Tottenham vs Manchester United Picks and Predictions: Midtable Mediocrity Collides

Manchester United look to put last weekend's disaster behind them and to do so, they'll be back to punching at their weight as they visit Tottenham Hotspur. Find out how Man U's trip to London will play out with our Premier League betting picks.

Oct 26, 2021 • 20:15 ET • 3 min read
Harry Kane Harry Maguire Man U Spurs EPL
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Manchester United will attempt to put last weekend's disastrous loss at the hands of Liverpool at Old Trafford behind them as quickly as possible. They'll attempt to do so against a club not unfamiliar with disaster themselves, as they head down to London to face Tottenham Hotspur in matchweek 10 of Premier League betting. 

One point and one place separate Spurs and Man U in the table, so how will Saturday's match play out between the two? Keep reading for our free Premier League betting picks and predictions for Tottenham vs. Manchester United, with kickoff on October 30. 

Tottenham vs Manchester United match odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Tottenham vs Manchester United betting tips

Picks made on 10/26/2021 at 5:45 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Tottenham vs Manchester United game info

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC, DAZN

Tottenham vs Manchester United betting preview

Weather

Rain will be falling on London throughout Sunday and is expected to pick up ahead of kickoff, with upward of 85 percent precipitation forecast. Temperatures are expected around 55 degrees Fahrenheit, with 80 percent humidity.

Injuries

Tottenham: Matt Doherty RB (Questionable), Ryan Sessegnon LB (Out).
Manchester United: Anthony Martial ST (Questionable), Raphael Verane CB (Doubtful), Paul Pogba CM (Out).

Tottenham vs Manchester United predictions

Manchester United's 5-0 loss to Liverpool was a disaster for the club, but more so because of the history between the two clubs as opposed to their present-day standing. The reality is, Liverpool are an elite team worldwide, capable of beating any team on any day, and they have top talent and a top manager. Man United, meanwhile, are a mediocre top-half Premier League side with a manager nowhere close to qualified to be leading them.

So, while Manchester United were knocked out in a vicious fashion by an English heavyweight last weekend, this weekend they'll be punching within their own weight class.

 Spurs must be thankful for Man U's capitulation against Liverpool, because they may very well have been the second-worst team of the weekend. Though the scoreline was generous, just 1-0 to West Ham, Tottenham were nowhere near a threat against their fellow London club.

Spurs were out-created 1.3 to 0.7 in expected goals, didn't register a shot in the final 45 minutes, and, confounding for a team currently participating in three competitions and with a League Cup game set for Wednesday, didn't make a substitution until the 84th minute. 

The similarities between these two clubs are striking, with top-heavy squads, little alignment between squad construction and management, and increasingly lost managers at the helm. Just a single goal separates the two in expected goal differential, with Man U (-1.1) edging Spurs (-2.1).

Though, while Tottenham have just about been as average as suggested by expected goals, regression may yet come for Manchester United in attack. The Red Devils are out-producing their xG, with 16 goals scored compared to 13.7 xG, while their defense is as bad as suggested — 15 conceded, 14.8 expected goals against.

Cristiano Ronaldo's presence will, as always, help Man United to produce above expectation, such is his goalscoring rate, but he'll play into the dreadful defending, too. Ronaldo doesn't press off the ball at this stage, and his team plays shorthanded as a result. 

Reports out of Manchester suggest the club has reached a point of no return with manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, with both his performance and status as manager having a negative impact on the team. Though the circumstances were different, we just saw that toxicity leak into Newcastle's performances as manager Steve Bruce played out the clock.

It's hard to imagine a reversal of form until a new manager takes over. However, against a similarly bang-average Spurs team, they will at least split the points, with Spurs needing to rotate their squad after a midweek cup game and the Red Devils looking ahead to a Champions League fixture next Tuesday. 

This game will feature two teams in the Top 7 in the Premier League table, but their defense is well below that standard. Manchester United have allowed the fifth-most goals (15) and expected goals (14.8) in the league. They've kept one clean sheet all season, a 1-0 win over Wolves at the end of August, in which their opponents finished with an xG of 1.8. In the two weeks leading up to their visit to Spurs, they've conceded 11 goals in three games — two of which were at home.

Tottenham are slightly more respectable, as they rank 12th in goals allowed and 13th in expected goals against, but their performances haven't even been up to that standard.

After a run of three straight clean sheets to begin the new season, Spurs haven't held an opponent out since August 29, allowing 19 goals in 10 games across all competitions since then. That early defensive record is even less impressive when considering their expected goals against during that stretch was 3.9. Despite it being manager Nuno's area of expertise, Tottenham's defensive organization and performance have largely been shambolic.

With both teams capable of scoring going forward and not short on attacking talent, but woeful in defense, expect both teams to score as a movable object meets a stoppable force. 

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