The New York Rangers and Colorado Avalanche both pulled off comeback wins in overtime on Tuesday, and they’ll look to keep the good times rolling on the road Thursday.
Colorado can grab a 2-0 series lead with a road win over the Dallas Stars, while New York can put the Carolina Hurricanes on the brink of elimination with a road win of its own. I’m anticipating another two more close games with so much on the line, and it’s the two home teams trading as the betting favorites.
Here are my top NHL picks for the two-game slate on May 9.
NHL prop picks and best bets for May 9
- Necas Over 2.5 shots (-141 at BET99)
- Miller Over 1.5 blocked shots (-135 at BET99)
- Robertson Over 2.5 shots (-105 at BET99)
Picks made on 5-9 at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Today’s NHL prop picks and best bets
Prop bet #1: Necas on net
There’s a notable gap in Martin Necas’ shot volume on home ice and the highway, and he’s cleared this total in two of three games at PNC Arena during the postseason. Necas has also posted a team-high 3.3 shots per game and 11.4 shots per 60 minutes at home compared to respective 2.7 and 9.33 marks on the road, and I’m expecting improved shooting efficiency from him in Game 3.
Necas has registered five shots on 18 attempts (27.7%) through the first two games of the series, and he converted attempts into shots at a 52.6% clip during the regular season. I also value these Martin Necas odds because he’s recorded a 60.3 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5 in the series and is the No. 1 shooter on the second power-play unit.
Martin Necas prop: Over 2.5 shots (-141 at BET99)
Prop bet #2: Block party at PNC
The Carolina Hurricanes paced the NHL in shot attempts per 60 minutes (70.21) during the regular season, and they’re up to 85.0 per 60 during the postseason. Simply put, this is a perfect setup for New York Rangers defenseman K'Andre Miller to sail Over this 1.5 total, and he’s recorded two or more blocks in four of six playoff games.
Miller defends on the No. 2 penalty-kill unit with an average of 3:02 of shorthanded ice time per game while also posting a 46.0 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5 in the playoffs. These K'Andre Miller odds also stood out because he hasn’t been as effective in the possession game on the road.
Miller jumped to 19.7 defensive faceoffs per 60 minutes and dropped to a 44.9 CF% on the highway at 5-on-5 during the regular season compared to 17.58 and 52.2 marks at Madison Square Garden.
K'Andre Miller prop: Over 1.5 blocked shots (-135 at BET99)
Prop bet #3: Robertson rallies back
Dallas Stars winger Jason Robertson has been beyond quiet the past three games with just two shots on six attempts, and head coach Pete DeBoer called out his struggling scorers following Tuesday’s Game 1 loss to the Colorado Avalanche.
DeBoer also threw his lines in the blender in Game 1 while Colorado cruised back from a three-goal deficit, and Robertson still paced Dallas forwards in ice time (26:06). Robertson’s go-to gig isn’t in jeopardy, and he’s also the primary shooter on the No. 1 power-play unit.
I’m expecting Robertson to rally back and tally up the shots column in Game 2. He paced the Stars in shots (231) and attempts (477) during the regular season and registered three or more shots in six of seven contests dating back to the regular season before this three-game disappearing act.
Finally, I’m always on the lookout for high-volume shooters who often trade at a 3.5 total and drop to 2.5, and these Jason Robertson odds have my attention all the more because there isn’t a crippling vig.
Jason Robertson prop: Pick (-105 at BET99)
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