SNLA, SDPA

Los Angeles @ San Diego props

Petco Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+2200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+2200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .286 rate is considerably lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .286 rate is considerably lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Pages
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+750
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+750
Projection Rating

Andy Pages has been hot lately, batting his way to a .351 wOBA in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very toolsy.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Andy Pages has been hot lately, batting his way to a .351 wOBA in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very toolsy.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+600
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today's game. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today's game. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+350
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+350
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In terms of his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year. His .258 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers. Teoscar Hernandez's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In terms of his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year. His .258 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers. Teoscar Hernandez's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .386 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .386 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+260
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Campusano is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Luis Campusano's launch angle since the start of last season (25.7°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luis Campusano's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Campusano is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Luis Campusano's launch angle since the start of last season (25.7°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .293.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .209 figure is deflated compared to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .209 figure is deflated compared to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

G. Lux
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has had some very poor luck this year with his .229 actual wOBA.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has had some very poor luck this year with his .229 actual wOBA.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-213
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-213
Projection Rating

Petco Park profiles as the #28 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Petco Park profiles as the #28 stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck given the .084 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck given the .084 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .297 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .297 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) suggests that Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) suggests that Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Mookie Betts projects as the 8th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Mookie Betts's 12.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. Ranked in the 95th percentile, Mookie Betts has one of the highest average exit velocities in baseball since the start of last season (92.4-mph).

Mookie Betts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mookie Betts projects as the 8th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Mookie Betts's 12.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. Ranked in the 95th percentile, Mookie Betts has one of the highest average exit velocities in baseball since the start of last season (92.4-mph).

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.22 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile. By putting up a .312 batting average this year, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.22 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile. By putting up a .312 batting average this year, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 93rd percentile.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, James Outman will have an advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263. James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season. James Outman has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, James Outman will have an advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263. James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season. James Outman has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Will Smith Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

W. Smith
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Will Smith has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .363 figure is a fair amount higher than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).

Will Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Will Smith has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .363 figure is a fair amount higher than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.9% rate since the start of last season).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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