Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jamal Murray has attempted 22.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jamal Murray has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 16.2% higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Jamal Murray has attempted 22.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jamal Murray has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 16.2% higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Mike Conley has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Mike Conley has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Mike Conley has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.0 higher than he's logged over the course of the season at home. Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. When defending fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. Nikola Jokic has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Nikola Jokic has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.0 higher than he's logged over the course of the season at home. Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. When defending fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. Nikola Jokic has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-132

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Christian Braun is expected to see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Christian Braun

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.9

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Christian Braun is expected to see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 23.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 23.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Rudy Gobert has made 61.2% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Nikola Jokic places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up an enormous 16.3 points per game this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Rudy Gobert has made 61.2% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Nikola Jokic places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up an enormous 16.3 points per game this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-132
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-132
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 21.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 93rd percentile for free throws converted away from his home court, putting up a monstrous 3.9 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 21.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 93rd percentile for free throws converted away from his home court, putting up a monstrous 3.9 per game this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Anthony Edwards has totaled 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's totaled overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have logged 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. Anthony Edwards has sunk 6.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Anthony Edwards has totaled 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's totaled overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have logged 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. Anthony Edwards has sunk 6.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 90th percentile for shooting performance with a stellar 57.5% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted and missed 1.2 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.7 rate last season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 90th percentile for shooting performance with a stellar 57.5% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted and missed 1.2 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.7 rate last season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Naz Reid has sunk 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Naz Reid has converted 2.1 treys per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Nikola Jokic places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up an enormous 16.3 points per game this year. Naz Reid has attempted 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Naz Reid has sunk 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Naz Reid has converted 2.1 treys per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Nikola Jokic places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up an enormous 16.3 points per game this year. Naz Reid has attempted 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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