48,6,10,0,1
7,6.5,6,Miami,17,Philadelphia,31,52,3,11,0,1
8,6,7,Kansas City,9,Denver,24,45.5,7,11,1,1
9,7.5,8,Miami,14,Kansas City,21,51,1,11,2,1
9,7,8,Dallas,23,Philadelphia,28,46.5,3,12,2,1
10,4.5,8,San Francisco,34,Jacksonville,3,44.5,3,13,2,1
10,7,8,Detroit,41,LA Chargers,38,49,2.5,14,2,1
11,6,10,Cincinnati,20,Baltimore,34,46.5,4,15,2,1
12,7.5,11,Green Bay,29,Detroit,22,47,8.5,15,3,1
12,11,11,Washington,10,Dallas,45,48,13.5,16,3,1
12,6.5,11,Jacksonville,24,Houston,21,48,1,17,3,1
12,4,11,Baltimore,20,LA Chargers,10,48.5,3,18,3,1
13,13.5,12,Seattle,35,Dallas,41,47.5,9,18,4,1
13,9.5,12,Miami,45,Washington,15,49.5,8.5,19,4,1
13,8.5,12,Detroit,33,New Orleans,28,48,4,20,4,1
week 14 looks like it'll be chiefs and dolphins. niners were only 3 point favs last week and chargers total is lower than 44 so they don't qualify
week 14 looks like it'll be chiefs and dolphins. niners were only 3 point favs last week and chargers total is lower than 44 so they don't qualify
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