New forums are going live April 23, 2018. Check it out for yourself.

**** Thursday POD ****

Forum: College Basketball
Author: [College Basketball] Topic: **** Thursday POD ****
ByrdMane612 PM ByrdMane612
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1133
 
ByrdMane612
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/6/2017 11:22:05 PM
Not an easy pick to make or even wager on.. but the easiest money are usually the hardest choices...


With that being said...

University of Northern Iowa -3 
lajohn PM lajohn
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 10104
 
lajohn
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 12/7/2017 12:37:46 AM
Why?
mjm1012 PM mjm1012
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 33333
 
mjm1012
Participation Meter
Legend
Posted: 12/7/2017 2:04:00 AM
BOL
Support81 PM Support81
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 1724
 
Support81
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 3:43:38 AM

I think last shot wins....a tight one...tex-Arlington have only 1 loss this year and that was by 1 point at Alabama.....

an_2drinks

jroc1247 PM jroc1247
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 2898
 
jroc1247
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 7:06:48 AM
Why would you not take 3.5 with Tex Arl.

UNI-3.5 is the play! I may buy hook for insurance,
ByrdMane612 PM ByrdMane612
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1133
 
ByrdMane612
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 9:37:46 AM
Do the research and you'll find out why boyz. 

Bolta 
LEGITSHIP PM LEGITSHIP
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 1418
 
LEGITSHIP
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 9:39:30 AM

Bol 

NYMoneyTeam PM NYMoneyTeam
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 242
 
NYMoneyTeam
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 10:23:21 AM
UTA is the Play
MB67 PM MB67
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 1941
 
MB67
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 10:24:48 AM

Absolutely love the play ! UNI battle tested against the big boys , UT has played two mediocre teams Alabama and BYU.peace_5

JewishIce21 PM JewishIce21
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 182
 
JewishIce21
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 10:43:28 AM

Stat wise, UT Arlington is ranked #82 overall while UNI is ranked #86 overall. The best team UTA has beaten was BYU at 66, but after that, they beat Niagara (189), Loyola Marymount (234), North Texas (283), Western Carolina (282). Oh, they also beat a school called Texas Dallas? 

The good thing for UTA is they start 5 seniors and they are on the court 33.2% of the time.  When they run anotehr lineup, they swap the centers (Kabadyundi for Hamilton) and they are both seniors). 

There are 9 seniors on UTA out of 14 guys, which means there is a TON of experience on this team. They plaeyd inthe NIT last year and got to the quarterfinal against CSU Bakersfield, where they lost by 4. This should be the year they make the dance.

----

For Northern Iowa, I saw something on Twitter. They are selling buy 1 get one free tickets for tonight, which may mean that the crowd is not at full capacity. Something stupid, but may not be the home court adv they are used to (similar to florida last night).

Northern Iowa has two lineups that they run out there (32.1% of the time - McCloud-Brown-Pickford-Carlson-Koch) (Sophomore-Sophomore-Freshman-Senior-Senior) and (26.2% of the time - McCloud, Haldeman, Pickford, Carlson, Koch). 

-------

As far as some stats:

UTA - 56.9% effective FG%, but they turn the ball over a lot, which is kind of surprising for a senior laden team.  They are shooting 36.4% from 3, 58.5 from 2, which is top 20 in the nation, but they reare really bad at shooting FTs..only 70%. They do not get a lot of turnovers and they do not shoot that many 3's. 

UNI - 50.8% effective FG%, but they also turn the ball over a lot, almost identical to UTA in turnovers. As far as shooting 35.5% from 3PT, this is worse than UTA, 49.2% from 2pt, this is worse than UTA by a lot, 71.7 from FT, they do not get a lot of turnovers and they are not taking a lot of 3's either.

-----

UNI runs a REALLY REALLY slow game, one of the slowest in the nation. 348th to be exact.  64.1 possessions pe game, where as UTA is a little bit faster at 68th in the country and getting 72.4 possessions per game, which is 8 more possessions and could be the difference in the game.  It will really depend on how quickly this game is played. 

----

The stats, experience, and pace give me a lean towards UTA...but UNI is tough at home. If UTA's shots aren't dropping, UNI could win by 13 and it would feel like UTA was in quick sand, because UNI averages 20.2 seconds per possession, which is 3rd slowest in the nation, only behind GW and Jackson State out of the SWAC.  They are playing a lot more like Virginia than the Northern Iowa teams we are used to. 

By comparison, UTA is playing a lot more like Mississippi State, St. Johns, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Kentucky, as far as pace. 

Prediction? UTA 60 UNI 66

MB67 PM MB67
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 1941
 
MB67
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 10:48:05 AM
Good stuff Jewish Ice 
NYMoneyTeam PM NYMoneyTeam
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 242
 
NYMoneyTeam
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 3:09:52 PM
JewishIce 
Great insight
UTA +4 ( if it goes higher I be happy )
Everyone is pounding UNI 
JewishIce21 PM JewishIce21
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 182
 
JewishIce21
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 3:57:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by NYMoneyTeam:

JewishIce Great insightUTA +4 ( if it goes higher I be happy )Everyone is pounding UNI

It is going to be interesting.  I think it'll be a good game, probably ugly at times. 

jpaszek17 PM jpaszek17
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 6
 
jpaszek17
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 4:04:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JewishIce21:

It is going to be interesting.  I think it'll be a good game, probably ugly at times. 


Good write up JewishIce, I couldn't agree more. The most interesting part to this game for me will be how small UNI is compared to UTA. We shall see!
ByrdMane612 PM ByrdMane612
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1133
 
ByrdMane612
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 4:06:26 PM
Great stuff and also look at their RPI ratings. I was very high on UTA last year when they were underrated. I usually don’t fade UTA but this is the possible worst spot for them going against a tourney bound team in UNI and at home. 
NYMoneyTeam PM NYMoneyTeam
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 242
 
NYMoneyTeam
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 12/7/2017 7:01:17 PM
Well keep in mind UNI Koch is pretty awesome...
Hamilton i hope will or can limit and alter shots for UTA
BOL everyone 
ByrdMane612 PM ByrdMane612
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 1133
 
ByrdMane612
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 10:05:36 PM

Good night!
chefkaos PM chefkaos
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1543
 
chefkaos
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 12/7/2017 11:40:39 PM
Congrats on that -3 on N.Iowa
Forum: College Basketball
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View