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Belmont Stakes Early Odds

Forum: Horse Racing
Author: [Horse Racing] Topic: Belmont Stakes Early Odds
Conley12 PM Conley12
Joined: May 2017
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Posted: 5/22/2018 9:52:14 AM
Here are my future odds for the Belmont Stakes. Did not do so well with my Preakness odds, so here we go with the Belmont! Don't criticize my odds as this is my 2nd time trying. Thanks  

Justify  1/1 
Audible and Bravazo 9/2 
Good Magic 5-1 
Hofburg  8-1 
My Boy Jack 10-1 
Tenfold 11-1 
Blended Citizen 12-1 
Vino Rosso 20-1 
Solomini 25-1 
Machismo 30-1 
Instilled Regard 35-1 
Free Drop Billy 40-1 
Gronkowski 50-1 
vetdrm PM vetdrm
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Posted: 5/22/2018 5:39:16 PM
Love your tenacity
howzuck PM howzuck
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Posted: 5/23/2018 8:08:32 AM
Conley, your numbers look close for the ML's although I do think Justify will be bet down below even money again.  I know it's early, but I do think Justify will be beat for various reasons, wonder what the rest of you guys think.  Yes, I am aare we still don't know the definite entrants, weather, post positions, late jockey changes, etc., but I am not really sure what to make of the two measured victories at the 2 sloppy tracks.  He is a great horse, but is he the super horse, my 30+ years of experience tells me he will be run down by a well rested horse on this mile and a half surface as so many has.  Of course I think he could in by default if things go his way, but he will offer absolutely no value and I do feel will be very vulnerable in this spot.
Crusher13 PM Crusher13
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Posted: 6/1/2018 3:37:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by howzuck:

Conley, your numbers look close for the ML's although I do think Justify will be bet down below even money again.  I know it's early, but I do think Justify will be beat for various reasons, wonder what the rest of you guys think.  Yes, I am aare we still don't know the definite entrants, weather, post positions, late jockey changes, etc.,
but I am not really sure what to make of the two measured victories at the 2 sloppy tracks.  He is a great horse, but is he the super horse, my 30+ years of experience tells me he will be run down by a well rested horse on this mile and a half surface as so many has.  Of course I think he could in by default if things go his way, but he will offer absolutely no value and I do feel will be very vulnerable in this spot.


War Emblem, Smarty Jones...30 yrs of failures...,  COULD never concur more...

...ABSOLUTE Unreal chance to BEAT this very lightly EXPERIENCED Young Studmuffin Getting those 1 1/2 miles.........Especially the last 1/4 in slop @ Pimlico.....

Unless Justify gets OUT there and gets a monster lead on a hot, dry FAST track.....I love ALL the alternatives for THIS  12f trek.......He is VERY VERY Vulnerable...
howzuck PM howzuck
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Posted: 6/1/2018 12:37:58 PM
Crusher thanks for your response, yes those two come to mind, but I also remember Silver Charm getting caught at the wire by Touch Gold to stop that Triple Crown (watch this race again if you don't remember), Real Quiet getting run down, don't forget Big Brown more recently.  I also go back to 1989 when Easy Goer was supposed to be the next superhorse, he was absolutely thrashed by his Sunday Silence in the Belmont, others as well.  Maybe now we know American Pharoah is a super horse, but horses like this come along once a generation and I think it is much harder to win it today for various reasons, ex. more rivals, 3 tough races in 5 weeks, hardest one is the mile and a half Belmont where several rested fresher challengers can take a shot....
DoubleUp4Life PM DoubleUp4Life
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Posted: 6/2/2018 1:09:38 PM
I like Solomini and Hofburg .... plan on wheeling both in the exotics
Forum: Horse Racing
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