Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25

Dallas @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
+136

Relative to last year's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's shooting performance has diminished this year to 69.4%. Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 treys per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Relative to last year's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's shooting performance has diminished this year to 69.4%. Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 treys per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-103

Relative to last year's 33.7% clip, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 42.5%. Jalen Williams has played 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Relative to last year's 33.7% clip, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 42.5%. Jalen Williams has played 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-113

Josh Giddey has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Josh Giddey has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.5
Best Odds
Over
-178
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.5
Best Odds
Over
-178
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, posting a whopping 33.5 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, posting a whopping 33.5 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-145

Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
+102

Kyrie Irving has converted 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Kyrie Irving has averaged 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Kyrie Irving has converted 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Kyrie Irving has averaged 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-166

Luguentz Dort has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 28.6 minutes per game at home this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Luguentz Dort has sunk 92.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Luguentz Dort has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 28.6 minutes per game at home this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Luguentz Dort has sunk 92.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has made an impressive 50.4% of his three-point shots this season, significantly more than his 36.9 rate last season. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Aaron Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Aaron Wiggins will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Aaron Wiggins has made an impressive 50.4% of his three-point shots this season, significantly more than his 36.9 rate last season. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Aaron Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Aaron Wiggins will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his shots from downtown away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game. Dereck Lively II ought to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his shots from downtown away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game. Dereck Lively II ought to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-133
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-133
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's been called for in all games this season. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a difficult matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. In comparison to last season's 73.3% clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s free-throw ability has tailed off this season to 64.3%. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's been called for in all games this season. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a difficult matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. In comparison to last season's 73.3% clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s free-throw ability has tailed off this season to 64.3%. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 85th percentile for shots from the field sunk, tallying an enormous 6.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 29.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 6.1 buckets per game (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 85th percentile for shots from the field sunk, tallying an enormous 6.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 29.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 6.1 buckets per game (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 29.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 83rd percentile for scoring effectiveness with the home court advantage with a phenomenal 54.1% rate this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 29.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 83rd percentile for scoring effectiveness with the home court advantage with a phenomenal 54.1% rate this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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