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We're going to point out the garbage time TD the Browns got last week but not acknowledge the blocked punt TD Pittsburgh got to start the game ... or the 5 turnovers Cinci handed to Baltimore? I'll take the 7 in a divisional rivalry. |
Covers | 9 |
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I'm a Syracuse football and basketball season ticket holder. I'll tell you right now, USF is not as good as they looked against Syracuse. The Orange defense was (and still is) decimated for that game. They are starting walk-on caliber DE's and DB's. There were alot of receivers running open in the secondary that won't be doing the same against FSU. And USF's QB won't present NEARLY the problems for the 'Noles D that Jackson did. |
Covers | 15 |
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From what I'm seeing, the line opened at Houston -1 to -1.5 at most books. The very early money is usually sharp money and that pushed it all the way up to -3 at most books and then you saw public money come in and pound the pats all the way to a fav. And now you're seeing the sharp money come back in and gobble up the value. |
Covers | 42 |
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Also, Marshall only shoots 63% from the stripe. That is going to KILL them in this game as WVU oppenents attempt 24 FT's per game. 249th in the nation. Marshall is 314th in FT%. On top of that, Marshall is 7th in the country with 29.1 three pointers attempted per game and WVU is 1st in the country in opponent 3 point %. WVU also (no surprise) leads the nation in forced turnovers and Marshall turns the ball over 13+ times again. I'm going to put my money on WVU in this one. |
mikmak8902 | 14 |
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Thanks cmo. Nice breakdown. Yeah, this game is actually a neutral site game but I'm still liking WVU here but everything is screaming take Marshall. I was just surprised I didn't see a couple guys coming back from suspension or injury to explain the sudden reversal in quality of play from Marshall.
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mikmak8902 | 14 |
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Does anyone know what happened to the Marshall basketball team to make them win their last 3 by an average of 16pts after losing their first 6 games? I'm not seeing anyone coming back from injury. Am I missing something?
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mikmak8902 | 14 |
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Maryland needed a blocked put return TD to beat USF. USF!!! I'll take the cuse at home laying less than a fg.
And yes, that Nova game was a disaster for SU but as steve already pointed out. Terrel Hunt was booted from the game for throwing a punch early in the game. Syracuse still got out to a 17-7 lead in the early 3rd and looked to easily win until Nova returned a punt for a TD and stole back the momentum. They followed that debacle up with a trouncing of CMU (40-3) as they should have. I view the Nova game as a complete anomaly and the cuse is gaining value because of it.
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Covers | 16 |
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I was in this morning at KST +9. If my book goes below 7, I may try to middle this bad boy.
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Covers | 108 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mikmak8902: That game was 31-28 in the 4th quarter and Houston tacked on a 96yd pick 6 with :46 left. So actually, if UTSA put the ball in the end zone from the 4yd line instead of it going the other way, this is a 7pt game. Just to make sure we are keeping things in perspective. Missed a "1" ... that would be a 17pt game.
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Covers | 52 |
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Quote Originally Posted by FleshGordun: Last Year HOU 59 @ UTSA 28 O'Korn 24 fo 36 312 yds 4 TD 0 INT That game was 31-28 in the 4th quarter and Houston tacked on a 96yd pick 6 with :46 left. So actually, if UTSA put the ball in the end zone from the 4yd line instead of it going the other way, this is a 7pt game. Just to make sure we are keeping things in perspective.
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Covers | 52 |
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Quote Originally Posted by kingtomaz85: hey everybody, are there website that teaches how to read stats and numbers and handicap a line? i've been a loser for 10 years now. please help. thank you |
Covers | 106 |
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I'm confused. Some of you have mentioned that you are figuring Vegas set an artificially low line to get action on Utah. Wouldn't that force more action on UCLA? Or are you thinking that many bettors will see the movement from the artificially low line to the current line and translate the 3pt difference as value and play Utah?
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Covers | 62 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LIanafranks5: Just check the Pick the Pros site if you don't think anyone can go 14-1. There are people who go 15-0, 16-0 EVERY WEEK. It happens often, it's just not something that average cappers can do. But anyone can do it if they get lucky, especially if they have psychic insight it is more likely. That is how I was able to do it 2 weeks in a row. I know I couldn't just guess 28 out of 30 correctly. Here's the problem with your story. Anyone that consistently wins at the rate you apparently do, wouldn't get on here and gloat about it. In fact, you'd be too busy drinking Mai Tai's in the Caribbean to bother with this site at all. I'm not psychic ... I just know bullsh*t when I read it. Let's try this. Wen you post, stop telling us how good you are and simply post your insight. Over time, as you continually side with winners, you will be given all the respect you deserve.
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Covers | 39 |
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Thank you.
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mikmak8902 | 6 |
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I apologize. I thought I had it figured out on my own but apparently I'm not as brilliant as I previously thought. I hate to have you go through a lengthy answer if this has been discussed previously or if these are actually standard wagering calculations that can be found with a link to another page or site. I have tried to use the forum search to find this topic but I'm not coming up with anything.
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mikmak8902 | 6 |
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scratch this one ... i believe i have it figured out. Thanks.
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mikmak8902 | 6 |
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Hi all. I'm positive this must have been discussed here on the boards before but I cannot find it. Can someone please explain the vs league avg and difference columns in the stat analysis section of the matchups pages? I understand what would normally be meant by vs league avg but the numbers are not adding up to come up with the "difference" they are listing. Therefore, I cannot figure out what they are referencing. Can someone take a moment to explain this to me? Thank you.
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mikmak8902 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by El_Handicapper: Who did Houston beat? MIA, JAC, DEN & TEN all teams with losing records. Jets are 2-2 vs better competition. Jets plus the points with TEBOW. Sanchez loses and may not cover Who did the Jets beat? Miami in overtime and the Bills in a weird game where they had a punt return td and a def td. The two teams they lost to were SF and Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is not a very goo team and rocked them 27-10. SF absolutely dominated them. I'll take the team that has 3 blowouts against subpar competition and a quality win against denver.
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Covers | 150 |
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Hi guys. Feeling a little idiotic that I haven't figured this out yet but can someone explain the new matchup statistics (vs league avg) to me or point me to a post where this has already been discussed? I'm not seeing a correlation between any numbers and the DIFF. Maybe I'm just missing something. Thanks in advance.
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mikmak8902 | 2 |
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O/U in the BC/Clemson game is down to 118.5. That seems incredibly low for a game where we are expecting a let down by Clemson.
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TRoe15 | 24 |
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