Today, we have the first Champions League semi-final as Bayern Munich hosts Real Madrid. These are two blue-blood teams with incredible European pedigree who haven’t met in a competitive game since 2018.
This game will feature world-class talent like Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, and Leroy Sane all playing. Don’t miss our Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid tips and predictions and Champions League picks on Tuesday, April 30.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid picks and predictions
My best bet:
Real Madrid to win and both teams to score (+370 at TonyBet )
My analysis
We’ve got a blockbuster Champions League game ahead of us this Tuesday with Bayern Munich hosting Real Madrid, two giants who account for 20 European Cup wins between them. Both teams have some absent stars but Bayern's Jamal Musiala and Madrid's Jude Bellingham are expected to be deemed fit to play despite questionable tags.
Real Madrid are on course to win La Liga while Bayern Munich have already lost their title to Leverkusen and these teams feel in very different places now. Real are in the middle of a rebuilding process, but they’re already the best team in Spain with more big additions — Kylian Mbappe, perhaps? — to come in this summer. In Munich, they feel like a team that needs a rebuild. They're not playing well and the aging talent they do have needs to move on.
With Harry Kane up front, Bayern are always good to score a goal and they’ll likely manage to get one in front of their home crowd, but it’s hard to see them beating a Real Madrid team that has consistently shown up in big moments this season.
We’ve already seen Real score several late winners, and they always find ways to grind out victories when they’re being outplayed, as they were by Man City in the last round. This team has many serial winners and mentally tough young players.
With Real having both experience and an elite mentality, it’ll give them the edge. Their defense has been far better than Bayern Munich's, who have allowed 38 Bundesliga goals compared to Real’s 22 in La Liga.
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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid same-game parlay (SGP)
Real Madrid to win
Harry Kane to score
Jude Bellingham to score
In addition to the best bet, we’re backing a pair of England internationals to score. Firstly, Harry Kane has already scored seven in 10 Champions League games this season on top of 35 in 31 Bundesliga games. He’s the main man for Bayern and their most dangerous asset.
Kane’s countryman, and Real Madrid star, Jude Bellingham is another player who has stepped up with several clutch goals this season. He’s the man for the big occasion and has four in eight Champions League games and 17 in 25 La Liga appearances.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid odds
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid live odds
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid opening odds
- Moneyline: Bayern Munich +129 | Real Madrid +185
- Draw: +255
- Over/Under: Over 3 (+106) | Under 3 (-135)
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid side and Over/Under analysis
- Bayern Munich are favorites at +143 with Real Madrid at +185 and the draw at +265.
- Bayern Munich’s last competitive win over Real Madrid was in 2012. In the six games since there’s been five Real wins and one draw.
- Over 2.5 goals is listed at -148 favorite and Under 2.5 is +125
- Over 2.5 goals landed in the first leg of both Bayern and Real’s quarterfinal games.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid game info
| Location: | Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany |
| Date: | Tuesday, 4-30-2024 |
| Time: | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBS |
| Weather: | Mix of sun and cloud, 50-53 degrees, 12 mph winds, 38.7% POP |
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid key injuries
Bayern Munich: Serge Gnabry FWR (Out), Kingsley Coman FWR (Out), Leroy Sane FWR (Out), Dayot Upamecano CB (Out), Jamal Musiala FWR (Questionable), Konrad Laimer CM (Questionable), Matthijs de Ligt CB (Questionable).
Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtois GK (Out), David Alaba DEF (Out), Dani Carvajal RB (Out), Ferland Mendy LB (Questionable), Jude Bellingham CAM (Questionable), Rodrygo FWR (Questionable).
Not intended for use in MA.
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