ARIZONA +17.5 WILL COVER ...AND MAYBE WIN OUTRIGHT
THEY WILL SHOCK THE WORLD !!!
The best defense that Oregon has seen so far this season was against Cal. And that game was not pretty for the Ducks. This Arizona defense is better than California defense, especially against the run. Arizona defense is also ranked #12 in scoring in the nation. And while California 89th ranked offense could not do much against Oregon defense, this Arizona 19th ranked offense can do exactly what is needed to keep the ball away from Oregon. They can move the chains, both with their running and their passing game. And by the way, dont expect Arizona to be intimidated by Oregon. Arizona is the best ATS team in PAC 10 against Oregon since 2005 going 4-1 ATS and covering by 13 points per game on average. And Oregon had the better record in all 5 meetings. Arizona is also the best ATS dog in conference games vs PAC 10 foes since 2005 going 18-8 ATS when getting points from conference foes. Oregon has to win their last two games to play in the big game and there is no doubt that they can do it. But the question is, will they do it. This is the unknown territory for them and they are under huge pressure. I will not take anything away from them as they really deserved to be ubeaten on the season. Yes, they really played that well, and they were not helped by anyone in any game. Their next game is at Oregon State and Oregon is 1-8 ATS when favored before the ORST game. I have a feeling that one of the remaining Oregon opponents will take their scalp. And I also have a feeling that Oregon will go 0-2 ATS in those two games. This is BY FAR my strongest football shocker of the season. If this one wins, you will not see me brag about it. I will just be glad that I convinced some people to go with me. If this one loses my betting season will be over for one simple reason. I am betting $10 000 on this one at my books and thru a local here. If Arizona does not cover my betting accounts for 2010 will be emptied and I will not be reloading them until next season.
ARIZONA +17.5 WILL COVER ...AND MAYBE WIN OUTRIGHT
THEY WILL SHOCK THE WORLD !!!
The best defense that Oregon has seen so far this season was against Cal. And that game was not pretty for the Ducks. This Arizona defense is better than California defense, especially against the run. Arizona defense is also ranked #12 in scoring in the nation. And while California 89th ranked offense could not do much against Oregon defense, this Arizona 19th ranked offense can do exactly what is needed to keep the ball away from Oregon. They can move the chains, both with their running and their passing game. And by the way, dont expect Arizona to be intimidated by Oregon. Arizona is the best ATS team in PAC 10 against Oregon since 2005 going 4-1 ATS and covering by 13 points per game on average. And Oregon had the better record in all 5 meetings. Arizona is also the best ATS dog in conference games vs PAC 10 foes since 2005 going 18-8 ATS when getting points from conference foes. Oregon has to win their last two games to play in the big game and there is no doubt that they can do it. But the question is, will they do it. This is the unknown territory for them and they are under huge pressure. I will not take anything away from them as they really deserved to be ubeaten on the season. Yes, they really played that well, and they were not helped by anyone in any game. Their next game is at Oregon State and Oregon is 1-8 ATS when favored before the ORST game. I have a feeling that one of the remaining Oregon opponents will take their scalp. And I also have a feeling that Oregon will go 0-2 ATS in those two games. This is BY FAR my strongest football shocker of the season. If this one wins, you will not see me brag about it. I will just be glad that I convinced some people to go with me. If this one loses my betting season will be over for one simple reason. I am betting $10 000 on this one at my books and thru a local here. If Arizona does not cover my betting accounts for 2010 will be emptied and I will not be reloading them until next season.
dude... you don't need to need to do the "i will never post again" thing... not necessary...
you been killing it mostly, and i personally agree with this play... Oregon just isn't as good as people are thinking they are...
I know buddy but I am excited LOL. $10 000 is a lot of money and if I dont win this one I really wont be betting or posting plays until next season. No money, no capping, no betting, no posting !
dude... you don't need to need to do the "i will never post again" thing... not necessary...
you been killing it mostly, and i personally agree with this play... Oregon just isn't as good as people are thinking they are...
I know buddy but I am excited LOL. $10 000 is a lot of money and if I dont win this one I really wont be betting or posting plays until next season. No money, no capping, no betting, no posting !
So you are dumping your whole account of 10k on 1 game? Trust me, I understand going big on a game, but that is ridiculous. Make a bet of 1/2 your account and it will still be a large play, but if you lose you still have other options. From the sounds of the posts above you have been doing well capping games, why not just keep grinding away at it?
So you are dumping your whole account of 10k on 1 game? Trust me, I understand going big on a game, but that is ridiculous. Make a bet of 1/2 your account and it will still be a large play, but if you lose you still have other options. From the sounds of the posts above you have been doing well capping games, why not just keep grinding away at it?
Best of luck Clutch. That was tough the other night with Mississippi State. If that guy from Arkansas didn't fumble the ball at the end they would of ran out the clock and Miss St. covers the 3.5. I agree with you once again and will be on the pick.
Im sure I have not been winning as much as you with your last 15-16 picks because I have been teasing them together to get even more points. They have been cruise jobs for the most part. Good job so far and keep up the good work. Nice writeup.
Best of luck Clutch. That was tough the other night with Mississippi State. If that guy from Arkansas didn't fumble the ball at the end they would of ran out the clock and Miss St. covers the 3.5. I agree with you once again and will be on the pick.
Im sure I have not been winning as much as you with your last 15-16 picks because I have been teasing them together to get even more points. They have been cruise jobs for the most part. Good job so far and keep up the good work. Nice writeup.
LIke your play clutch but why not do half of your bank roll? Take the other half out and go ballin....and I am with you on this gm...waiting for everyone to pound the line up more....
LIke your play clutch but why not do half of your bank roll? Take the other half out and go ballin....and I am with you on this gm...waiting for everyone to pound the line up more....
It will be $$$$, like them outrite, everybody down on Arizona from recent losses, will make a statement to salvage season! Nobody would expect it the way Arizona has played last few weeks! They are far better than their record!
It will be $$$$, like them outrite, everybody down on Arizona from recent losses, will make a statement to salvage season! Nobody would expect it the way Arizona has played last few weeks! They are far better than their record!
I agree.........too many points to give. I like AZ as well...........would actually be more shocking if AZ didn't cover.
Agreed. This line is grossly inflated to accommodate the Oregon bandwagon which has already bumped it up a point. Smart money will hammer the Wildcats when they think the line has peaked.
I agree.........too many points to give. I like AZ as well...........would actually be more shocking if AZ didn't cover.
Agreed. This line is grossly inflated to accommodate the Oregon bandwagon which has already bumped it up a point. Smart money will hammer the Wildcats when they think the line has peaked.
I used to live in Tucson about a mile away from U of A campus and so I follow AZ football throughout each college season. They are not as good of a team as they appear on paper, and that defense is not as great as their numbers reflect. Stoops spends more time yelling than he does coaching and I believe that really hurts their team. HOWEVER, I do think AZ is talented in enough positions that they are capable of covering, and from the looks of it, the line will soon cross 20 pts and will be a solid play. I don't think it's so solid that you should put your whole bankroll on it though, especially if it is 10k. You should never put your whole bankroll on a game, after all, anything can happen. I was tempted this past weekend to drop the whole roll on Baltimore in the NFL, but I referred to my "bettor's rules" (one that I wrote for myself to help control my compulsive bets) and decided to drop just the double unit bet and won nicely. The "bankroll bet" would have been better, but had I lost, the season would have been over. Better to live to play another day than go around kicking yourself for a year. I will be riding the Wildcats too this week, but don't want to see anybody go down because The Ducks decided to make a statement (which they are very capable of doing, just ask Stanford). Just my two cents, good luck with however you play.
I used to live in Tucson about a mile away from U of A campus and so I follow AZ football throughout each college season. They are not as good of a team as they appear on paper, and that defense is not as great as their numbers reflect. Stoops spends more time yelling than he does coaching and I believe that really hurts their team. HOWEVER, I do think AZ is talented in enough positions that they are capable of covering, and from the looks of it, the line will soon cross 20 pts and will be a solid play. I don't think it's so solid that you should put your whole bankroll on it though, especially if it is 10k. You should never put your whole bankroll on a game, after all, anything can happen. I was tempted this past weekend to drop the whole roll on Baltimore in the NFL, but I referred to my "bettor's rules" (one that I wrote for myself to help control my compulsive bets) and decided to drop just the double unit bet and won nicely. The "bankroll bet" would have been better, but had I lost, the season would have been over. Better to live to play another day than go around kicking yourself for a year. I will be riding the Wildcats too this week, but don't want to see anybody go down because The Ducks decided to make a statement (which they are very capable of doing, just ask Stanford). Just my two cents, good luck with however you play.
bro, as much as i agree with the others bout maybe betting some of ur bankroll instead of slamming the whole amount on 1 game... but you're a grown man and if this is wat u wana do, then go for it bro.. but i wish u wud reconsider.. GL bro .. i hope u HIT DAT SHIT
bro, as much as i agree with the others bout maybe betting some of ur bankroll instead of slamming the whole amount on 1 game... but you're a grown man and if this is wat u wana do, then go for it bro.. but i wish u wud reconsider.. GL bro .. i hope u HIT DAT SHIT
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