Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Boston

Z. Short
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+1200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+1200
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+500
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Wilyer Abreu has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.74 ft/sec to 27.23 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Wilyer Abreu has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.74 ft/sec to 27.23 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jose Miranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .341 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro has performed in the 90th percentile.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .341 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro has performed in the 90th percentile.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

Vaughn Grissom's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Sporting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Vaughn Grissom finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Vaughn Grissom's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Sporting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Vaughn Grissom finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Dominic Smith has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (85th percentile). As it relates to plate discipline, Dominic Smith's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.97 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Dominic Smith has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (85th percentile). As it relates to plate discipline, Dominic Smith's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.97 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+255
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Alex Kirilloff will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Alex Kirilloff will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Rob Refsnyder has been hot of late, tallying a .452 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Rob Refsnyder has been hot of late, tallying a .452 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston

G. Cooper
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Garrett Cooper's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) provides evidence that Garrett Cooper has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Garrett Cooper's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) provides evidence that Garrett Cooper has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In notching a .356 BABIP since the start of last season, Reese McGuire finds himself in the 91st percentile.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In notching a .356 BABIP since the start of last season, Reese McGuire finds himself in the 91st percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his batting average, Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is very athletic.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his batting average, Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is very athletic.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Trevor Larnach's 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Trevor Larnach's 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Connor Wong has been hot lately, batting his way to a .402 wOBA over the last two weeks. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Connor Wong has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), grading out in the 79th percentile.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Connor Wong has been hot lately, batting his way to a .402 wOBA over the last two weeks. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Connor Wong has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), grading out in the 79th percentile.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Max Kepler will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Max Kepler grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Max Kepler will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Max Kepler grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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