Welcome back all hope the summer was good time to get busy.
Quick recap of LY after terrible 2-8 start couple so so weeks the Bridgemanites went on a real fun ride climbing back entered the last week at 57%... unfortunately a couple close losses champ week ended the season at 54.5% ... Studies have shown that there will be a lot more winning this year so let's get to it.
BRIDGE PLAY
1. Missouri -14.5 @ Wyoming
Hate layin TD's week 1 especially w lowlanders going up to the mountains... Slow moving Wyoming O should be just as slow this year and the risk here is they grab a couple scores and run out the clock on the spread while frustrated Tigers up 7 or so just want to win and get the hell out of there ... totally possible ..
We need to hope Mizzou takes a page out of the Wash St high altitude nutrition guide book and gets these guys ready to play but can't imagine 20 seniors who could have left after the bowl ban all return and then coaches forgets to hydrate them and AD cheaps out on the hotels and flies in the day before, they've had all offseason to plan this out... More likely is that Mizzou w Kelly B are rallying around each other w everyone staying together and want to make every moment count and get the fans excited by balling out week 1, not flop to low grade MW'ers ... The O may not put up more points or yards but will be much more dynamic and should be more in control, OL could be a concern but KB adds a whole new dimension and team needs to get them and the first team some real reps w WV homer next week .... Mizzou D takes maybe a step back but they have really strong leaders at each level and not expecting a significant drop on D and could be a bonanza on O if things start clicking....
The real edge on this game is more about the decline for the Cowboys rather than Mizzou's improvements. Cowboys D was the strength of the team LY and now some depth concerns at LB beyond the top two starters returning, DL should not be nearly as menacing w 3 of those 4 beasts moving on .. Excellent nasty DB unit loses > 100 starts w Epps and All time MW tackler Andrew Wingard's departures... Unless there were 3 or 4 hidden diamonds on the bench LY there's a big drop in production for this D and reports from camp don't sound very promising...
Welcome back all hope the summer was good time to get busy.
Quick recap of LY after terrible 2-8 start couple so so weeks the Bridgemanites went on a real fun ride climbing back entered the last week at 57%... unfortunately a couple close losses champ week ended the season at 54.5% ... Studies have shown that there will be a lot more winning this year so let's get to it.
BRIDGE PLAY
1. Missouri -14.5 @ Wyoming
Hate layin TD's week 1 especially w lowlanders going up to the mountains... Slow moving Wyoming O should be just as slow this year and the risk here is they grab a couple scores and run out the clock on the spread while frustrated Tigers up 7 or so just want to win and get the hell out of there ... totally possible ..
We need to hope Mizzou takes a page out of the Wash St high altitude nutrition guide book and gets these guys ready to play but can't imagine 20 seniors who could have left after the bowl ban all return and then coaches forgets to hydrate them and AD cheaps out on the hotels and flies in the day before, they've had all offseason to plan this out... More likely is that Mizzou w Kelly B are rallying around each other w everyone staying together and want to make every moment count and get the fans excited by balling out week 1, not flop to low grade MW'ers ... The O may not put up more points or yards but will be much more dynamic and should be more in control, OL could be a concern but KB adds a whole new dimension and team needs to get them and the first team some real reps w WV homer next week .... Mizzou D takes maybe a step back but they have really strong leaders at each level and not expecting a significant drop on D and could be a bonanza on O if things start clicking....
The real edge on this game is more about the decline for the Cowboys rather than Mizzou's improvements. Cowboys D was the strength of the team LY and now some depth concerns at LB beyond the top two starters returning, DL should not be nearly as menacing w 3 of those 4 beasts moving on .. Excellent nasty DB unit loses > 100 starts w Epps and All time MW tackler Andrew Wingard's departures... Unless there were 3 or 4 hidden diamonds on the bench LY there's a big drop in production for this D and reports from camp don't sound very promising...
Cowboys O loses realllly great RB Nico Evans ~1,400 yds last seson and backup is not looking like he's picking up all the slack ... If theres not a truly stud RB emerging by surprise expect a big chunk of this team's O to not be replaced.. Wyo was a very reliable 60/40 rush team LY and 65% of yards on the ground.. OL replacing 2 and they weren't paving the way last year it was excellent RB and decent enough backup so not exactly a situation we plug in #2 and voila we keep rumblin.. Craig Bohl is going with Chambers at QB who played the final 4 games LY all wins and looks like a real gamer scrambling.. problem here is he only threw it 25 times.... that's like less than 6 throw per game dude... and wasn't playing the best competition Co St, SJSU, AF, New Mexico... The WR situation looks like it could be way beyond crush depth and I fully expect Bohl to embrace an even more one dimensional offense this year as long as there's no sign of life in the passing game.. .. Added bonus, I like the idea of Mizzou's D practicing against super mobile Bryant coming into this one...
Motivation wise Mizzou has everything to play for still including a bowl w/ the ban in appeal... Bryant trying out for the NFL, needs to prove he's not just a quitter when better players show up... Sky's still the limit for these guys... Wyoming 6 game winner LY was snubbed from a bowl and HUGE rebuilding and trying to find leaders especially on D ... they will need to accept a big loss if it comes and take the experience and get ready for a very winnable roadie vs Tex St on deck followed by Idaho, Tulsa and UNLV before things start getting tough ... really need to rack up the wins after Mizzou blowout if they want to lock down a bowl this year... and don't even think of buying hooks week 1 you degenerate freak you!!!....
Cowboys O loses realllly great RB Nico Evans ~1,400 yds last seson and backup is not looking like he's picking up all the slack ... If theres not a truly stud RB emerging by surprise expect a big chunk of this team's O to not be replaced.. Wyo was a very reliable 60/40 rush team LY and 65% of yards on the ground.. OL replacing 2 and they weren't paving the way last year it was excellent RB and decent enough backup so not exactly a situation we plug in #2 and voila we keep rumblin.. Craig Bohl is going with Chambers at QB who played the final 4 games LY all wins and looks like a real gamer scrambling.. problem here is he only threw it 25 times.... that's like less than 6 throw per game dude... and wasn't playing the best competition Co St, SJSU, AF, New Mexico... The WR situation looks like it could be way beyond crush depth and I fully expect Bohl to embrace an even more one dimensional offense this year as long as there's no sign of life in the passing game.. .. Added bonus, I like the idea of Mizzou's D practicing against super mobile Bryant coming into this one...
Motivation wise Mizzou has everything to play for still including a bowl w/ the ban in appeal... Bryant trying out for the NFL, needs to prove he's not just a quitter when better players show up... Sky's still the limit for these guys... Wyoming 6 game winner LY was snubbed from a bowl and HUGE rebuilding and trying to find leaders especially on D ... they will need to accept a big loss if it comes and take the experience and get ready for a very winnable roadie vs Tex St on deck followed by Idaho, Tulsa and UNLV before things start getting tough ... really need to rack up the wins after Mizzou blowout if they want to lock down a bowl this year... and don't even think of buying hooks week 1 you degenerate freak you!!!....
OT.. .. more hoping they play their part and especially get KB the snaps .. really down on Wyoming this year and hope the weird environment doesn't mess this one up..
BRIDGE PLAY 2
TEXAS STATE +34.5
Reading ESPN makes me think the Bob's will lose by 100 points here but I think there's ALOT that needs to get broken in on this A&M team and quick with departure of All everything RB Trayveon Williams.. his backup Corbin just a soph this year looked competent at #2 but not the same kinda beast at all.. and and really coach needs to find a solid #2 now with Vernon Jackson out .... there are no carries behind him coming into this year and no reason to see Mond dominate this team other than to get the WR's back in rhythm... With Starkel through the portal now and out the other side they're probably compelled to try out a #2 if up a few scores in H2, no need to be up 5TD's before then... 66-zip doesn't do any good for them in this spot, coach needs heads in a game not a blowout so everyone can goof off on the sidelines ...
D w 4 starters back has alot to work on too.. expect to see a rotation of all those amazing freshman we've been hearing all about in the hype news.. No need to delve into it there's just too many things to work on and too many new players to break in and rotations to make ..
Texas St w 19 starters back ... putrid offense LY yes but sneaky D ... New Coach and staff but team all around should be better and get Montana's QB who played under the OC so should be familiar enough with what they're doing but if LY's freshman QB is the go to guy then so be it I dont think they need too many points to put the line out of reach.. Also like we got a group of Tx kids who were snubbed by the big program and all want to make a big play in this one to keep it reasonable just long enough..
Probably the one real risk here is on ST with TA&M being pretty good last year and TX St .. could be trouble if A&M starts running back free points..
OT.. .. more hoping they play their part and especially get KB the snaps .. really down on Wyoming this year and hope the weird environment doesn't mess this one up..
BRIDGE PLAY 2
TEXAS STATE +34.5
Reading ESPN makes me think the Bob's will lose by 100 points here but I think there's ALOT that needs to get broken in on this A&M team and quick with departure of All everything RB Trayveon Williams.. his backup Corbin just a soph this year looked competent at #2 but not the same kinda beast at all.. and and really coach needs to find a solid #2 now with Vernon Jackson out .... there are no carries behind him coming into this year and no reason to see Mond dominate this team other than to get the WR's back in rhythm... With Starkel through the portal now and out the other side they're probably compelled to try out a #2 if up a few scores in H2, no need to be up 5TD's before then... 66-zip doesn't do any good for them in this spot, coach needs heads in a game not a blowout so everyone can goof off on the sidelines ...
D w 4 starters back has alot to work on too.. expect to see a rotation of all those amazing freshman we've been hearing all about in the hype news.. No need to delve into it there's just too many things to work on and too many new players to break in and rotations to make ..
Texas St w 19 starters back ... putrid offense LY yes but sneaky D ... New Coach and staff but team all around should be better and get Montana's QB who played under the OC so should be familiar enough with what they're doing but if LY's freshman QB is the go to guy then so be it I dont think they need too many points to put the line out of reach.. Also like we got a group of Tx kids who were snubbed by the big program and all want to make a big play in this one to keep it reasonable just long enough..
Probably the one real risk here is on ST with TA&M being pretty good last year and TX St .. could be trouble if A&M starts running back free points..
Guess I'll call this a Week 2 play ... usually don't go for GoY's but A&M is in the cross hairs early this year and let's make it offish.. Also think the line might jump back over 17 next week if A&M not lighting it up and Clem getting first crack at the new GT team yikes .. A&M needing to break in all kinds of newbies and their backups and rotations vs Tex St and just don't see a well oiled machine by Week 2 even though Mond is a great QB and leader... Clem O is elite in just about every way and A&M won't have many answers here..
Aside from the A&M RB the top received AA TE ... plenty of other talent but that guy was a gem .. D really needs to reload with top 6 tacklers out they lose some really big numbers on D and again, ESPN/247, etc Freshman Phenoms aren't gunna cut it here and don't expect Dabo to ease up and let them sneak back into this one... thinking he would rather go for a cherry on top of this one if its available just for making him sweat last year .. And especially w Cuse on deck no need to be playing down to the wire just to have a hangover in the dome the next week, thinking team will be very focused and motivated in this spot... not good for A&M with their many exploitable losses.. I mean stocked Freshman 300 super class.. lol..
Guess I'll call this a Week 2 play ... usually don't go for GoY's but A&M is in the cross hairs early this year and let's make it offish.. Also think the line might jump back over 17 next week if A&M not lighting it up and Clem getting first crack at the new GT team yikes .. A&M needing to break in all kinds of newbies and their backups and rotations vs Tex St and just don't see a well oiled machine by Week 2 even though Mond is a great QB and leader... Clem O is elite in just about every way and A&M won't have many answers here..
Aside from the A&M RB the top received AA TE ... plenty of other talent but that guy was a gem .. D really needs to reload with top 6 tacklers out they lose some really big numbers on D and again, ESPN/247, etc Freshman Phenoms aren't gunna cut it here and don't expect Dabo to ease up and let them sneak back into this one... thinking he would rather go for a cherry on top of this one if its available just for making him sweat last year .. And especially w Cuse on deck no need to be playing down to the wire just to have a hangover in the dome the next week, thinking team will be very focused and motivated in this spot... not good for A&M with their many exploitable losses.. I mean stocked Freshman 300 super class.. lol..
Good rationale on week 2 for Clemson v. TAMU. Ecko is a good DC...But, people forget that Bryant started and played most of the game at TAMU last season, and Laurence was still raw...Its a different story now...I like the pick. On week 1, even with the inexerience, TAMU can name the score against Texas State at home... A former OC coach Spavital (Sumlin) in the HC at Texas State...I guess, from a capping perspective, the lookahead at Clemson, could play a factor if TAMU covers against Texas State...Note, TAMU did cover against Northwestern State in week 1 last season...
Good rationale on week 2 for Clemson v. TAMU. Ecko is a good DC...But, people forget that Bryant started and played most of the game at TAMU last season, and Laurence was still raw...Its a different story now...I like the pick. On week 1, even with the inexerience, TAMU can name the score against Texas State at home... A former OC coach Spavital (Sumlin) in the HC at Texas State...I guess, from a capping perspective, the lookahead at Clemson, could play a factor if TAMU covers against Texas State...Note, TAMU did cover against Northwestern State in week 1 last season...
Sup longhorn yeah I left out quite a bit on the Clem pick Bryant playing most the way and Trevor pitching a TD on first throw didn't go unmissed!! Also super duper low rush output for superstar Williams and thinking Clem prob not needing to devote as much attention to stopping their run this year ... no need to drop every detail on that one it's alot of points and just think they're outmatched....
No doubt A&M could absolutely destroy that team it's just a situation where covering 5TDs and showing off is just not the goal here and I think Tx St should just be a little more experienced and will finagle a few points and keep it out of reach...
Almost went with Bama -33 vs Duke might still QH at QB was sooooo incredibly inaccurate that they might ynot cross the 50 yd line this game.. Bama looking insanely good this year and nobody wants to be the first guy caught in the film room putting out less than 10,000% this year so that one actually does seem like they'll be playing for 56-0 total domination .. Decent enough Duke D and unsure what Saban's and Cut's tendencies will be with their backups is the issue, Tua backup zero snaps and can't get in a jam w zero snaps behind him in that conf but besides QB backup talent looks really strong.. and I'd think Cut would have to worry about his QB at some point... and if QH is the best QB I can't imagine what his backup is throwing like, lol..
Sup longhorn yeah I left out quite a bit on the Clem pick Bryant playing most the way and Trevor pitching a TD on first throw didn't go unmissed!! Also super duper low rush output for superstar Williams and thinking Clem prob not needing to devote as much attention to stopping their run this year ... no need to drop every detail on that one it's alot of points and just think they're outmatched....
No doubt A&M could absolutely destroy that team it's just a situation where covering 5TDs and showing off is just not the goal here and I think Tx St should just be a little more experienced and will finagle a few points and keep it out of reach...
Almost went with Bama -33 vs Duke might still QH at QB was sooooo incredibly inaccurate that they might ynot cross the 50 yd line this game.. Bama looking insanely good this year and nobody wants to be the first guy caught in the film room putting out less than 10,000% this year so that one actually does seem like they'll be playing for 56-0 total domination .. Decent enough Duke D and unsure what Saban's and Cut's tendencies will be with their backups is the issue, Tua backup zero snaps and can't get in a jam w zero snaps behind him in that conf but besides QB backup talent looks really strong.. and I'd think Cut would have to worry about his QB at some point... and if QH is the best QB I can't imagine what his backup is throwing like, lol..
Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven.
Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers..
Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven.
Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers..
Yo WMI, good to seeya, good luck this year buddy! BRIDGE PLAY 3 Let's make it offish. FLORIDA -7 Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven. Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers.. Good Luck!
I like Florida as well but as the number has climbed to -7, and probably headed to -7.5, I can't commit. Might tease this one down because Florida is the better team and should come away just fine here.
Yo WMI, good to seeya, good luck this year buddy! BRIDGE PLAY 3 Let's make it offish. FLORIDA -7 Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven. Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers.. Good Luck!
I like Florida as well but as the number has climbed to -7, and probably headed to -7.5, I can't commit. Might tease this one down because Florida is the better team and should come away just fine here.
Thanks for stopping by, good luck. Yeah week 1 small bet just like the matchup, new coach, new QB, talent is getting used to the new system.. should be some hard hitting D and 7 might be a little high in this kinda tough rivalry game but we'll see..
Looking at another small bet on Kent State at 25.5 or 26 so banking on Kent putting up a few points which would make ASU need 5 or 6 TD's at least in this one ... I think ASU has alot to work on with their young offense other than just blowing this team out ... expect newly crowned #1 QB daniels to play all game, backup Sterling-Cole only got about 5 attempts all of last year behind Manny which is kindof a surprise ... might see limited end of game time for #2 but both have zero snaps... WR group loses Harry, still solid/needs to find leaders there, Eno / Manny were 90% of the rush att's LY .... Manny was such a reliable dual threat QB you can't expect Daniels to match what he was doing off the bat and if I'm coach w no #2 I would much rather he work on passing and not risking his small frame in week 1, so I'd expect ASU has to figure out who is going to be a #2 RB in this one, they have two and both looking like a work in progress...
Kent O should be much more comfortable in their speed offense and think this will put ASU in a spot where they gotta rotate some folks in a pretty good looking D this year and Kent should find a way to finagle a few points .. maybe quite a few, they have a pretty nice cushion with this line to work with..
Total at 60.5 / 25.5 line implies ASU a 43 - 17 win over Kent so that extra point or half point might be looming large toward end of this one.
Thanks for stopping by, good luck. Yeah week 1 small bet just like the matchup, new coach, new QB, talent is getting used to the new system.. should be some hard hitting D and 7 might be a little high in this kinda tough rivalry game but we'll see..
Looking at another small bet on Kent State at 25.5 or 26 so banking on Kent putting up a few points which would make ASU need 5 or 6 TD's at least in this one ... I think ASU has alot to work on with their young offense other than just blowing this team out ... expect newly crowned #1 QB daniels to play all game, backup Sterling-Cole only got about 5 attempts all of last year behind Manny which is kindof a surprise ... might see limited end of game time for #2 but both have zero snaps... WR group loses Harry, still solid/needs to find leaders there, Eno / Manny were 90% of the rush att's LY .... Manny was such a reliable dual threat QB you can't expect Daniels to match what he was doing off the bat and if I'm coach w no #2 I would much rather he work on passing and not risking his small frame in week 1, so I'd expect ASU has to figure out who is going to be a #2 RB in this one, they have two and both looking like a work in progress...
Kent O should be much more comfortable in their speed offense and think this will put ASU in a spot where they gotta rotate some folks in a pretty good looking D this year and Kent should find a way to finagle a few points .. maybe quite a few, they have a pretty nice cushion with this line to work with..
Total at 60.5 / 25.5 line implies ASU a 43 - 17 win over Kent so that extra point or half point might be looming large toward end of this one.
Maceo - Yep now let's hope it happens!, good luck to us!
BA, good luck to you in the big show
Wise, thanks best of luck and may we both find those MoV diamonds
mjm, good to see you buddy
Couple more I'll go ahead and make offish ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
4. KENT +25.5
Basically what I said up in post #12, let's take a small stab here and see if Kent is just a little better and ASU is kinda busy working on some things getting themselves ready for Michigan state and others... ASU homer btw, we knew they'd be better than advertised LY and they seem like they're skating on thin ice this year... everything goes well, no injuries, daniels looks good then sure thing maybe a bowl... but seems like there's a lotta ways that can go wrong for these guys this year..
5. GA.SOUTHERN +28
Similar theme here... Note the last time LSU really took a small team / low threat to the woodshead... 2018: LA Tech, Rice, 2017: UT-Chat, Troy, 'Cuse... All Losses ATS and Troy a Loss SU... You gotta go back to Oct. 2016 since Coach O wasn't riding the brakes against one of these P-5'ers or other really much weaker teams, 20+ point spread, you get the profile.... And prob only beat up on S.Miss that year because it was shortly after he was installed to replace Miles.. Anyway, there should be plenty to be thinking about with UT on deck.. LSU is by all my readings a cut above in terms of strength, I think they'll land right there with UGA as another team that can really throw some heat this year..
All the mags are telling you how good LSU will be.... They're also telling you that G.So wasn't deserving of last years' 10 wins and facing big drops this year of -10 MoV forecasted!!! 3.5 fewer RSW's!!! those are big drops for a team that Phil has ranked #37 in returning production from their 10 win team... just wondering where's the problem.. I think some of the reason for this is they lost a couple RB's and forecasts don't tend to know how to compute for these one dimensional teams... D has leaders at each level and JD King xfer RB from Ok St is said to be a go now think we're fine if... they had viable backup RB's anyway.... Wertz sounds good to go.. get the picture?...
Anyway, guess in backward land it takes Werts being reinstated to push the line up to 28 when I think LSU would be happy to just get outta there with a win and not have their starters get their knees cut out from under them for a whole game.. real line for these guys should be next rung down, 24ish or so.. and given LSU's history against the scrappy Non P-5 crowd and who they got on deck, maybe even a pinch below that like 23/22..
Maceo - Yep now let's hope it happens!, good luck to us!
BA, good luck to you in the big show
Wise, thanks best of luck and may we both find those MoV diamonds
mjm, good to see you buddy
Couple more I'll go ahead and make offish ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
4. KENT +25.5
Basically what I said up in post #12, let's take a small stab here and see if Kent is just a little better and ASU is kinda busy working on some things getting themselves ready for Michigan state and others... ASU homer btw, we knew they'd be better than advertised LY and they seem like they're skating on thin ice this year... everything goes well, no injuries, daniels looks good then sure thing maybe a bowl... but seems like there's a lotta ways that can go wrong for these guys this year..
5. GA.SOUTHERN +28
Similar theme here... Note the last time LSU really took a small team / low threat to the woodshead... 2018: LA Tech, Rice, 2017: UT-Chat, Troy, 'Cuse... All Losses ATS and Troy a Loss SU... You gotta go back to Oct. 2016 since Coach O wasn't riding the brakes against one of these P-5'ers or other really much weaker teams, 20+ point spread, you get the profile.... And prob only beat up on S.Miss that year because it was shortly after he was installed to replace Miles.. Anyway, there should be plenty to be thinking about with UT on deck.. LSU is by all my readings a cut above in terms of strength, I think they'll land right there with UGA as another team that can really throw some heat this year..
All the mags are telling you how good LSU will be.... They're also telling you that G.So wasn't deserving of last years' 10 wins and facing big drops this year of -10 MoV forecasted!!! 3.5 fewer RSW's!!! those are big drops for a team that Phil has ranked #37 in returning production from their 10 win team... just wondering where's the problem.. I think some of the reason for this is they lost a couple RB's and forecasts don't tend to know how to compute for these one dimensional teams... D has leaders at each level and JD King xfer RB from Ok St is said to be a go now think we're fine if... they had viable backup RB's anyway.... Wertz sounds good to go.. get the picture?...
Anyway, guess in backward land it takes Werts being reinstated to push the line up to 28 when I think LSU would be happy to just get outta there with a win and not have their starters get their knees cut out from under them for a whole game.. real line for these guys should be next rung down, 24ish or so.. and given LSU's history against the scrappy Non P-5 crowd and who they got on deck, maybe even a pinch below that like 23/22..
Really like the GSU play. LSU with a game to look forward to, clock will be moving quickly with an option offense (shortened game), and like you said: LSU would like to get ahead by 3 scores and get their starting DL out of there before somebody is too banged up to play against UT.
Really like the GSU play. LSU with a game to look forward to, clock will be moving quickly with an option offense (shortened game), and like you said: LSU would like to get ahead by 3 scores and get their starting DL out of there before somebody is too banged up to play against UT.
Maceo - Yep now let's hope it happens!, good luck to us!
BA, good luck to you in the big show
Wise, thanks best of luck and may we both find those MoV diamonds
mjm, good to see you buddy
Couple more I'll go ahead and make offish ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
4. KENT +25.5
Basically what I said up in post #12, let's take a small stab here and see if Kent is just a little better and ASU is kinda busy working on some things getting themselves ready for Michigan state and others... ASU homer btw, we knew they'd be better than advertised LY and they seem like they're skating on thin ice this year... everything goes well, no injuries, daniels looks good then sure thing maybe a bowl... but seems like there's a lotta ways that can go wrong for these guys this year..
5. GA.SOUTHERN +28
Similar theme here... Note the last time LSU really took a small team / low threat to the woodshead... 2018: LA Tech, Rice, 2017: UT-Chat, Troy, 'Cuse... All Losses ATS and Troy a Loss SU... You gotta go back to Oct. 2016 since Coach O wasn't riding the brakes against one of these P-5'ers or other really much weaker teams, 20+ point spread, you get the profile.... And prob only beat up on S.Miss that year because it was shortly after he was installed to replace Miles.. Anyway, there should be plenty to be thinking about with UT on deck.. LSU is by all my readings a cut above in terms of strength, I think they'll land right there with UGA as another team that can really throw some heat this year..
All the mags are telling you how good LSU will be.... They're also telling you that G.So wasn't deserving of last years' 10 wins and facing big drops this year of -10 MoV forecasted!!! 3.5 fewer RSW's!!! those are big drops for a team that Phil has ranked #37 in returning production from their 10 win team... just wondering where's the problem.. I think some of the reason for this is they lost a couple RB's and forecasts don't tend to know how to compute for these one dimensional teams... D has leaders at each level and JD King xfer RB from Ok St is said to be a go now think we're fine if... they had viable backup RB's anyway.... Wertz sounds good to go.. get the picture?...
Anyway, guess in backward land it takes Werts being reinstated to push the line up to 28 when I think LSU would be happy to just get outta there with a win and not have their starters get their knees cut out from under them for a whole game.. real line for these guys should be next rung down, 24ish or so.. and given LSU's history against the scrappy Non P-5 crowd and who they got on deck, maybe even a pinch below that like 23/22..
Good Luck!
Hey Bridge. Good to see you this year and love all the thoughtful/logical knowledge you always drop on your picks.
Wanted
to comment via ASU. I don't really have a lean in terms of team but
really like the under, which might play to the advantage of your lean.
Last year the books were slow to adjust to ASU's slow it down 3-3-5
defense and I think they are doing that again here.
As for QB, of note I was not a Manny guy, I'm of the opinion Daniels will meet the standard of play that Manny set early in the year (and he better if they want to compete with Sparty week 3) Wilkins was always heralded for his short accuracy and improvisation but otherwise I saw a limited QB. While being intentionally measured in comments reading between the lines it's clear the braintrust thinks Daniels could be a complete gamechanger for the program, and in the least will take care of the ball and have breakaway speed when in trouble. One other thing another true freshman Yellen won the backup job not DSC, might also help you if backdoor needed.
If you look at ASU's defense this year it has tops of the PAC 12 upside. I'm planning to do a bit of an ASU preview, have a hunch on how to bet them this year.
Maceo - Yep now let's hope it happens!, good luck to us!
BA, good luck to you in the big show
Wise, thanks best of luck and may we both find those MoV diamonds
mjm, good to see you buddy
Couple more I'll go ahead and make offish ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
4. KENT +25.5
Basically what I said up in post #12, let's take a small stab here and see if Kent is just a little better and ASU is kinda busy working on some things getting themselves ready for Michigan state and others... ASU homer btw, we knew they'd be better than advertised LY and they seem like they're skating on thin ice this year... everything goes well, no injuries, daniels looks good then sure thing maybe a bowl... but seems like there's a lotta ways that can go wrong for these guys this year..
5. GA.SOUTHERN +28
Similar theme here... Note the last time LSU really took a small team / low threat to the woodshead... 2018: LA Tech, Rice, 2017: UT-Chat, Troy, 'Cuse... All Losses ATS and Troy a Loss SU... You gotta go back to Oct. 2016 since Coach O wasn't riding the brakes against one of these P-5'ers or other really much weaker teams, 20+ point spread, you get the profile.... And prob only beat up on S.Miss that year because it was shortly after he was installed to replace Miles.. Anyway, there should be plenty to be thinking about with UT on deck.. LSU is by all my readings a cut above in terms of strength, I think they'll land right there with UGA as another team that can really throw some heat this year..
All the mags are telling you how good LSU will be.... They're also telling you that G.So wasn't deserving of last years' 10 wins and facing big drops this year of -10 MoV forecasted!!! 3.5 fewer RSW's!!! those are big drops for a team that Phil has ranked #37 in returning production from their 10 win team... just wondering where's the problem.. I think some of the reason for this is they lost a couple RB's and forecasts don't tend to know how to compute for these one dimensional teams... D has leaders at each level and JD King xfer RB from Ok St is said to be a go now think we're fine if... they had viable backup RB's anyway.... Wertz sounds good to go.. get the picture?...
Anyway, guess in backward land it takes Werts being reinstated to push the line up to 28 when I think LSU would be happy to just get outta there with a win and not have their starters get their knees cut out from under them for a whole game.. real line for these guys should be next rung down, 24ish or so.. and given LSU's history against the scrappy Non P-5 crowd and who they got on deck, maybe even a pinch below that like 23/22..
Good Luck!
Hey Bridge. Good to see you this year and love all the thoughtful/logical knowledge you always drop on your picks.
Wanted
to comment via ASU. I don't really have a lean in terms of team but
really like the under, which might play to the advantage of your lean.
Last year the books were slow to adjust to ASU's slow it down 3-3-5
defense and I think they are doing that again here.
As for QB, of note I was not a Manny guy, I'm of the opinion Daniels will meet the standard of play that Manny set early in the year (and he better if they want to compete with Sparty week 3) Wilkins was always heralded for his short accuracy and improvisation but otherwise I saw a limited QB. While being intentionally measured in comments reading between the lines it's clear the braintrust thinks Daniels could be a complete gamechanger for the program, and in the least will take care of the ball and have breakaway speed when in trouble. One other thing another true freshman Yellen won the backup job not DSC, might also help you if backdoor needed.
If you look at ASU's defense this year it has tops of the PAC 12 upside. I'm planning to do a bit of an ASU preview, have a hunch on how to bet them this year.
Yo WMI, good to seeya, good luck this year buddy! BRIDGE PLAY 3 Let's make it offish. FLORIDA -7 Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven. Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers.. Good Luck!
Just saw this today - Can't believe everything we read but the early reports on Miami QB Williams may be relevant
“We are very confident, the team is very confident in Jarren,” Diaz said. “All the reasons why we picked him, he still shows all of those attributes. Since that day, we have been game-planning for two weeks, enabling him to run the same stuff again and again that we will feature in Orlando. I don’t think that has just helped him, but (also) everyone on offense.
“It is a natural thing to have the confidence of the coaching staff and the team to know you’re the guy. And that’s why we made the decision we made public; we felt that (part) superseded any value in having a surprise on Saturday.”
Last December, Williams was thinking about transferring out of Miami after he only played in one game of what was a depressing season for the Hurricanes.
Williams said when Mark Richt retired days after a demoralizing 35-3 loss to Wisconsin in the Pinstripe Bowl and Diaz was quickly named his successor, “the whole mindset just started to change for everyone.”
Yo WMI, good to seeya, good luck this year buddy! BRIDGE PLAY 3 Let's make it offish. FLORIDA -7 Not a whole lot to say other than UM is going with neither Perry or Tate... im sure the other guy is pretty good but here we have a fairly new QB w new coaches vs a vet QB in a system that should be clicking with everyone from the beginning... UF's talent strength and abilities are proven on the field. Big question for them is on Oline but not freshman or babies and the expectations aren't low just unproven. Miami Oline is in a similar boat and we'll see how they and new QB do vs UF D which is looking really tough again. Big talk about the big talent infusion and really like KJ Osborne from Buff LY and the new talent pool sounds really great... but transfers into new system which means the UM veterans of the old system won't be as helpful and week 1 seems like a good time to test this team out with a really veteran group when we know both teams will be giving their best punches... It does sound like DB depth could be an issue with UF but the starters are solid and really like the idea of new QB w new coach going up against a bunch of soon to be NFL'ers.. Good Luck!
Just saw this today - Can't believe everything we read but the early reports on Miami QB Williams may be relevant
“We are very confident, the team is very confident in Jarren,” Diaz said. “All the reasons why we picked him, he still shows all of those attributes. Since that day, we have been game-planning for two weeks, enabling him to run the same stuff again and again that we will feature in Orlando. I don’t think that has just helped him, but (also) everyone on offense.
“It is a natural thing to have the confidence of the coaching staff and the team to know you’re the guy. And that’s why we made the decision we made public; we felt that (part) superseded any value in having a surprise on Saturday.”
Last December, Williams was thinking about transferring out of Miami after he only played in one game of what was a depressing season for the Hurricanes.
Williams said when Mark Richt retired days after a demoralizing 35-3 loss to Wisconsin in the Pinstripe Bowl and Diaz was quickly named his successor, “the whole mindset just started to change for everyone.”
FYI, just did some reading on Florida's offensive line, and they said that no unit has improved or gelled more in the off season. They do some kind of game with a pool and wrestle or something, they are always practicing late, and going everywhere together. What was going to look like a weakness, could potentially be a strength, and I have high expectations for Franks.
Miami's pass rush and D will scare the Gators and everyone on a few drives, but I still see the Gators coming out with a DD win. Good luck!
FYI, just did some reading on Florida's offensive line, and they said that no unit has improved or gelled more in the off season. They do some kind of game with a pool and wrestle or something, they are always practicing late, and going everywhere together. What was going to look like a weakness, could potentially be a strength, and I have high expectations for Franks.
Miami's pass rush and D will scare the Gators and everyone on a few drives, but I still see the Gators coming out with a DD win. Good luck!
Dawg - yeah we'll see LSU is looking pretty good, just thinking back to how they really eeked out a cover vs Clem last year but Clem D was on some realllly next level stuff and LSU is getting there but not quite... I expect GS to show up and just think 4 TD's is too much to hand over to them when the motivation is just clearly not to demolish these guys... week 1, smaller bets will be fun to see if that's the case.
WMI - Let's get after it this year buddy!
Bubba - yeah ASU D looks tough.. no doubt. Kent St was just a sneaky cover team last year and in the 2nd year of that ultra fast O with alot of their guys back.. I think this is going to cause just enogh probs but ASU home openers are prob not a great place to test this theory out.. regardless I'll take the 25.. and year ASU could be kindof a wildcard when the D has proven itself and just needs to get clicking on O which I just don't think will be happening out of the gate but again smaller bets here and will be interesting to see what happens. - good luck this year bubba, look forward to yer picks!.
David -
Combato - Yeah my judgement said take the 7 right when the announcement was made assumed we wouldn't see 7 for too long. which might be the case at least now.. Jarren could be a real wildcard now that we know he's better than the other options, that's a real risk here especially when layin' 7 in a week 1 rivalry game... pretty much need the UF D to be dominant here or it's gunna fall apart in a hurry... good luck however yer going with it.. maybe total or team total...
IFan - glad to hear they're gellin like felons, def good news!
Dawg - yeah we'll see LSU is looking pretty good, just thinking back to how they really eeked out a cover vs Clem last year but Clem D was on some realllly next level stuff and LSU is getting there but not quite... I expect GS to show up and just think 4 TD's is too much to hand over to them when the motivation is just clearly not to demolish these guys... week 1, smaller bets will be fun to see if that's the case.
WMI - Let's get after it this year buddy!
Bubba - yeah ASU D looks tough.. no doubt. Kent St was just a sneaky cover team last year and in the 2nd year of that ultra fast O with alot of their guys back.. I think this is going to cause just enogh probs but ASU home openers are prob not a great place to test this theory out.. regardless I'll take the 25.. and year ASU could be kindof a wildcard when the D has proven itself and just needs to get clicking on O which I just don't think will be happening out of the gate but again smaller bets here and will be interesting to see what happens. - good luck this year bubba, look forward to yer picks!.
David -
Combato - Yeah my judgement said take the 7 right when the announcement was made assumed we wouldn't see 7 for too long. which might be the case at least now.. Jarren could be a real wildcard now that we know he's better than the other options, that's a real risk here especially when layin' 7 in a week 1 rivalry game... pretty much need the UF D to be dominant here or it's gunna fall apart in a hurry... good luck however yer going with it.. maybe total or team total...
IFan - glad to hear they're gellin like felons, def good news!
1. H1 MIZZOU -10 - They played LY... It took a while for the tigers to pull away last year, this was vs a much stronger D and Cowboys had alot fewer questions on O for that game.... Presser notes that Zou is hoping to get alot of their young players some action (freshman RS 1 of 4 game) whatever you call it... so might be some of this in H1 but I think we know how coach could best make this happen.... this tidbit has made me a little sour on the original pick but do really like punching this again for H1.
2. H1 NEVADA +7 - Long travel day getting to Nevada I'm sure Purdue will be very acclimated, etc but I just don't think Purdue is coming out on supa-hot-fire in this one and think they'll be in a bit of a dog fight early on... I think the opposite on Altitude game #1 above and we'll see what happens...
3. H1 MEMPHIS -3 - Memphis should be off and running while Miss should be getting in a groove... maybe they get it down by H2 but think Memphis delivers a bit of a pop out of the gate..
4. H1 BAMA / DUKE UNDER 31.5 - The risk here is Duke O is so outmatched by Bama D that we get one of those 28 point first 5 minutes again just like they did with Oklahoma... Duke's D should actually be not bad.... pretty much a certainty all the starters are playing in H1 .. I don't think Duke's QB gets them in any sort of position to score points... so gamble here is can Bama do all / virtually all of the scoring.. yeah this one could actually get ugly.. we'll see.
5. H1 BAMA -21 - Really like this one, again just don't think Duke does the scoring and really half bet goes to this one and other half is on that Under 31.5 and think we get a nice enough middle to hit both.... note this could also end in disaster, sure but I doubt Bama has been doing much goofing off since getting embarrassed in the champ game by a freshman QB LY and for at least the first half the fightin' Saban's will be playing near perfect football... Bama should be further motivated to get a big lead early and give QB#2 some reps since there are no snaps behind Tua and well that has to be top of Saban's needs list right now after what happened LY...
1. H1 MIZZOU -10 - They played LY... It took a while for the tigers to pull away last year, this was vs a much stronger D and Cowboys had alot fewer questions on O for that game.... Presser notes that Zou is hoping to get alot of their young players some action (freshman RS 1 of 4 game) whatever you call it... so might be some of this in H1 but I think we know how coach could best make this happen.... this tidbit has made me a little sour on the original pick but do really like punching this again for H1.
2. H1 NEVADA +7 - Long travel day getting to Nevada I'm sure Purdue will be very acclimated, etc but I just don't think Purdue is coming out on supa-hot-fire in this one and think they'll be in a bit of a dog fight early on... I think the opposite on Altitude game #1 above and we'll see what happens...
3. H1 MEMPHIS -3 - Memphis should be off and running while Miss should be getting in a groove... maybe they get it down by H2 but think Memphis delivers a bit of a pop out of the gate..
4. H1 BAMA / DUKE UNDER 31.5 - The risk here is Duke O is so outmatched by Bama D that we get one of those 28 point first 5 minutes again just like they did with Oklahoma... Duke's D should actually be not bad.... pretty much a certainty all the starters are playing in H1 .. I don't think Duke's QB gets them in any sort of position to score points... so gamble here is can Bama do all / virtually all of the scoring.. yeah this one could actually get ugly.. we'll see.
5. H1 BAMA -21 - Really like this one, again just don't think Duke does the scoring and really half bet goes to this one and other half is on that Under 31.5 and think we get a nice enough middle to hit both.... note this could also end in disaster, sure but I doubt Bama has been doing much goofing off since getting embarrassed in the champ game by a freshman QB LY and for at least the first half the fightin' Saban's will be playing near perfect football... Bama should be further motivated to get a big lead early and give QB#2 some reps since there are no snaps behind Tua and well that has to be top of Saban's needs list right now after what happened LY...
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