Dream vs Liberty Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Today’s WNBA Game

The Atlanta Dream have an uphill battle on Sunday when they face a New York Liberty squad that has Sabrina Ionescu heating up from deep. Read along as Phil Naessens expects the two-time WNBA All-Star to light it up from deep in this matinee clash.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jun 29, 2024 • 17:47 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Sabrina Ionescu New York Liberty WNBA
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Although the Atlanta Dream snapped a three-game losing streak on Friday night, they remain large underdogs ahead of Sunday's matinee showdown against the New York Liberty.

The Dream have struggled defensively since Olympian Rhyne Howard sprained her ankle, and my Dream vs. Liberty predictions expect Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu to take full advantage of Howard’s absence.

Let's get into it with my WNBA picks for Sunday, June 30.

Dream vs Liberty predictions

My best bet
Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 threes (-105 at bet365)

My analysis

The Atlanta Dream must feel like they are living in a nightmare that doesn’t seem to have an ending.

Olympian Rhyne Howard is out indefinitely with an ankle injury, and Atlanta’s “super team” of Tina Charles, Allisha Gray, and Howard hasn’t been nearly as good as the Dream front office envisioned.

Losing Howard to injury caused all sorts of nightmares for the Dream. They lost their best scorer and arguably their best perimeter defender, which led to a three-game losing streak that they finally snapped on Friday against a tired Connecticut Sun group.

Atlanta’s nightmare season continues as huge underdogs on Sunday when they meet Eastern Conference rival New York Liberty for the third time this month and the second time in seven days.

Making matters worse is they must defend sharpshooter Sabrina Ionescu, as the Olympian is knocking down the fourth most triples per night (2.9) on 36.9% shooting. Although Ionescu laid a 2-for-11 stinker from downtown in New York’s Tuesday night Commissioners Cup loss to Minnesota, I expect a bounce-back performance considering she drained 4+ in her previous four before that outing.

Atlanta's stop unit is allowing a whopping 41.8% 3-point percentage across their last three games without Howard. New York has had five days of rest, and I am anticipating a well-rested Ionescu adding to the Dreams nightmare season when she clears 4+ triples.

Dream vs Liberty same-game parlay (SGP)

Sabrina Ionescu 4+ threes

Sabrina Ionescua Over 19.5 points

Jonquel Jones Under 16.5 points

The last time Ionescu faced the Dream, she exploited them with four triples and 26 points. Atlanta guards can’t stay with her, and she’s scored 20+ in each of her last four tilts.

Meanwhile, Liberty forward Jonquel Jones will see too much of Charles and Nia Coffey for her liking. The former league MVP managed just 15 points in their last meeting and 10 points in her first. Jones has reached 17+ just twice in her last five, and I'm expecting her to fall short again on Sunday. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dream vs Liberty odds

Dream vs Liberty live odds

Get the latest Dream vs Liberty WNBA odds for tonight.

Dream vs Liberty opening odds

  • Spread: Atlanta +13.5 (-105) | New York -13.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Atlanta +850 | New York -1,600
  • Over/Under: Over 165.5 (-110) | Under 165.5 (-110)

Dream vs Liberty spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Atlanta is 2-3-0 against the spread across their past five. Money came in on New York, driving the number to +14 (-110), with +14.5 (-115) markets available.
  • New York markets are mostly trading at -14 (-110 to –112), with -14.5 priced at -105 for a team that is 1-4-0 ATS across their last five.
  • Over/Under markets opened at 164.5 but have since spiked to 166.5 at some shops.

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Dream vs Liberty trend

Ionescu has made 4+ triples in four of her last five games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs. Liberty.

Dream vs Liberty game info

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Date: Sunday, 6-30-2024
Tip-off: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: Fubo Sports US

Dream vs Liberty latest injuries

Dream: Rhyne Howard G (Out). 
Liberty: No injuries to report. 
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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