Aaron Judge is unstoppable and his line keeps shortening in the MVP odds race.
The MLB odds aren't giving anyone much of a chance to catch him and it's easy to see why.
Let's break down the races in this week's AL & NL MVP odds.
Odds to win AL MVP 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
-900 | -1000 | -900 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
+1000 | +1400 | +1100 |
 Jose Ramirez |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Gunnar Henderson |
+5000 | +7000 | +5000 |
 Wyatt Langford |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
| Corey Seager |
+5000 | +12000 | +8000 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
+5000 | +12000 | +8000 |
| Adley Rutschman |
+5500 | +12000 | +8000 |
 Julio Rodriguez |
+6000 | +12000 | +8000 |
 Spencer Torkelson |
+6000 | +9000 | +7500 |
 Tyler Soderstrom |
+6000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Cal Raleigh |
+7000 | +12000 | +10000 |
 Alex Bregman |
+7000 | +9000 | +8000 |
 Mike Trout |
+7500 | +12000 | +7500 |
| Jorge Polanco |
OTB | +9000 | OTB |
Odds as of 4-28.
AL MVP odds analysis
Aaron Judge can't be stopped. Either an injury or a prolonged slump will prevent him from winning the AL MVP in 2025. And he's not only slugging the ball out of the ballpark. He's putting the ball in play and hitting the crap out of the ball when he does.
Judge extends his hitting streak to 14 games pic.twitter.com/CTXBDvrI3H
— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) May 4, 2025
Judge is slashing .423/.510/.777 with 11 home runs, nine doubles, and even a pair of triples. He's been worth 3.4 wins above replacement, per FanGraphs. The next closest in MLB is Pete Alonso at 2.3 while Bobby Witt Jr. and Cal Raleigh are tied for second among AL players at 1.9 apiece.
So, it's not like the competition isn't good — Witt and Raleigh are having objectively good seasons — but Judge is chasing history. No qualified batter has posted a .500 OBP since Barry Bonds in 2004. Before Bonds, you'd have to go back to 1957 Ted Williams and Mickey Mantle.
We're in an era where batting averages rarely even touch .300, but Judge is hitting .423. No one has hit .400 in a full season since Williams hit .406 in 1941. History dictates that Judge will fall off eventually — his .322 batting average in 2024 was a career-high — but we're looking at a potentially easy Triple Crown.
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Odds to win NL MVP 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Shohei Ohtani |
+220 | +240 | +230 |
 Kyle Tucker |
+350 | +380 | +375 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+400 | +500 | +425 |
 Corbin Carroll |
+450 | +650 | +550 |
 Pete Alonso |
+650 | +500 | +600 |
| Francisco Lindor |
+1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Juan Soto |
+1600 | +1500 | +1600 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
+3000 | +5500 | +4000 |
 Austin Riley |
+4000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Mookie Betts |
+4000 | +7000 | +5000 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+4000 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Elly De La Cruz |
+4000 | +7500 | +5500 |
 Jackson Chourio |
+5000 | +10000 | +6000 |
| Bryce Harper |
+5000 | +5500 | +5000 |
 Jung Hoo Lee |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Oneil Cruz |
+5500 | +8500 | +7000 |
Odds as of 5-5.
NL MVP odds analysis
The Chicago Cubs might have a superstar on their hands. No, not Kyle Tucker, though the shoe fits, but second-year outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong continues to impress as he climbs up the odds board.
Pete Crow-Armstrong, last 18 games...
— Eric Cross (@EricCrossMLB) May 5, 2025
73 PA, .343/.352/.842, 15 R, 16 XBH, 9 HR, 21 RBI, 6 SB, 17.8% K#BeHereForIt pic.twitter.com/ThE6Zfvk5q
Wow! And the sportsbooks have noticed. PCA has gone from as high as +8000 a week ago to no longer than +5500 this week.
The NL remains wide open, and while Shohei Ohtani remains the betting favorite, he's anything but a lock to repeat.
Covers MLB betting tools
MVP betting splits
American League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 20.8%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 8.4%
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays - 7.5%
Highest Handle%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 26.6%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 11.9%
- Aaron Judge, Yankees - 8.2%
Biggest Liability
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals
National League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 19.3%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 13.6%
- Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 41.6%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 10.8%
- Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks - 6.6%
Biggest Liability
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous MVP winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL MVP Award, with Shohei Ohtani leading the way as a three-time winner. Bryce Harper has won twice with two different teams and Miguel Cabrera was the last player to win back-to-back MVP awards (2012-13). Barry Bonds holds the record for most MVP awards (seven)
The New York Yankees have won the most MVPs in MLB history with 24 while the St. Louis Cardinals are second, leading all NL teams, with 21. No player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets, or Tampa Bay Rays has ever won MVP.
Previous AL MVP winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge |
| 2023 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2020 |  Jose Abreu |
| 2019 | Mike Trout |
| 2018 | Mookie Betts |
| 2017 | Jose Altuve |
| 2016 | Mike Trout |
| 2015 | Josh Donaldson |
Previous NL MVP winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| 2022 |  Paul Goldschmidt |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger |
| 2018 | Christian Yelich |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant |
| 2015 |  Bryce Harper |
Popular MLB futures markets
- MLB World Series odds
- MLB Cy Young odds
- MLB Rookie of the Year odds
- MLB playoff odds
- MLB HR title odds
MLB MVP odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6,000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
MLB MVP FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is favored by shorter than even money across the board.
Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is the betting favorite to win NL MVP.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won his second AL MVP trophy after hitting 58 home runs with a .322/.48/.701 slash line.
Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani became the first pure DH in MLB history to win an MVP.
Of the 33 players to have multiple MVP trophies, Barry Bonds is far and away the leader with seven. Ten other players have won three and no one besides Bonds has won more.
AL and NL MVP awards are typically announced in mid-November after the World Series has been played. The 2023 awards were announced on November 16.
Since 1931, members of the Baseball Writer's Association of America (BBWAA) have submitted ranked ballots. Two writers from each MLB city vote for the awards in their respective league.
