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Houston @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+448
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+448
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball hitters like Victor Caratini tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Ranked in the 87th percentile, Victor Caratini has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (91.3-mph).

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Extreme flyball hitters like Victor Caratini tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Ranked in the 87th percentile, Victor Caratini has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (91.3-mph).

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+236
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+236
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Based on Statcast data, Jeremy Pena grades out in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Based on Statcast data, Jeremy Pena grades out in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .071 difference. Gleyber Torres has recorded a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .071 difference. Gleyber Torres has recorded a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jose Altuve's quickness has improved this season. His 26.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.65 ft/sec now. Jose Altuve and his 16.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jose Altuve's quickness has improved this season. His 26.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.65 ft/sec now. Jose Altuve and his 16.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Bregman has had some very poor luck given the .089 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Bregman has had some very poor luck given the .089 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.

Jonathan Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Singleton
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+395
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+395
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge in today's game. Jon Singleton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. By putting up a 1.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jon Singleton has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Jonathan Singleton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge in today's game. Jon Singleton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. By putting up a 1.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jon Singleton has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+252
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+252
Projection Rating

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Trey Cabbage Total Hits Props • Houston

T. Cabbage
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Cabbage in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Trey Cabbage is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Trey Cabbage

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.4

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Cabbage in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Trey Cabbage is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in the majors. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez's true offensive talent to be a .403, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .074 deviation between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in the majors. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez's true offensive talent to be a .403, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .074 deviation between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Aaron Judge has experienced some negative variance this year with his .220 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Aaron Judge has experienced some negative variance this year with his .220 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Justin Verlander. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .293 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Justin Verlander. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .293 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. Juan Soto is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. Juan Soto is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Yainer Diaz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Yainer Diaz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is a good deal higher than his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Yainer Diaz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Yainer Diaz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is a good deal higher than his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage today. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .230 figure is a good deal lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage today. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .230 figure is a good deal lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Mauricio Dubon's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mauricio Dubon has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Mauricio Dubon has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .278 rate is quite a bit lower than his .293 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .282 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 90th percentile.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mauricio Dubon's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mauricio Dubon has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Mauricio Dubon has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .278 rate is quite a bit lower than his .293 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .282 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 90th percentile.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.284) provides evidence that Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some positive variance this year with his .307 actual wOBA. Giancarlo Stanton's 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.284) provides evidence that Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some positive variance this year with his .307 actual wOBA. Giancarlo Stanton's 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Anthony Volpe has had positive variance on his side this year. His .319 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.53 ft/sec this year, Anthony Volpe is remarkably athletic.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Anthony Volpe has had positive variance on his side this year. His .319 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.53 ft/sec this year, Anthony Volpe is remarkably athletic.

Jon Berti Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Berti
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Jon Berti generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Jon Berti will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jon Berti

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Jon Berti generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Jon Berti will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Loperfido
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Joey Loperfido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. Austin Wells is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 rate is deflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's game. Austin Wells is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 rate is deflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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