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Post All-Star Home System

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 44 of 47 «  42 43 44 45 46   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Post All-Star Home System
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1076
Posted: 9/3/2017 8:11:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rjme78:

Hi CKP22


Any system for NFL?


Don't run anything out for NFL.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1077
Posted: 9/3/2017 2:19:49 PM
Colorado D game
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rayfinkle005 PM rayfinkle005
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quote#1078
Posted: 9/3/2017 8:13:10 PM
Oh boy. Colorado E game Monday
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1079
Posted: 9/4/2017 6:30:37 AM
Just curious if most people play this system as a straight up 5-game chase or stop at 4 or other?

Thanks
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1080
Posted: 9/4/2017 3:24:03 PM
Red Sox and Dodgers both on Game 1 on Monday.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1081
Posted: 9/4/2017 6:38:13 PM
Colorado wins on double dip E game and is done.
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Sabbathen PM Sabbathen
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quote#1082
Posted: 9/4/2017 6:42:42 PM
Well done to anyone that hung on for game E of Colorado double dip. Balls of steel. I took the loss on game D and walked away.
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Irish7878 PM Irish7878
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quote#1083
Posted: 9/4/2017 6:45:57 PM
CKP,
Do you consider deleting or adding teams?  Obviously referring to the Rockies and Indians, respectively.

Irish7878 PM Irish7878
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quote#1084
Posted: 9/4/2017 6:48:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sabbathen:

Well done to anyone that hung on for game E of Colorado double dip. Balls of steel. I took the loss on game D and walked away.

Considering how it ended, my steel was melting like butter

therealdutch PM therealdutch
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quote#1085
Posted: 9/4/2017 7:43:24 PM
I was really hesitant to play it but I also keep looking back over my tracking spreadsheet and seeing a dodgers series I laid off earlier this season every time I scroll through it. I round up and down a little in these but I was at 716 to win 450 to, I think, net about $12 (I use $20 as a unit on chases) when it's all said and done. Will do the math in the morning at work.

Either way, it's a system win! ??

And I didn't even get to watch. Happened to get out of the pool at the middle of the 9th to get a drink and sat there refreshing my phone constantly over what was basically a -7000 bet.

Cheers!!!
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CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1086
Posted: 9/5/2017 8:55:39 AM
Dodgers and Red Sox both to Game 2 on Tuesday
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1087
Posted: 9/6/2017 8:38:29 AM
Red Sox clear on Game 2. Dodgers to a Game 3 for a second time this season.

Updated through Tuesday, Sept. 5

2017 Record: 18-0
Game 1 wins - 11
Game 2 wins - 6
Game 3 wins - 1 

Record since tracking started in 1999: 581-1
514 wins within first two games.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1088
Posted: 9/6/2017 3:57:20 PM

Wednesday we have Boston on the double dip A game. They have 7 games left.

Updated double dip record

Double dip record: 16-0

Since tracking: 109-0

  • A:  7-9
  • B:  5-4   
  • C: 1-3
  • D:  2-1
  • E:  1-0
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1089
Posted: 9/7/2017 4:48:02 AM
Boston wins on double dip A game. 6 games left so double dip A game Friday. 
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1090
Posted: 9/7/2017 8:43:32 AM
Dodgers D game at -330 !

Honest question, how many people are playing the run-line vs moneyline on this 4th game chase?
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1091
Posted: 9/7/2017 9:15:29 AM
Dodgers on Game 4.  Nationals on Game 1.
therealdutch PM therealdutch
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quote#1092
Posted: 9/7/2017 10:10:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nuscas:

Dodgers D game at -330 !

Honest question, how many people are playing the run-line vs moneyline on this 4th game chase?


I may use asian run line -.75 

but that still only gets it down to a synthetic -235 (i'm getting -300ML and -135 1.5RL)
SBT PM SBT
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quote#1093
Posted: 9/7/2017 11:02:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CKP22:

Red Sox clear on Game 2. Dodgers to a Game 3 for a second time this season.

Updated through Tuesday, Sept. 5

2017 Record: 18-0
Game 1 wins - 11
Game 2 wins - 6
Game 3 wins - 1 

Record since tracking started in 1999: 581-1
514 wins within first two games.

The record since tracking was based on a 6 game chase isn't it? I think it wouldn't be 581-1 if it was a 4 game chase (which I think that's what you're doing now?). Am I correct? Not hating, just wondering. Thanks CKP22.
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1094
Posted: 9/7/2017 1:21:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by therealdutch:



I may use asian run line -.75 

but that still only gets it down to a synthetic -235 (i'm getting -300ML and -135 1.5RL)


The bigger issue is for those playing this as a 5 game chase, E games' price would be huge if you play m/l in game D and it loses. Run-line sucks in the event they win by 1 and then have to re-up again for game E. No real good options.
Irish7878 PM Irish7878
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quote#1095
Posted: 9/7/2017 1:25:28 PM
The ONLY option is ML.  It's what the system is based on.  Too many 1 run games.  And with Kershaw on the mound (and how opposing pitchers always seem to get "up" for trying to beat him), game will likely be low scoring.

BOL
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1096
Posted: 9/7/2017 2:03:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Irish7878:

The ONLY option is ML.  It's what the system is based on.  Too many 1 run games.  And with Kershaw on the mound (and how opposing pitchers always seem to get "up" for trying to beat him), game will likely be low scoring.

BOL


I agree with you theoretically, but systems do take losses so it's easier said then done. A $10 unit bettor would have to lay around $425 in this game D.
Irish7878 PM Irish7878
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quote#1097
Posted: 9/7/2017 2:25:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nuscas:



I agree with you theoretically, but systems do take losses so it's easier said then done. A $10 unit bettor would have to lay around $425 in this game D.

This makes no sense.  This system is based on WINNING - not on decreasing your losses.  And in this situation, you decrease your liklihood of winning by going RL.  As the chase progresses, it is FAR more important to go ML.  If you bet RL because of the fear of loss, you might as well not bet at all.

This is why you MUST plan on going at least 5 games at the start of every series (preferably 6) and set your initial wager accordingly with an eye on future games and pitching matchups .  
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1098
Posted: 9/7/2017 3:35:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Irish7878:


This makes no sense.  This system is based on WINNING - not on decreasing your losses.  And in this situation, you decrease your liklihood of winning by going RL.  As the chase progresses, it is FAR more important to go ML.  If you bet RL because of the fear of loss, you might as well not bet at all.

This is why you MUST plan on going at least 5 games at the start of every series (preferably 6) and set your initial wager accordingly with an eye on future games and pitching matchups .  


I'm not talking about runline, I'm saying in general systems do take losses and some can be much bigger then others. So if you can avoid a giant bank roll busting loss in favor of a small loss this would be the chase to bail early on. Not often would you ever get a -300 Game D and a -200 on deck for Game E.

I take it (5) games myself, but based purely on the risk of this chase I'm considering something other.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1099
Posted: 9/7/2017 9:47:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SBT:


The record since tracking was based on a 6 game chase isn't it? I think it wouldn't be 581-1 if it was a 4 game chase (which I think that's what you're doing now?). Am I correct? Not hating, just wondering. Thanks CKP22.

Record always has been based on 6 games.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1100
Posted: 9/8/2017 1:38:27 AM
Dodgers on Game 5. Good luck! Diamondbacks on Game 1.

Nationals clear.
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