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Detroit @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+2200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+2200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Alex Verdugo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Alex Verdugo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+500
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Javier Baez will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) implies that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .216 actual wOBA.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Javier Baez will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) implies that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .216 actual wOBA.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Despite posting a .184 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has experienced some negative variance given the .113 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Despite posting a .184 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has experienced some negative variance given the .113 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+400
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .323 rate is a good deal higher than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .323 rate is a good deal higher than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+475
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+475
Projection Rating

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .185 actual batting average. Using Statcast data, Parker Meadows ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337. Parker Meadows is remarkably quick, checking in at the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year.

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .185 actual batting average. Using Statcast data, Parker Meadows ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337. Parker Meadows is remarkably quick, checking in at the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Extreme flyball hitters like Riley Greene generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Riley Greene has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Extreme flyball hitters like Riley Greene generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Riley Greene has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+255
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Matt Vierling will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Matt Vierling will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Ibanez
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+240
Projection Rating

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Andy Ibanez will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Andy Ibanez grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season). Andy Ibanez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Andy Ibanez will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Andy Ibanez grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season). Andy Ibanez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an edge in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wenceel Pérez Total Hits Props • Detroit

W. Pérez
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Over the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .402. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Wenceel Perez is remarkably quick.

Wenceel Pérez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today. Over the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .402. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Wenceel Perez is remarkably quick.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game. Juan Soto has compiled a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game. Juan Soto has compiled a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have the upper hand today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have the upper hand today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) may lead us to conclude that Oswaldo Cabrera has experienced some negative variance this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) may lead us to conclude that Oswaldo Cabrera has experienced some negative variance this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Mark Canha will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Mark Canha has put up a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Mark Canha will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Mark Canha has put up a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Rizzo ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Anthony Rizzo's launch angle since the start of last season (24.9°) is in the 94th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Rizzo ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Anthony Rizzo's launch angle since the start of last season (24.9°) is in the 94th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jose Trevino will have an edge in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .229 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jose Trevino will have an edge in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .229 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Spencer Torkelson is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive talent to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .075 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Spencer Torkelson is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive talent to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .075 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA.

Jon Berti Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Berti
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jon Berti will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Jon Berti will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jon Berti

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jon Berti will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams today. Jon Berti will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jake Rogers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jake Rogers will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .213 rate is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Jake Rogers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jake Rogers will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .213 rate is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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