ive been trying to analize them in more DEPTH and most seem to go OVER the total POSTED and i'm going to play most games today OVER and see how they fare
any additional thoughts are welcomed
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going to cap out yesterdays games
ive been trying to analize them in more DEPTH and most seem to go OVER the total POSTED and i'm going to play most games today OVER and see how they fare
any additional thoughts are welcomed
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going to cap out yesterdays games
Just remember, this is the time of year where alot of teams are in desperstion. Revenge games. last games, tourney placements and most of all resting players. OVER is always the safest bet because anything can happen and usually does. ITS A 50 / 50 bet, you just have to be on the right side.||an_speak.gif' border=0>
Just remember, this is the time of year where alot of teams are in desperstion. Revenge games. last games, tourney placements and most of all resting players. OVER is always the safest bet because anything can happen and usually does. ITS A 50 / 50 bet, you just have to be on the right side.||an_speak.gif' border=0>
i just totaled all games yesterday not counting Conferences and the totals were 31 OVERS and 22 unders and in various conferences the UNDER prevailed at 15 unders and 7 overs showing in the latter more competitive and teams ???? better def or less able to score. just found that intresting
i just totaled all games yesterday not counting Conferences and the totals were 31 OVERS and 22 unders and in various conferences the UNDER prevailed at 15 unders and 7 overs showing in the latter more competitive and teams ???? better def or less able to score. just found that intresting
goalinebob,
I did something yesterday just to see what woudl happen. I took every game where 70% or more of the public was on the game. There were a lot of them. And I won 65% or plus $3100.00!!!! (Not real money of course) Record was 15-8. Click on my name and see. I actualy was quite surprised!!!!
Interesting I thought. Maybe the public is not that stupid???? I would take 65% wins everyday!!!
I do agree with the Ohio St. game. Big 10 always plays in the 110-125 area.
goalinebob,
I did something yesterday just to see what woudl happen. I took every game where 70% or more of the public was on the game. There were a lot of them. And I won 65% or plus $3100.00!!!! (Not real money of course) Record was 15-8. Click on my name and see. I actualy was quite surprised!!!!
Interesting I thought. Maybe the public is not that stupid???? I would take 65% wins everyday!!!
I do agree with the Ohio St. game. Big 10 always plays in the 110-125 area.
think i'm gonna split them up into 3 groups for 5 bucks each and see if i can hit one.Mix and match what the hell why not ||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>
think i'm gonna split them up into 3 groups for 5 bucks each and see if i can hit one.Mix and match what the hell why not ||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>||an_roll_laugh.gif' border=0>
I have been riding Georgia Tech overs (and most in ACC when total is 150 or less) West Virginia overs and ALL UNDERS in the Big 10 - they play d and don't have a lot of scorers in that league - today I would favor Ohio St and the under
I have been riding Georgia Tech overs (and most in ACC when total is 150 or less) West Virginia overs and ALL UNDERS in the Big 10 - they play d and don't have a lot of scorers in that league - today I would favor Ohio St and the under
Bob, Totals are often hard to figure, as the one thing you cant factor into your handicapping is how well a team will shoot, what type of game will the refs call, tight, leading to more free throws or looser, letting them bang and perhaps harder to score inside with the contact allowed. I like to look at what kind of defense teams play as that ( to me anyway) is a more of a constant. even when teams shoot poorly they will still play good defense. also, you have to take into acct. what style of offense a team plays. for example, northwestern isnt a good team and they try to eat up a lot of shot clcok and shorten games. when they succeed in doing this their totals often stay under. a team that likes to press will often play over. fatigue and injuries can also play into a total, so in summation....there are no easy ways to handicap a total. look at the situation, matchups, and trends, and take your best guess.
Bob, Totals are often hard to figure, as the one thing you cant factor into your handicapping is how well a team will shoot, what type of game will the refs call, tight, leading to more free throws or looser, letting them bang and perhaps harder to score inside with the contact allowed. I like to look at what kind of defense teams play as that ( to me anyway) is a more of a constant. even when teams shoot poorly they will still play good defense. also, you have to take into acct. what style of offense a team plays. for example, northwestern isnt a good team and they try to eat up a lot of shot clcok and shorten games. when they succeed in doing this their totals often stay under. a team that likes to press will often play over. fatigue and injuries can also play into a total, so in summation....there are no easy ways to handicap a total. look at the situation, matchups, and trends, and take your best guess.
also take into consideration the line inflation from team's recent trends. on theory, every trend will eventually even up, so you've got to get them while they're hot. tourney time is a good time to start
gl today||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
also take into consideration the line inflation from team's recent trends. on theory, every trend will eventually even up, so you've got to get them while they're hot. tourney time is a good time to start
gl today||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
i find that in the meaningful conference ganes at the end of the season, and in the mid major conference tournaments, where teams are playing 3 games in 3 days and knowing they have to win the tourn. to get into the NCAA tourn, these teams usually kick up the defense a notch and a lot of these games go under. the duke / unc last night was a good example.
i find that in the meaningful conference ganes at the end of the season, and in the mid major conference tournaments, where teams are playing 3 games in 3 days and knowing they have to win the tourn. to get into the NCAA tourn, these teams usually kick up the defense a notch and a lot of these games go under. the duke / unc last night was a good example.
i know, BITCH, and you are a dumb fuck. you sit right here and tell me how kentucky will kick floridas ass, then you tease florida.....brilliant, simply brilliant...
i know, BITCH, and you are a dumb fuck. you sit right here and tell me how kentucky will kick floridas ass, then you tease florida.....brilliant, simply brilliant...
guys i went 7-1 on first 8 early games think there is something to this .2nd day in the ROWand went 8-3 in MLB
MLB record to date
sorry i was 8-3 hehehe
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
03/09/2008 8-3-0 72.73% +2360 Detail
03/08/2008 4-3-0 57.14% +140 Detail
03/06/2008 10-4-0 71.43% +2990 Detail
03/04/2008 5-2-0 71.43% +1100 Detail
03/03/2008 5-9-1 35.71% -1448 Detail
03/02/2008 4-6-0 40.00% -1465 Detail
03/01/2008 5-9-1 35.71% -2065 Detail
Totals 41-36-2 53.25% +1612
taking me a while but now kickin azz
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guys i went 7-1 on first 8 early games think there is something to this .2nd day in the ROWand went 8-3 in MLB
MLB record to date
sorry i was 8-3 hehehe
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
03/09/2008 8-3-0 72.73% +2360 Detail
03/08/2008 4-3-0 57.14% +140 Detail
03/06/2008 10-4-0 71.43% +2990 Detail
03/04/2008 5-2-0 71.43% +1100 Detail
03/03/2008 5-9-1 35.71% -1448 Detail
03/02/2008 4-6-0 40.00% -1465 Detail
03/01/2008 5-9-1 35.71% -2065 Detail
Totals 41-36-2 53.25% +1612
taking me a while but now kickin azz
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yeah uniden I did this for a couple weeks as my system and did well. If you play totals for team experts over 80% it normally eneded up in the positive.
yeah uniden I did this for a couple weeks as my system and did well. If you play totals for team experts over 80% it normally eneded up in the positive.
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