Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (85th percentile). As it relates to plate discipline, Dominic Smith's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 77th percentile.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (85th percentile). As it relates to plate discipline, Dominic Smith's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 77th percentile.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+800
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+800
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston

G. Cooper
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+500
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+500
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Wilyer Abreu has been hot in recent games, putting up a .390 wOBA in the last week's worth of games.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Wilyer Abreu has been hot in recent games, putting up a .390 wOBA in the last week's worth of games.

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Miranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Tyler O'Neill has been hot in recent games, posting a .463 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Tyler O'Neill has been hot in recent games, posting a .463 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+295
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+295
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-189
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-189
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers in today's game. Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Rafael Devers's launch angle since the start of last season (30°) is in the 12th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers in today's game. Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Rafael Devers's launch angle since the start of last season (30°) is in the 12th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Connor Wong has been hot of late, cruising to a .400 wOBA in the past week's worth of games. Grading out in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Connor Wong has been hot of late, cruising to a .400 wOBA in the past week's worth of games. Grading out in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball Connor Wong has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Edouard Julien will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Edouard Julien will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year, posting a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .053 deviation. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably athletic.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year, posting a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .053 deviation. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably athletic.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 114.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 114.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Max Kepler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Max Kepler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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