The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Mets finish off their three-game set today as the visitors aim for a sweep.
Both clubs have struggled to put up many runs of late, but the Jays will send a struggling starter to the mound today in Yusei Kikuchi, which could play in favor of the Mets.
Will New York’s bats finally wake up and avoid the sweep? We’ll discuss that and more in our Blue Jays vs. Mets MLB betting picks for Sunday, June 4.
Blue Jays vs Mets odds
Blue Jays vs Mets predictions
Saturday’s ballgame was nearly identical to the series opener as the Toronto Blue Jays won a low-scoring 2-1 affair. The New York Mets took the early lead in the second inning but that’s the only run Jose Berrios gave up before Vladimir Guerrero Jr. eventually hit the go-ahead RBI double in the ninth.
It was another brutal offensive effort from the Mets, who have now scored just 11 runs total over their last five outings. Today’s contest could provide their bats a good chance to finally bounce back, though, as Yusei Kikuchi is coming off a rough month of May.
The southpaw posted a 5.83 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP through six starts in May, giving up at least three earned runs in four of those contests and five-plus runs on three occasions.
It’s really no surprise that New York has hit a rut as their two big bats, Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, have just two RBI combined over the last six games. Alonso (46 RBI) and Lindor (40 RBI) have knocked in more than one-third of the Mets’ runs this season so the team’s offense goes as they do.
They have to break out of their slump at some point, though, and the Mets bats will have a great chance to get going early and often against Kikuchi.
My best bet: Mets to score first (+118 at SIA)
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Blue Jays vs Mets moneyline analysis
The Mets opened as the favorite for this contest at -121 on the moneyline while the Jays come in as the road dog at +112. Pitching gave Toronto the edge on Saturday but I expect the roles to be reversed today as Kodai Senga should outduel Kikuchi.
Senga had his best start of the year last time out, allowing just one hit over seven innings against the Phillies on Tuesday. After an up-and-down April, the right-hander bounced back in May with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over five starts while shutting out the opposing team in two of those outings.
The Mets have certainly gone cold at the plate but the same can be said of the Jays, who have scored just 10 runs over their last four outings. Toronto is 6-2 over its last eight games but that’s mostly a virtue of strong pitching as they’ve allowed just five total runs across those six wins.
With both offenses struggling, this one could come down to a pitching duel and Senga definitely has the edge there.
Blue Jays vs Mets Over/Under analysis
We’ve seen a string of low-scoring games from both clubs, which is why I’m taking the Under on 8.5 runs in today’s contest.
The Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the clubs in New York. Toronto has cashed the Under in five of its last six games while the Under is 5-0 in New York’s last five contests.
We’ve seen the Blue Jays average just 3.33 runs over their last six outings, while the Mets have scored a minuscule 2.20 runs per game through their last five contests.
Even if one of these clubs breaks out offensively, there likely won’t be enough firepower from both sides to top 8.5 runs.
Blue Jays vs Mets game info
| Location: | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date: | Sunday, June 4, 2023 |
| First pitch: | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Sportsnet, SNY |
Starting pitchers
Yusei Kikuchi (6-2, 4.47 ERA): Kikuchi was solid in his last start, holding the Brewers to three hits and two earned runs over five innings last Tuesday. That broke up a stretch of three straight outings where the left-hander gave up at least three earned runs. Kikuchi has not pitched past the fifth inning in four straight starts.
Kodai Senga (5-3, 3.44 ERA): All three of Senga’s best starts of the season have come in his last five outings — on the flip side, his other two starts in May were among his worst. The right-hander is averaging 1.30 strikeouts per inning over that span while holding opponents to one run or less in three of those starts.
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The Under is 5-0 in New York’s last five home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Mets
