HOU 2.0 o42.5
NYJ -2.0 u42.5
MIA 6.5 o49.5
BUF -6.5 u49.5
DAL 3.0 o51.5
ATL -3.0 u51.5
NO -7.0 o43.5
CAR 7.0 u43.5
LV 7.5 o46.0
CIN -7.5 u46.0
DEN 10.0 o46.5
BAL -10.0 u46.5
WAS -3.5 o44.0
NYG 3.5 u44.0
LAC -2.0 o43.0
CLE 2.0 u43.0
NE 3.5 o38.0
TEN -3.5 u38.0
CHI 1.0 o44.5
ARI -1.0 u44.5
JAC 7.5 o45.5
PHI -7.5 u45.5
LA -1.0 o48.5
SEA 1.0 u48.5
DET -3.0 o48.5
GB 3.0 u48.5
IND 5.0 o46.5
MIN -5.0 u46.5
TB 8.5 o46.0
KC -8.5 u46.0
Minnesota 3rd NFC North5-2
New York 4th NFC East2-6

Minnesota @ New York props

MetLife Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Bellinger
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Over
+112

The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in football. With an exceptional 89.4% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) last year, Daniel Bellinger rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) vs. TEs last year (78.6%).

Daniel Bellinger

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.9

The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in football. With an exceptional 89.4% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) last year, Daniel Bellinger rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) vs. TEs last year (78.6%).

Johnny Mundt Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Mundt
tight end TE • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus TEs last year (69.2%). The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Johnny Mundt

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus TEs last year (69.2%). The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Justin Jefferson Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Jefferson
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-121

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Justin Jefferson

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Aaron Jones Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

A. Jones
running back RB • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-127

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. With a lackluster 72.1% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) last year, Aaron Jones has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Aaron Jones

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. With a lackluster 72.1% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) last year, Aaron Jones has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Malik Nabers Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

M. Nabers
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Malik Nabers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Devin Singletary Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Singletary
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-152

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 9th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

Devin Singletary

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 9th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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