Chicago 9th Eastern Conference39-43
Miami 8th Eastern Conference46-36
ESPN, Sportsnet

Chicago @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Javonte Green Points Scored Props • Chicago

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Javonte Green has sunk 60.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last year's 30.7% rate, Javonte Green's three-point proficiency has risen this year to 42.6%. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Javonte Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Javonte Green has sunk 60.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last year's 30.7% rate, Javonte Green's three-point proficiency has risen this year to 42.6%. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Chicago

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Chicago Bulls have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Bulls will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line. DeMar DeRozan stands to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

The Chicago Bulls have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Bulls will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line. DeMar DeRozan stands to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Under
-115

In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Love rates in the 76th percentile for three-point attempts, registering 4.4 per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.0% more than he's made overall this season. Kevin Love ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Kevin Love

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Love rates in the 76th percentile for three-point attempts, registering 4.4 per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.0% more than he's made overall this season. Kevin Love ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Caleb Martin has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line. Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Caleb Martin has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line. Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-120

In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.7). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.7). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Alex Caruso has successfully made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while on the road. Alex Caruso has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has sunk 83.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Alex Caruso has successfully made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while on the road. Alex Caruso has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has sunk 83.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 10.6 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Bulls, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In regard to shooting, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.1 points per game while playing at home ranks 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 10.6 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Bulls, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Ayo Dosunmu Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Dosunmu
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Ayo Dosunmu has made 56.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing away from home. Ayo Dosunmu has made 51.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while on the road. Ayo Dosunmu has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 8.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Ayo Dosunmu

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Ayo Dosunmu has made 56.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing away from home. Ayo Dosunmu has made 51.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while on the road. Ayo Dosunmu has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 8.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup. The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has successfully made 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Terry Rozier has averaged 31.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Terry Rozier stands to see an increase in productivity across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Terry Rozier has successfully made 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Terry Rozier has averaged 31.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Terry Rozier stands to see an increase in productivity across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-101

Nikola Jovic has converted an impressive 40.4% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 21.7 mark last season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 31.1% higher than he's converted overall this season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Nikola Jovic has converted an impressive 40.4% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 21.7 mark last season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 10th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 31.1% higher than he's converted overall this season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Nikola Vucevic has sunk 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Nikola Vucevic has sunk 41.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic places in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game this year. The number of treys attempted against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (1.9 per game) when playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Nikola Vucevic has sunk 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Nikola Vucevic has sunk 41.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic places in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game this year. The number of treys attempted against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (1.9 per game) when playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Coby White has successfully made 10.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Compared to last year's 4.6 clip, Coby White's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 7.0 per game. Relative to last season's 23.5 mark, Coby White's playing time has spiked this season to 36.6 minutes per game. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Coby White

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Coby White has successfully made 10.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Compared to last year's 4.6 clip, Coby White's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 7.0 per game. Relative to last season's 23.5 mark, Coby White's playing time has spiked this season to 36.6 minutes per game. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Bulls have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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