Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+380
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand today. David Hamilton has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand today. David Hamilton has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

A. Jackson
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

Alex Jackson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alex Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Alex Jackson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+245
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his batting average skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+265
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+245
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage today. Dominic Smith has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage today. Dominic Smith has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Cooper Criswell will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Cooper Criswell will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Vaughn Grissom has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Vaughn Grissom has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Isaac Paredes sports a .392 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Isaac Paredes sports a .392 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Tropicana Field has the shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has put up a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Tropicana Field has the shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has put up a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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