Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
+380

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 87th percentile for shots converted, compiling an enormous 6.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made overall this year while at home. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 87th percentile for shots converted, compiling an enormous 6.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made overall this year while at home. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
+110

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jamal Murray has played 37.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Jamal Murray stands to see a rise in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jamal Murray has played 37.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Jamal Murray stands to see a rise in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
42.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
42.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 8thworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 42.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
42.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 8thworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-111

Naz Reid has attempted 12.9 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 86th percentile for 3-pointers converted, tallying 2.0 per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Naz Reid

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Naz Reid has attempted 12.9 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 86th percentile for 3-pointers converted, tallying 2.0 per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-145

Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). Anthony Edwards has made a whopping 5.4 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 4.1 rate last year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). Anthony Edwards has made a whopping 5.4 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 4.1 rate last year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 94th percentile for shooting performance away from his home court with a remarkable 61.2% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The clash with Nikola Jokic measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs totaling an enormous 16.3 points per game this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 94th percentile for shooting performance away from his home court with a remarkable 61.2% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The clash with Nikola Jokic measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs totaling an enormous 16.3 points per game this year.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has made 47.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Reggie Jackson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted overall this year. Reggie Jackson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production across the board.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.8

Reggie Jackson has made 47.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Reggie Jackson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted overall this year. Reggie Jackson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production across the board.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-121

Christian Braun has converted 62.5% of his treys over the last 5 games, 27.9% higher than he's made from three in all games this season. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Christian Braun has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Christian Braun should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Christian Braun

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Christian Braun has converted 62.5% of his treys over the last 5 games, 27.9% higher than he's made from three in all games this season. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Christian Braun has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Christian Braun should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.9 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a strong matchup. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.9 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a strong matchup. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.0% more than he's made from three overall this year. Aaron Gordon has played 36.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played in all games this season. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. In comparison to last season's 1.7 rate, Aaron Gordon's bricked foul shots have regressed this season to 1.2 per game. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.0% more than he's made from three overall this year. Aaron Gordon has played 36.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played in all games this season. With respect to shots from downtown, the Nuggets's excellent 41.4% rate of drained threes places 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. In comparison to last season's 1.7 rate, Aaron Gordon's bricked foul shots have regressed this season to 1.2 per game. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 21.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 21.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for free-throw proficiency on the road with a great 88.8% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for free-throw proficiency on the road with a great 88.8% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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