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Wednesday plays........

Forum: Soccer
Author: [Soccer] Topic: Wednesday plays........
specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/14/2018 3:14:12 AM
Asia CL:
Guan/Buriram over 3.5 @+110, over 4.5 @+240

Suwon to win @+290, over 2.5 @-105, over 3.5 @+190 - Australian teams have been poor in this competition of late but Sydney have been scoring in bunches domestically lately. Suwon had the 3rd best offense in league last year. yesterday a similar matchup between Melbourne/Ulsan resulted in a 3-3 draw. 

AFC Cup:
Johor -1 @+110, Johor/Persija over 3.5 @+110. over 4.5 @+260

back later with Europe and Copa Lib. 

GL to all
RaiderNation925 PM RaiderNation925
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Posted: 2/14/2018 3:31:59 AM
Good luck today! 
yorosan PM yorosan
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Posted: 2/14/2018 11:13:24 AM

Nice call on suwon, how could this happen with buriram scored once and the game still went under.....

regarding copa lib ...so far all I like is independ ML over gremio,

good luck 

yorosan PM yorosan
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:03:09 PM

Ohhhh and that's South American super cup hahaa....

Unstoppable Force PM Unstoppable Force
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:33:39 PM
 Best of luck specimen
specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:35:45 PM
Raider, yoro 

2-6 missing all the 'overs' in asia for a small loss. kinda p*ssed at that Guan/Bur match: 70-30% possession battle, doubled shot attempts. sometimes when ya cap one correctly the soccer GODS say  "not today"

got a nice one going off in Copa Lib later, but first.....  ehhh.... europe. 

UCL: goal scoring barrage continues in these 1st legs,  now 8 out of last 10 have blown 'over' at this stage, which to me... defies conventional wisdom.  
Porto/Pool - (just gonna cut-n-paste from my writeup last week in the CL discussion thread.  my opinions have not changed)
The better of the two matches being played today just MIGHT darn well be down here in Lisboa. Pools leaky defense & Porto doesnt roll over for anyone at home. 

fyi Striker,   I saw ur comment in the CL thread. tks fer the info. 

*****- hope im not the only one whom thinks Porto has a shot here. books arent giving Porto the respect I feel they deserve. this is a solid,veteran-led, European-experienced squad. at home theyve scalped Munich,Chelsea,Leicester, Monaco, and drew with Roma these past few years, so another EPL team isnt going to faze them. had a red card in 27th minute during KO vs my Juve last year and held us at bay till like the 75th minute. giving me 200's for this?? jesus.  but 'Pool playing on another level lately; and theyve bloody scored in ALL but one of their roadies this year (14-1), personally I think, knowing Klopps tendencies, 'Pool gonna try to get that away goal and keep the scoreline manageable for teh 2nd leg. then all h*ll breaks loose. IF, they were playing this next weekend, I would absolutely hammer the 2.5 goals ****

Porto to qualify @+200 - if things go the way i hope/expect tonight, can hedge with something in 2nd leg. but i cant pass up this price. 
Porto/Pool over 2.5 @-125

Real/PSG - i put in my CL thread last week i think this matchup is a coin flip, still do. not really trying to "find" an excuse/reason for this play just to match whatever is going on in this melon of mine. to me, theres a valid argument to pick all 4 (side & O/U).  for me, I just cant write off Real, they have that resume. I dont know what the h*ll has been going on with them this year: perhaps theyve been "bored" and just waiting for the KO's to start (christ, they HAVE won everything these last few years, right?).  perhaps its a WC season (more on this later); where those clubs with chock-full-O Intl stars have one eye on the summer. with PSG?? last year still gotta haunt them, a bulk of their players still here after tht colossal choke job. and getting Neymar/Mbappe does NOT help out in the 'mental strength' department. PSG has just 5 blips on that record this year.... ALL 5 were on the road. ALL 5 vs half-decent competition. 
individual matchups area waste of time to compare. if theres one defender on this planet whom KNOWS all of Floppers tendencies it's Marcelo, but they lineup on opposite sides; and if PSG's midfield can gain control it will neutralize those feeds to Ronaldo. again... SPLITTING HAIRS. 

scr*w it.   its in Bernabeu.   PSG thumps them next month. 

Real to win @+140, Real -1.5 @+300 (small plays)
specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:37:25 PM
Copa Lib: gonna hit this one with a lil bit more.
Vasco -1.5 @+120
Vasco(Bra)/Wilster(Bol) over 2.5 @-102, over 3.5 @+240 - Bolivian teams do not travel well, at all; and in my own opinion a mid-table bolivian squad is no match for a mid-table brazilian team on the road; and parking the bus is not going to help them, which is exactly what they will do. another reason for this play also lies within the fact that the return leg is next week in the altitude of Cochabamba. perhaps not as bad as La Paz but its still up there (8,000+ feet) and brazilian teams rarely fare well in the thin air; hence, there should be non-stop pressure here with plenty of scoring chances to give them a cushion for the 2nd leg. 
tho im careful not to compare seasons, Wilster paid two visits to Brazil last year (Mineiro 0-0 & Palmeiras 1-0); on paper it looks close but they were totally outclassed in each, giving up 68 & 70 % possession. tho its a silly comparison, these guys lost to River Plate 8-0 on road in the KO rounds too. the roster missing a few from the backline to start new season. they started the new year vs one of bolivias annual title-contenders Bolivar and were thumped 5-1 on the road. i smell a blowout here, hopefully with some goals.

GL to all.
Shenanigans96 PM Shenanigans96
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:42:54 PM

BOL spec ????

Im with ya on the over for Pool/Porto. I got even money on over 2.75 last night. It’s down to just 2.5 now at -111. Thinking I should keep pounding it. With the form of these two teams & Liverpool’s leaky defense alone, 3 or more shouldn’t be a problem. 

yorosan PM yorosan
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Posted: 2/14/2018 12:51:34 PM

nice stuff, my initial picks are real ML and reds ....but I just did some research and you mentioned just now.....this is the same odds when Juve being favorite against Porto in Ko round....but how could this possible??????pool is nowhere near to last year juve....so this line is completely inflated I think....I will pass this game and see if Neymar could be the 3rd best game changer behind Messi n C7

good luck 

specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/14/2018 2:20:45 PM
yoro, shen, uns 

last minute here......  adding one to go with my 'over'.

i did this with Juve ystday and the more I look at it, the more value I see.   did a run down of comparable opponents which 'Pool has played this year on the road (leicester, tott, sevilla, manc, arse) and theyve conceded 2+ in every match. 

Porto TT over 1.5 @+175 - unsure if they can win but thats a decent price.

GL to all
RaiderNation925 PM RaiderNation925
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Posted: 2/14/2018 2:24:05 PM
Good luck, would love to see Porto win, but im biased 
specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/14/2018 2:34:44 PM
Raider     i swear.... some of the stuff which floats into this forum here during these european sessions......    
RaiderNation925 PM RaiderNation925
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Posted: 2/14/2018 2:51:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by specimen24:

Raider     i swear.... some of the stuff which floats into this forum here during these european sessions......    


"Floats " is a great word for it 
specimen24 PM specimen24
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Posted: 2/15/2018 9:58:31 AM
nice day ystday, hitting a few decent payouts with suwon + real HC & swept the biggie in Copa Lib.  

yoro, in hindsight, nice decision to lay off porto ehh?  i was totally wrong too, but still hit the over (shaking my head).    i think its fairly safe to say the +200 on advancing is a goner. 

back in a bit with europa. 
yorosan PM yorosan
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Posted: 2/15/2018 10:13:20 AM

Yes usually first instinct is the most accurate, but nevermind I have a parlay with Madrid and Vasco -1.5, thanks man!!!!

looking forward to your Europa , definitely wanna see how sporting and braga react after their top leader embarrassment loss at home

 

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