NBC Bay Area, NBCSP

San Francisco @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+950
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+950
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Tyler Fitzgerald is notably fast, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.79 ft/sec this year.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Tyler Fitzgerald is notably fast, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.79 ft/sec this year.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+750
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+750
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's game.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's game.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+360
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+360
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Chapman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .267 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308. Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Chapman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .267 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308. Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.96 ft/sec now. In notching a .350 BABIP since the start of last season, Johan Rojas grades out in the 90th percentile.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.96 ft/sec now. In notching a .350 BABIP since the start of last season, Johan Rojas grades out in the 90th percentile.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Thairo Estrada has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .256 figure is a good deal higher than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Thairo Estrada has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .256 figure is a good deal higher than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jakson Reetz Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Reetz
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+320
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+320
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Jakson Reetz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. This year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 48% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. The #5 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-worst among every team today.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. This year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 48% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. The #5 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-worst among every team today.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • San Francisco

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Nick Ahmed has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Nick Ahmed and his 46.3% since the start of last season rank in the 79th percentile by this measure.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Nick Ahmed has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Nick Ahmed and his 46.3% since the start of last season rank in the 79th percentile by this measure.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck this year. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck this year. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 98th percentile. Wilmer Flores has notched a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 98th percentile. Wilmer Flores has notched a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's game.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's game.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive ability to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .095 gap between that figure and his actual .222 wOBA.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive ability to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .095 gap between that figure and his actual .222 wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Daulton Jefferies throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Daulton Jefferies throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is very athletic, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is very athletic, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Marsh in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Daulton Jefferies will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Marsh in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has posted a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has posted a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Blake Sabol will have an advantage today. Blake Sabol has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Since the start of last season, Blake Sabol's 11.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Blake Sabol will have an advantage today. Blake Sabol has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Since the start of last season, Blake Sabol's 11.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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