Posted: 2/14/2018 12:35:45 PM
Raider, yoro 2-6 missing all the 'overs' in asia for a small loss. kinda p*ssed at that Guan/Bur match: 70-30% possession battle, doubled shot attempts. sometimes when ya cap one correctly the soccer GODS say "not today"
got a nice one going off in Copa Lib later, but first..... ehhh.... europe.
UCL: goal scoring barrage continues in these 1st legs, now 8 out of last 10 have blown 'over' at this stage, which to me... defies conventional wisdom.
Porto/Pool - (just gonna cut-n-paste from my writeup last week in the CL discussion thread. my opinions have not changed)
The better of the two matches being played today just MIGHT darn well be down here in Lisboa. Pools leaky defense & Porto doesnt roll over for anyone at home.
fyi Striker, I saw ur comment in the CL thread. tks fer the info.
*****- hope im not the only one whom thinks Porto has a shot here. books arent giving Porto the respect I feel they deserve. this is a solid,veteran-led, European-experienced squad. at home theyve scalped Munich,Chelsea,Leicester, Monaco, and drew with Roma these past few years, so another EPL team isnt going to faze them. had a red card in 27th minute during KO vs my Juve last year and held us at bay till like the 75th minute. giving me 200's for this?? jesus. but 'Pool playing on another level lately; and theyve bloody scored in ALL but one of their roadies this year (14-1), personally I think, knowing Klopps tendencies, 'Pool gonna try to get that away goal and keep the scoreline manageable for teh 2nd leg. then all h*ll breaks loose. IF, they were playing this next weekend, I would absolutely hammer the 2.5 goals ****
Porto to qualify @+200 - if things go the way i hope/expect tonight, can hedge with something in 2nd leg. but i cant pass up this price.
Porto/Pool over 2.5 @-125
Real/PSG - i put in my CL thread last week i think this matchup is a coin flip, still do. not really trying to "find" an excuse/reason for this play just to match whatever is going on in this melon of mine. to me, theres a valid argument to pick all 4 (side & O/U). for me, I just cant write off Real, they have that resume. I dont know what the h*ll has been going on with them this year: perhaps theyve been "bored" and just waiting for the KO's to start (christ, they HAVE won everything these last few years, right?). perhaps its a WC season (more on this later); where those clubs with chock-full-O Intl stars have one eye on the summer. with PSG?? last year still gotta haunt them, a bulk of their players still here after tht colossal choke job. and getting Neymar/Mbappe does NOT help out in the 'mental strength' department. PSG has just 5 blips on that record this year.... ALL 5 were on the road. ALL 5 vs half-decent competition.
individual matchups area waste of time to compare. if theres one defender on this planet whom KNOWS all of Floppers tendencies it's Marcelo, but they lineup on opposite sides; and if PSG's midfield can gain control it will neutralize those feeds to Ronaldo. again... SPLITTING HAIRS.
scr*w it. its in Bernabeu. PSG thumps them next month.
Real to win @+140, Real -1.5 @+300 (small plays)