LIVE Top 6th Sep 13
TB 2 -106 o8.0
CHC 3 -102 u8.0
LIVE Top 3rd Sep 13
BAL 2 +159 o8.5
TOR 0 -174 u8.5
PIT -112 o9.0
WAS +103 u9.0
TEX +141 o9.0
NYM -153 u9.0
DET -126 o8.5
MIA +116 u8.5
NYY -145 o8.5
BOS +133 u8.5
KC +126 o9.5
PHI -137 u9.5
CHW +152 o7.5
CLE -165 u7.5
AZ +118 o8.5
MIN -128 u8.5
HOU -131 o8.5
ATL +121 u8.5
STL +142 o7.5
MIL -155 u7.5
COL +306 o8.0
SD -350 u8.0
LAD -104 o7.5
SF -104 u7.5
LAA +198 o7.5
SEA -219 u7.5
CIN -112 o9.0
ATH +104 u9.0

New York @ Boston Picks & Props

NYY vs BOS Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Max Fried logo Max Fried u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Fried already has a 1.38 ERA across two starts this season versus Boston, surrendering just two earned runs across 13 innings of work. He’ll bring his best stuff.

Earned Runs Allowed
Max Fried logo Max Fried u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Max Fried has allowed just five earned runs over his last four starts. He should continue to build on that success vs. a Red Sox team that sits 19th in wOBA, 26th in ISO, and 29th in fly ball rate against lefties since August 1.

Total Hits
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story u1.5 Total Hits (-275)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Trevor Story's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.7-mph in the last 7 days.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.311) suggests that Trevor Story has had some very good luck this year with his .323 actual wOBA.. With a 5.28 K/BB rate this year, Trevor Story has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 4th percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Brayan Bello logo
Brayan Bello u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
Projection 4.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.. Due to his large platoon split, Brayan Bello will have a tough challenge matching up with 7 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today's outing.. Because flyball hitters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Brayan Bello and his 49.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position today being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats.. Brayan Bello's 94.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 95.7-mph mark.. Brayan Bello's 2160-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile among all SPs.
Total RBIs
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Ryan McMahon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Austin Wells has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. In the last week's worth of games, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 20%.
Total RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Trent Grisham projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+103)
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.
Total RBIs
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jasson Dominguez's footspeed has increased this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.
Total RBIs
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Trent Grisham projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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NYY vs BOS Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

NYY vs BOS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ryan McMahon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ryan McMahon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jasson Dominguez
J. Dominguez
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Jasson Dominguez's footspeed has increased this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Jasson Dominguez's footspeed has increased this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Austin Wells
A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Austin Wells has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. In the last week's worth of games, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 20%.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Austin Wells has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. In the last week's worth of games, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 20%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
J. Chisholm Jr.
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ben Rice Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Ben Rice
B. Rice
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ben Rice

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Cody Bellinger
C. Bellinger
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Giancarlo Stanton
G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph in recent games.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph in recent games.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.7% this season. Over the last 7 days, Jose Caballero's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .319 BABIP this year.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.7% this season. Over the last 7 days, Jose Caballero's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .319 BABIP this year.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Nick Sogard will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Nick Sogard will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Romy Gonzalez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Romy Gonzalez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Aaron Judge
A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Aaron Judge generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Boston

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nate Eaton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nate Eaton will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nate Eaton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Trevor Story has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Trevor Story has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

NYY vs BOS Preview

Last Meeting ( Sep 12, 2025 ) NY Yankees 4, Boston 1

The middle game of a high-stakes weekend series between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will feature a high-tier pitching matchup on Saturday afternoon.

NYY vs BOS Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'dispnum1' picks NY Yankees at (-135)

dispnum1 is #1 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (83-59-4) and +17700 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'dispnum1' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

dispnum1 is #1 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (83-59-4) and +17700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'faustobaez' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Over (8.5)

faustobaez is #1 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (52-37-6) and +16770 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'faustobaez' picks NY Yankees at (-134)

faustobaez is #1 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (52-37-6) and +16770 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Moneyline

'coach_d5' picks Boston at (136)

coach_d5 is #10 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (15-8-1) and +12970 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Moneyline

'hobo' picks Boston at (121)

hobo is #2 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (78-50-6) and +15730 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'hobo' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

hobo is #2 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (78-50-6) and +15730 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'TAURO1954' picks NY Yankees at (-134)

TAURO1954 is #2 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (72-48-7) and +16620 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'TAURO1954' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

TAURO1954 is #2 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (72-48-7) and +16620 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'faustobone' picks NY Yankees at (-135)

faustobone is #3 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (71-56-6) and +15335 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'faustobone' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Over (8.5)

faustobone is #3 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (71-56-6) and +15335 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'cucamonga' picks Boston at (121)

cucamonga is #4 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (43-29-4) and +15330 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'cucamonga' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

cucamonga is #4 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (43-29-4) and +15330 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'hilldog23' picks Boston at (132)

hilldog23 is #4 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (61-54-6) and +13825 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'hilldog23' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

hilldog23 is #4 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (61-54-6) and +13825 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'bjs129' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

bjs129 is #5 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (69-58-4) and +13700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'bjs129' picks NY Yankees at (-140)

bjs129 is #5 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (69-58-4) and +13700 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'JLayne' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

JLayne is #5 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (58-30-5) and +15270 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'mikeg1827' picks NY Yankees at (-135)

mikeg1827 is #8 on picking games that Boston is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +12995 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'mm76ers' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

mm76ers is #8 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (45-27-1) and +14525 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'mm76ers' picks Boston at (124)

mm76ers is #8 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (45-27-1) and +14525 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Moneyline

'catman650' picks NY Yankees at (-134)

catman650 is #9 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (72-45-7) and +13925 units on the season.

Moneyline
NYY
BOS
Moneyline
Total

'catman650' picks NY Yankees vs Boston to go Over (8.5)

catman650 is #9 on picking games that NY Yankees are in with a record of (72-45-7) and +13925 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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