Burnley travel to Norwich City Saturday for the day’s lone English football fixture. It’s a match that could use some EPL betting to spice things up.
Norwich are firmly buried in the league’s basement, long-since doomed to relegation. Meanwhile, Burnley are in Premier League purgatory, clinging faintly to hopes of Europa League qualifying.
But this match could still produce some sneaky-good EPL odds. Here are our Premier League predictions and soccer betting picks for Burnley vs. Norwich City on July 18, with kickoff set for 12:30 p.m. ET.
Norwich City (+220) vs Burnley (+125, Draw +220)
Quick Hitter
Burnley are safe bets for a slow start. They have one of the EPL’s lowest goal rates within the first 30 minutes, and only 12 of their 40 goals overall coming in the first half.
Meanwhile, Norwich have been just all-around dreadful at finding the net. They’re dead last in the EPL with just 26 goals and have only one first-half tally in eight post-COVID matches.
Burnley likewise hasn’t scored in the first half-hour since March, so bet on no early fireworks here.
PREDICTION: No goal before 31:00 (-120)
Team/Player Prop
At first glance, the team corners Over/Under seems peculiar, set at 5.5. These squads are both in the league basement at a hair over 4.3 corners per game.
But their defenses also hemorrhage corners. Collectively, they cough up 6.9 corners per game, far above the league average. Burnley have been particularly liable lately, with 9.5 corners conceded on average over their last 4 matches.
Both sides could hit their Over easily, but Norwich get the slightly better price and can ride Burnley's recent wave of corner-conceding.
PREDICTION: Norwich Over 5.5 corners (+110)
Over/Under Bet
With how offensively deficient these teams have been lately, the under seems like a can’t-miss bet. Burnley allowed five goals to EPL scoring leaders Manchester City on June 22, and no side has scored multiple goals in their six games since.
Norwich have been served a clean sheet in six of eight post-COVID matches, making their scoring a goal here a low-value proposition.
Even if Burnley are hunting for three points, they could easily come up empty or drive one-way action. Count on a low-scoring affair with one of these teams failing to put numbers on the board.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals, Both teams to score: No (+125)
Side Bet
We’d love to go on with lots of deep logic here, but let’s keep it simple and not over-think. Norwich are easily the worst team in the EPL this year — they’re probably going to lose.
The question here is whether bettors want to take some extra money on a handicap or half-time/full-time bet. It’s tempting against a team as terrible as Norwich. But Burnley’s recent track record suggests a closer match, and their aversion to first-half scoring makes it tough to trust them for a HT/FT.
No need to be fancy here. A Burnley win pays +125, a more-than-fair price.
PREDICTION: Burnley (+125)
Norwich City vs Burnley Premier League Betting Card
- No goal before 31:00 (-120)
- Norwich Over 5.5 corners
- Under 2.5 goals, Both teams to score: No (+125)
- Burnley (+125)
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