SDPA, ARID

San Diego @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suárez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+1500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+1500
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Eugenio Suárez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Matt Waldron today. In today's game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (79th percentile). Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.75 ft/sec currently. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Matt Waldron today. In today's game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (79th percentile). Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.75 ft/sec currently. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is deflated compared to his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is deflated compared to his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .253 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .253 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-256
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-256
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a high rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a high rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Pederson
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Newman
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Newman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Newman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Tucker Barnhart Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Barnhart
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Tucker Barnhart will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tucker Barnhart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tucker Barnhart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Tucker Barnhart will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tucker Barnhart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • San Diego

K. Higashioka
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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