Glad you know EXACTLY what is going to happen Roused.
Glad you know EXACTLY what is going to happen Roused.
Glad you know EXACTLY what is going to happen Roused.
Glad you know EXACTLY what is going to happen Roused.
That part in red is why the first thought that went thru my head after that race is "bounce" next time.
But he's had 5 weeks off and he's working out well and he's got a great trainer so he'll probably be OK.
Midnight Transfer was only 2 lengths behind Bodemeister in the San Felipe and ran a big one also and he took a big step back in the Santa Anita Derby (7th of 9 beaten 9.5 lengths). The San Felipe was his first off a layoff though. A big one coming off a long layoff is supposed to increase the chance of a "bounce". He had 4 weeks off between the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby. Bodemeister will have 5 weeks. But Midnight Transfer didn't have to travel to a new track and get used to new surroundings either like Bodemeister has to.
That part in red is why the first thought that went thru my head after that race is "bounce" next time.
But he's had 5 weeks off and he's working out well and he's got a great trainer so he'll probably be OK.
Midnight Transfer was only 2 lengths behind Bodemeister in the San Felipe and ran a big one also and he took a big step back in the Santa Anita Derby (7th of 9 beaten 9.5 lengths). The San Felipe was his first off a layoff though. A big one coming off a long layoff is supposed to increase the chance of a "bounce". He had 4 weeks off between the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby. Bodemeister will have 5 weeks. But Midnight Transfer didn't have to travel to a new track and get used to new surroundings either like Bodemeister has to.
"Bouncing" is a common term uttered by horseplayers. Basically, it’s a negative reaction to the most previous outing. Many handicappers say that usually happens after a thoroughbred exerts a strenuous effort.
ARTICLE
"Bouncing" is a common term uttered by horseplayers. Basically, it’s a negative reaction to the most previous outing. Many handicappers say that usually happens after a thoroughbred exerts a strenuous effort.
ARTICLE
With all due respect,PTB, do you think the horses know this?
I subscribed to this theory for a year or two and found it to be a bad handicapping tool. For example, a lot of people said this last year about Lookin At Lucky going into the Ark Derby and a few others who "didn't need the money." It's all about the form and training. If a horse is moving forward and on training as they are about to enter the KENTUCKY DERBY, no trainer is going to hold back a horse because he doesn't need the money.
With all due respect,PTB, do you think the horses know this?
I subscribed to this theory for a year or two and found it to be a bad handicapping tool. For example, a lot of people said this last year about Lookin At Lucky going into the Ark Derby and a few others who "didn't need the money." It's all about the form and training. If a horse is moving forward and on training as they are about to enter the KENTUCKY DERBY, no trainer is going to hold back a horse because he doesn't need the money.
WHOOPS...I mispoke.
NOT the Ark. Derby. Lookin At Lucky's final prep was in the SA Derby where busted his butt and got pushed all around the track and still finished third. Maybe the worse ride Gomez has ever had on a horse.
WHOOPS...I mispoke.
NOT the Ark. Derby. Lookin At Lucky's final prep was in the SA Derby where busted his butt and got pushed all around the track and still finished third. Maybe the worse ride Gomez has ever had on a horse.
With all due respect,PTB, do you think the horses know this?
I subscribed to this theory for a year or two and found it to be a bad handicapping tool. For example, a lot of people said this last year about Lookin At Lucky going into the Ark Derby and a few others who "didn't need the money." It's all about the form and training. If a horse is moving forward and on training as they are about to enter the KENTUCKY DERBY, no trainer is going to hold back a horse because he doesn't need the money.
With all due respect,PTB, do you think the horses know this?
I subscribed to this theory for a year or two and found it to be a bad handicapping tool. For example, a lot of people said this last year about Lookin At Lucky going into the Ark Derby and a few others who "didn't need the money." It's all about the form and training. If a horse is moving forward and on training as they are about to enter the KENTUCKY DERBY, no trainer is going to hold back a horse because he doesn't need the money.
I think Ever So Lucky runs big in the BG, real big!
It is not Sheppards style to rush a horse into a race like this. I ould be surprised / shocked if he doesn't hit the board. I wouldn't be surprised if he makes it close at the wire.
HB
I think Ever So Lucky runs big in the BG, real big!
It is not Sheppards style to rush a horse into a race like this. I ould be surprised / shocked if he doesn't hit the board. I wouldn't be surprised if he makes it close at the wire.
HB
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