We have a bit of a logjam in our MLB Cy Young odds races.
Paul Skenes and Yoshinobu Yamamoto are in a virtual tie atop the MLB odds to win the NL Cy Young, but four others are +1800 or shorter. Meanwhile, Jacob deGrom is starting to look like he might be in the mix in the AL.
Let's take a look at the Cy Young odds board as the contenders are starting to take shape.
Odds to win AL Cy Young award 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tarik Skubal |
+200 | +230 | +210 |
 Garrett Crochet |
+250 | +300 | +260 |
 Max Fried |
+500 | +550 | +550 |
 Hunter Brown |
+550 | +550 | +550 |
 Jacob deGrom |
+1400 | +1600 | +1600 |
 Cole Ragans |
+2000 | +1500 | +1800 |
 Shane Baz |
+2500 | +5000 | +3500 |
| Nathan Eovaldi |
+2500 | +2500 | +3500 |
 Pablo Lopez |
+3000 | +3000 | +3000 |
| Framber Valdez |
+4000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Tyler Mahle |
+4000 | +5000 | +4500 |
| Drew Rasmussen |
+5000 | +8000 | +6000 |
 Bryan Woo |
+5000 | +4500 | +5000 |
| Bryce Miller |
+5000 | +6500 | +6000 |
| Reese Olson |
+5000 | +15000 | +10000 |
 Kevin Gausman |
+5500 | +8000 | +6000 |
| Luis Castillo |
+5500 | +10000 | +7500 |
| Kris Bubic |
+6000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Joe Ryan |
+7000 | +6500 | +6000 |
| Carlos Rodon |
+7000 | +6000 | +6500 |
Odds as of 5-6-2025.
AL Cy Young odds analysis
Not much has changed here as Tarik Skubal has maintained a modest edge over Garrett Crochet.
With the frontrunners established and the secondary contenders nipping at their heels, Jacob deGrom is an interesting middle-ground option and I can't see his +1600 odds lasting. Now, which direction it moves is up for debate.
While he hasn't been his pre-injury dominant self, deGrom is finding a groove. Since allowing seven earned runs across 9 2/3 innings in two early April starts, the veteran right-hander has surrendered four total runs in 23 1/3 innings over his ensuing four outings. The strikeouts aren't fully back (just 23 in that span), but he could be easing his foot off the gas a bit. And that number is brought down a little due to recording just three punchouts in his most recent appearance.
One of them was pretty special, though.
This is Jacob deGrom's 1700th career strikeout. He did it in 225 games, the fastest ever. He's the 13th active pitcher to accomplish the feat. pic.twitter.com/LD1HH5WZfb
— kennedi landry (@kennlandry) May 4, 2025
Avoiding further injury is the primary objective, but if he feels good and loose by July, he might turn up the heat a bit down the stretch. If you're planning on buying in, now might be the time.
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Odds to win NL Cy Young award 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Paul Skenes |
+200 | +270 | +225 |
 Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
+250 | +270 | +260 |
 Hunter Greene |
+450 | +430 | +450 |
 Zack Wheeler |
+1000 | +1500 | +1200 |
 Logan Webb |
+1200 | +1500 | +1200 |
 Michael King |
+1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Cristopher Sanchez |
+2000 | +3500 | +2500 |
 Spencer Schwellenbach |
+2000 | +4000 | +2500 |
| Jesus Luzardo |
+2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
 Kodai Senga |
+2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
 Freddy Peralta |
+3500 | +2500 | +4000 |
| Nick Pivetta |
+3500 | +2500 | +2500 |
 MacKenzie Gore |
+4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chris Sale |
+5000 | +7000 | +6000 |
 Shota Imanaga |
+5000 | +10000 | +6000 |
 Corbin Burnes |
+6000 | +12000 | +7500 |
| Robbie Ray |
+6000 | +7000 | +6000 |
 Sonny Gray |
+6000 | +8000 | +7500 |
| Dylan Cease |
+6000 | +8000 | +7000 |
Odds as of 5-6-2025.
NL Cy Young analysis
Paul Skenes had allowed one home run over his first six starts (47 2/3 innings) before surrendering three to the Chicago Cubs in his most recent start. He recorded a season-low two strikeouts while walking a season-high four batters. It's fair to say this is likely an anomaly, but any bad start will put a dent in your odds when the race is so close.
Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 4-2 with a 0.90 ERA (!), a 0.93 WHIP, and 49 strikeouts in 40 innings this season. The fact that he can have two losses on his register seems downright laughable, and points yet again to the fallacy of a pitcher's win-loss record.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s ERA is now 0.90. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/OVC31eyJGX
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) May 3, 2025
He's neck and neck with Skenes and has even drawn even with him at FanDuel. Yamamoto's most recent effort saw him twirl six shutout innings where he allowed just one hit against the Atlanta Braves.
If Logan Webb made all of his starts at Oracle Park, he might win this in a walk. The San Francisco Giants right-hander is a very good pitcher almost everywhere, but he's nearly perfect at home. He's made only three starts in front of Giants fans this season, but he's allowed one run in 20 1/3 innings, pitching into the seventh all three times.
It will be tricky for him to compete, but Yamamoto can't sustain a 0.90 ERA and Skenes has shown some chinks in the armor. Webb was +3000 just a few weeks ago.
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Cy Young betting splits
AL Cy Young
Highest Ticket%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 9.3%
- Cole Ragans, Royals - 9.2%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 8.4%
Highest Handle%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 13.5%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 11.6%
- Cole Ragans, Royals - 10.1%
Biggest Liability
- Cole Ragans, Royals
NL Cy Young
Highest Ticket%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 10%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 8.8%
- Hunter Greene, Reds - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 15%
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers - 11.3%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 7.4%
Biggest Liability
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous Cy Young Award winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL Cy Young Award, with Cleveland and the New York Mets each leading the way with three. Overall, the Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers have the most Cy Youngs all time (12), followed by the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves with eight and the Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, and Mets with seven apiece.
Previous AL Cy Young winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Tarik Skubal |
| 2023 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2022 | Justin Verlander |
| 2021 | Robbie Ray |
| 2020 |  Shane Bieber |
| 2019 | Justin Verlander |
| 2018 | Blake Snell |
| 2017 | Corey Kluber |
| 2016 | Rick Porcello |
| 2015 | Dallas Keuchel |
Previous NL Cy Young winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Chris Sale |
| 2023 | Blake Snell |
| 2022 |  Sandy Alcantara |
| 2021 |  Corbin Burnes |
| 2020 | Trevor Bauer |
| 2019 | Jacob deGrom |
| 2018 | Jacob deGrom |
| 2017 | Max Scherzer |
| 2016 | Max Scherzer |
| 2015 | Jake Arrieta |
Pitchers with multiple Cy Young awards
Twenty-two pitchers have won multiple Cy Young Awards, led by Roger Clemens' seven trophies. Of those 22 winners, five are still active in the majors.
| Pitcher | Number of Cy Young Awards (Years) |
|---|---|
| Roger Clemens | 7 (1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004) |
| Randy Johnson | 5 (1995, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002) |
| Steve Carlton | 4 (1972, 1977, 1980, 1982 |
| Greg Maddux | 4 (1992, 1993, 1994, 1995) |
| Seven different pitchers | 3 |
| 11 different pitchers | 2 |
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MLB Cy Young Odds
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal is again favored after winning the award in 2024.
Pittsburgh Pirates RHP Paul Skenes is drawing the shortest odds after finishing as a finalist in 2024 and winning NL Rookie of the Year.
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal was unanimously named AL Cy Young while veteran Atlanta Braves LHP Chris Sale won in the NL.
Roger Clemens won seven Cy Young awards throughout his career. Only one other pitcher, Randy Johnson, has even won five.
Jacob deGrom won both the 2018 and 2019 NL Cy Young awards. Immediately before him, Max Scherzer won in back-to-back seasons in 2016-17.
