Posted: 3/14/2019 11:57:25 AM
QUOTEThis statement absolutely fascinates me...coming from you, a very good capper...Can you elaborate on your thinking behind this?...Always wanting to learn how good cappers think and this idea is totally new to me...
Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Originally Posted by sportswagers] Yes I cashed yesterday. It was a tough loss on Oklahoma. Avoid betting against teams that have been playing good heading into the tournament as you never know how they will perform. GL today
Few key things we want to consider in the tournament are
1. How did teams perform in neutral courts. If they win, how dominant are the wins. We all know the signicance of home courts in college basketball. Tournaments are a different ball game.
2. Yesterdays Oklahoma game is perfect example. Oklahoma was so dominant at home this season and pretty ordinary on road.
Couple that with West Virginia's dominant win against Iowa State heading into the tournament, they have the momentum. They sucked all year though.
Oklahoma should win based on the talent and cover the 6 point spread, but we never know how West Virginia will showup based the inconsistencies entire season.
Best thing we can do in such instances is avoid those games. No need to force the bets.
3. Always go with the teams with defensive edge in tournaments.
Rhode Island ans St Louis will win today just based on how good they are defensively compared to opponents.
Virginia, Texas Tech etc. make good tournament runs every year because of their emphasis on defense. Defense travels anywhere, but offense does not.