As the NBA season hits the final leg, the NBA Rookie of the Year odds seem all but locked up, with a Spurs freshman on track to win for the second straight year.
Here are the latest NBA odds to win Rookie of the Year, with Stephon Castle the massive favorite.
Latest odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Stephon Castle |
-1200 |
 Alexandre Sarr |
+1100 |
 Zaccharie Risacher |
+1100 |
 Zach Edey |
+12500 |
| Jaylen Wells |
+15000 |
 Isaiah Collier |
+15000 |
 Matas Buzelis |
+15000 |
 Kel'el Ware |
+20000 |
Favorites to win NBA Rookie of the Year
San Antonio Spur guard Stephon Castle is currently a whopping -1200 favorite to take the award, averaging a rookie-best 19.1 ppg since March 1, along with 5.1 assists and 5.1 rebounds per night.
That's led him to pull away from the pack, Washington's Alex Sarr (+1100) and Atlanta's Zaccharie Risacher (+1100) — the top two picks in the draft — are the only other players shorter than 125/1.
NBA Rookie of the Year betting splits
BetMGM's latest report is that the most RoY tickets are still on preseason favorite Zach Edey, who leads with 13.5% of the bets, while Castle leads with 26.4% of the total handle bet on the award.
The biggest liability still remains Bronny James, a relic of wild preseason action that isn't a big sweat for sportsbooks — the Lakers' rookie has long been off the board.
NBA Rookie of the Year predictions
Oddsmakers are telling us that Castle is a near lock to claim the award: His -1200 odds convert to a 92.31% implied probability, while Sarr and Risacher's odds convert to an implied probability of 8.33% each.
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NBA ROY betting trends
Here are some trends to keep in mind when betting on NBA Rookie of the Year:
- The No. 1 pick has won Rookie of the Year four times in the past 10 seasons.
- Bigs (PF/C) haven't had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.
- Only one ROY winner this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 16 of the past 20 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
| Year | NBA ROY Winner | Opening Odds | Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Victor Wembanyama | -145 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | Paolo Banchero | +200 | 1 |
| 2021-22 | Scottie Barnes | +1,100 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | LaMelo Ball | +400 | 3 |
| 2019-20 | Ja Morant | +250 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Luka Doncic | +250 | 3 |
| 2017-18 | Ben Simmons | +225 | 1 |
| 2016-17 | Malcolm Brogdon | N/A | 36 |
| 2015-16 | Karl-Anthony Towns | +450 | 1 |
| 2014-15 | Andrew Wiggins | +400 | 1 |
| 2013-14 | Michael Carter-Williams | +1,200 | 11 |
| 2012-13 | Damian Lillard | +500 | 6 |
| 2011-12 | Kyrie Irving | +500 | 1 |
| 2010-11 | Blake Griffin | +200 | 1 |
| 2009-10 | Tyreke Evans | +700 | 4 |
| 2008-09 | Derrick Rose | +350 | 1 |
| 2007-08 | Kevin Durant | -200 | 2 |
| 2006-07 | Brandon Roy | +300 | 6 |
| 2005-06 | Chris Paul | N/A | 4 |
| 2004-05 | Emeka Okafor | N/A | 2 |
NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
San Antonio guard Stephon Castle is the current favorite to win Rookie of the Year, followed by Alex Sarr and Zaccharie Risacher.
San Antonio's Victor Wembanyama won the 2024 NBA ROY.
The first overall pick has won ROY 22 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).
Spurs guard Stephon Castle, at his current -650 odds, is predicted to win with an 87% implied probability.
