The Astros sit as roughly as -150 favorite one night after closing at -185 yesterday. The 35-point swing is related to the talent difference in Game 1’s pitching matchup whereas tonight’s starters are valued evenly. The Yankees might have Aaron Judge (4-for-24 in the postseason) and Giancarlo Stanton (4-for-20), but the Astros have the edge on offense without a doubt. The bottom of the New York lineup is an easy place to pitch to as the five-through-nine hitters went a combined 2-for-23 last night. That’s in sharp contrast to the Astros, who have two batters in their bottom four who are hitting at least .368 in the postseason — Yuli Gurriel and Chas McCormick, both of whom went deep last night. Starting pitching is a wash when looking at edges as both Severino and Framber Valdez are solid postseason veterans with impressive numbers. The one thing with these pitchers is that Aaron Boone let Severino go over 100 pitches in his last start, which was a struggle in the early innings. Dusty Baker has no issues going to the pen if Valdez struggles with command and if this game settles in the later innings, the edge goes to the Houston bullpen. Houston finished with the best team ERA in the AL this season and that included the league’s best bullpen ERA at 2.80. This is a much deeper stable of relievers than the Yankees are using as New York even had to go to starter Frankie Montas late last game. Their middle relievers might be the best in baseball and the Yankees won’t likely see Valdez a third time unless the Houston lefty is dealing, which is possible too. Taking the visitors at +130 isn’t interesting to me at all today considering the advantages Houston has at home, in the bullpen, and in the lineup. With that being said, I like...
The Astros sit as roughly as -150 favorite one night after closing at -185 yesterday. The 35-point swing is related to the talent difference in Game 1’s pitching matchup whereas tonight’s starters are valued evenly. The Yankees might have Aaron Judge (4-for-24 in the postseason) and Giancarlo Stanton (4-for-20), but the Astros have the edge on offense without a doubt. The bottom of the New York lineup is an easy place to pitch to as the five-through-nine hitters went a combined 2-for-23 last night. That’s in sharp contrast to the Astros, who have two batters in their bottom four who are hitting at least .368 in the postseason — Yuli Gurriel and Chas McCormick, both of whom went deep last night. Starting pitching is a wash when looking at edges as both Severino and Framber Valdez are solid postseason veterans with impressive numbers. The one thing with these pitchers is that Aaron Boone let Severino go over 100 pitches in his last start, which was a struggle in the early innings. Dusty Baker has no issues going to the pen if Valdez struggles with command and if this game settles in the later innings, the edge goes to the Houston bullpen. Houston finished with the best team ERA in the AL this season and that included the league’s best bullpen ERA at 2.80. This is a much deeper stable of relievers than the Yankees are using as New York even had to go to starter Frankie Montas late last game. Their middle relievers might be the best in baseball and the Yankees won’t likely see Valdez a third time unless the Houston lefty is dealing, which is possible too. Taking the visitors at +130 isn’t interesting to me at all today considering the advantages Houston has at home, in the bullpen, and in the lineup. With that being said, I like...
Why not? HOU have the better lineup, this series won't be a sweep, the Yanks will take a couple of games, it very well may be this game, but why can't Hou win 5 in a row? Baseball is a streaky game.
Why not? HOU have the better lineup, this series won't be a sweep, the Yanks will take a couple of games, it very well may be this game, but why can't Hou win 5 in a row? Baseball is a streaky game.
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