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I mainly use covers for last 10 in series matchups and to watch trends for away and home dogs last 7 vs ytd For example home dogs last 7 days are 3-13 or 18% seems like a good spot for a home pup or two tongiht. I agree betting trends is argueable becasue they know people are watching and numbers can easily be skewed. I use other sites to watch movement and volume. btw I am not pulling tigger on Cle. anymore but plugging in Dallas ML at boston which appears to be a revenge game for boston and plenty of rest for the old legs. I am strictly going off a trend in this series is all and gut instinct. G.L |
Mikado | 29 |
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I always fade teams that vegas is gifting short lines and public betting trends are pounding the Fave. So im with you on Orlando and Cle ML Another one standing out as too easy is Memphis. It makes no sense to me that the #1 away power ranked team is facing the 25th best home ranked team and Memphis has gotten plenty of rest after tough loss to Hawks. I have them as -9 to -10.5 favorites. Something smells here. While in my mind I can not see Pheonix winning this game. I am taking a shot with Suns ML as the line is off imo
GL |
Mikado | 29 |
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This is a great Line Vegas has put out. Spurs should be favored by -5.5 here if normal home court advantage applied. However Swat lake city has the 2cnd highest home power ranked advantage at 9.4 in the league. so potetnitally this line could be anywhere between Spurs +1 and -5.5 personally I like the home dog for other reasons. Jaz +3.5 |
Covers | 25 |
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Vegas has tipped their hand with the line too soft in favor of Hawks here. Should be between -6.5 and -8 The masses are drinking the kool-aide too.
Magic SU winner! |
Covers | 7 |
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I have Ravens by -3 to -5 on paper. That being said I dont think the Ravens cans exploit the terrible weak pass defense redskins have. Flacco needs to prove me otherwise. On the other hand I see redskins pounding the rock in so many different looks the Raves will have little time of possesion to air it out. It doesn't hurt that the majority of action is coming in on Ravens ML either. I can see the Skins getting a win |
ttplaya | 8 |
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Its not what I expect..... its what the data I use suggests they can win by. I am looking for "to good to be true plays" and fading them |
wheresdabeef | 12 |
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did he breath heavy? |
Johnnyclutch22 | 5 |
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broncos by 13 right where we expected em. Titans, Carolina, New Orleans all have my interest. G.L. |
wheresdabeef | 12 |
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* 22% not 12% btw home dogs are only 18% last 7 days and average 35% ish for the year WOOF WOOF |
doh917 | 5 |
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Yup mondays are good dog days so far. I think watching trends for home and away dogs is crutial as well. Going into last night the away dogs were hitting a lowly 12% over last 7 days therefore I rode both doggies ML to a huge payout. Thursday TNT games will flip flop as I suspect next week it will be Favorites while the public presses the dog button. |
doh917 | 5 |
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Under 182.5 in New Orleans. I am certian the books are baiting suckers into the over. Its Clear to me Memphis is saving ammunition for tommorows matchup at home vs the Hawks. The Hawks have dominated the series and Memphis at home lately. Memphis with a short line tonight is telling enough to wait for tommorow. Detriot ML While I can't argue with Detriot being overated and not really beating anyone worth merit. The Bulls minus Rose own Detriot and this is the shortest line at Detriot in a long time. So for me its "if not now then when?" Charlotte +7 Yes Milwakee is due for a win but I just don't have faith they are goin to blow the Bobcats out of the water. Deinatelty a strong home trend in this series however. I see value in Charlotte as they have shown not to fold this year. Orlando ML I really dont understand why Orlando isnt a pick em or slight favorite here. Except for the intent of the books to sucker in Queens money. Orlando has won 4 straight in Sac and despite the books trying to influence people. I don't see anything changing. Last night was good I had both dogs ML I really don't understand why people are playing Washington ats tonight. Hawks wont overlook this game because they are getting drubbed tommorow at Memphis and then they get to face Miami. Hawks could easlity be a -16 point favorite at home tonight if I was the bookmaker.
Good luck |
wheresdabeef | 2 |
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try pistons and orlando greed is in your way fridays have been brutal to dog hunters |
LV3 | 6 |
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I think the -2 on that game was luring Brooklyn bettors while the jury was still out on how well GS is. I agree this line is high but not by much I have nets by -4.6. So I am buying what the books are selling and willing to parlay Nets Moneyline as it seems stiff enough. |
Izzy_Action | 9 |
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on paper I get 110-93 very low total I agree perhaps Memphis is looking forward to Hawks at home tommorow. |
cashman12 | 13 |
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Line is half of what it should be. 1-11 on the road against top home team. smells like a junior high gymnasium before kids learn about hygeine. |
wheresdabeef | 2 |
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they are still in line to get there $13 nosebleed seats back. common man |
eddothebook | 8 |
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Once again the books are playing games with Carptors spread.I thinks its the only ploy they have to lure any action on Toronto.I just wonder when Torornto may actually be the play. This line should be -12 for Utah consider you have the current highest power rted home court advantage teams againts one of the worst road tems ranking 28th. Puzzling isn't it? |
Covers | 7 |
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Mavs win
KJ Marley Round mound of rebound All not playing
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kansaska | 3 |
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As expected.
The Knicks actually had the on paper advantage in many key areas. Give the Knicks props for taking back this series. They are the ones who had all the momentum and are hungry to make a statement.
Knicks have shown up lately and now are 3-1 against top 5 power ranke teams. The heat are 1-3 against top 5. |
wheresdabeef | 5 |
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And the mavs back in a familiar winning place.
At AZ. Gideeeup
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wheresdabeef | 1 |
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