Wahoo - love the new thread... GREAT SUCCESS!!! good luck this week pal
Moonstorm - yeah totally demoralizing to open that way...and happens every year, can't remember my last good week 1.. hope we can keep our shows going !!!
Borrowing from the lines on BA's great thread ... couple off the bat to look into in and around this mark...
Utah -3... Gunna make it a little stormy back there for TJ daniels....
Wazzu -1... Oregon riding high.. Wazzu is no pushover.. Oreg run first O could be dangerous ....
Mizzu -7... see BWS' game after alabama theory
Tulane -5... I like tulane at home.. redux of Memphis?...
Duke -8.. catching UVA off game of their careers... Duke run D legit
BG +16.... keeping alot of these close.. Ohio / Umass was preview?
Marshall -1.. need to look into.
Buffalo -3.. don't think -3 would last long.. let's keep the Buff Show Rollin!!!
Washington -15... check Co. WR sitch..
CMU +5 Battle of michigan week .. like the home doggies?..
Wahoo - love the new thread... GREAT SUCCESS!!! good luck this week pal
Moonstorm - yeah totally demoralizing to open that way...and happens every year, can't remember my last good week 1.. hope we can keep our shows going !!!
Borrowing from the lines on BA's great thread ... couple off the bat to look into in and around this mark...
Utah -3... Gunna make it a little stormy back there for TJ daniels....
Wazzu -1... Oregon riding high.. Wazzu is no pushover.. Oreg run first O could be dangerous ....
Mizzu -7... see BWS' game after alabama theory
Tulane -5... I like tulane at home.. redux of Memphis?...
Duke -8.. catching UVA off game of their careers... Duke run D legit
BG +16.... keeping alot of these close.. Ohio / Umass was preview?
Marshall -1.. need to look into.
Buffalo -3.. don't think -3 would last long.. let's keep the Buff Show Rollin!!!
Washington -15... check Co. WR sitch..
CMU +5 Battle of michigan week .. like the home doggies?..
Ball st +3... EMU off 6 straight tough games... finally beat Toledo at home... now off to roadie with scrappy Ball .. both need a win here to keep the bowl dream alive.
ULM -12... off 5 of 6 roadie realllly tough slate... surprised with big win vs Coastal.. now get Tex.St home .. Tex St back to a pumpkin after catching G.So offense sleeping last week?...
FSU -9.... Wake and Noles off a bye.. First roadie for Wake since Tulane week 1... Noles have a realllly tough schedule after this, need this one bad... Sting of UM game still on their minds FO-SHO.
Old Dom +3 .. Beats VT.. loses to everyone else... of course only time I have a bet involving them is on VT.. lol... Idk lotta tougher teams that WKU on their slate ... need to win out to hit 6 wins... WKU starts the easy part of their schedule.. hmmm
Ball st +3... EMU off 6 straight tough games... finally beat Toledo at home... now off to roadie with scrappy Ball .. both need a win here to keep the bowl dream alive.
ULM -12... off 5 of 6 roadie realllly tough slate... surprised with big win vs Coastal.. now get Tex.St home .. Tex St back to a pumpkin after catching G.So offense sleeping last week?...
FSU -9.... Wake and Noles off a bye.. First roadie for Wake since Tulane week 1... Noles have a realllly tough schedule after this, need this one bad... Sting of UM game still on their minds FO-SHO.
Old Dom +3 .. Beats VT.. loses to everyone else... of course only time I have a bet involving them is on VT.. lol... Idk lotta tougher teams that WKU on their slate ... need to win out to hit 6 wins... WKU starts the easy part of their schedule.. hmmm
Lines's gone from -1 to +2 so maybe a part bet and topper off if we get +3 or something else good looking is the move here...
Anyway, Wash State has been a little under the radar this year ... only games anyone might have seen are the win at home vs Utah and loss to USC on the road. Loss to USC secured their 18th straight home victory and it was extremely close to not being the case... Cougs got it done vs Utah on their passing and playing a little D... not rushing they got zero yards for the game... so at least we know they can survive without that dimension... Wazzu also getting a little penetration racking up 40 TFL's only giving up 24 ... dishing 18 sacks, giving up 5.... and this is spread out fairly even over all the games not one monster FCS D game ...... Only 4 TFL's and 2 sacks given up to Utah which is a good litmus test... which is weird they got zero yards on 18 tries but only couple were for loss...
Oregon got profiled a little bit last week in a BRIDGE PLAY WIN... concerns with them then were they've been hit and miss in the pass and rush.. actually rushing alot more than expected considering the #1 DC QB hype but maybe that's just how coach wants to play it..... They've been a little tooooo inconsistent to be called good yet when you're hitting in the 45ish% completion vs BG and SJSU.. Now after big win going on the road, notoriously tough place to play, weird offense they have to study up on quickly.. just seems like a good spot for a let down... Note the pass D vs Stan was the downfall and almost the downfall yesterday so above all else it seems like there's an edge in the right place with this pick...
Wash St no new major injuries, Oregon couple OL beaten up yesterday they're ??? on the Don-Best-O-Meter...
Lines's gone from -1 to +2 so maybe a part bet and topper off if we get +3 or something else good looking is the move here...
Anyway, Wash State has been a little under the radar this year ... only games anyone might have seen are the win at home vs Utah and loss to USC on the road. Loss to USC secured their 18th straight home victory and it was extremely close to not being the case... Cougs got it done vs Utah on their passing and playing a little D... not rushing they got zero yards for the game... so at least we know they can survive without that dimension... Wazzu also getting a little penetration racking up 40 TFL's only giving up 24 ... dishing 18 sacks, giving up 5.... and this is spread out fairly even over all the games not one monster FCS D game ...... Only 4 TFL's and 2 sacks given up to Utah which is a good litmus test... which is weird they got zero yards on 18 tries but only couple were for loss...
Oregon got profiled a little bit last week in a BRIDGE PLAY WIN... concerns with them then were they've been hit and miss in the pass and rush.. actually rushing alot more than expected considering the #1 DC QB hype but maybe that's just how coach wants to play it..... They've been a little tooooo inconsistent to be called good yet when you're hitting in the 45ish% completion vs BG and SJSU.. Now after big win going on the road, notoriously tough place to play, weird offense they have to study up on quickly.. just seems like a good spot for a let down... Note the pass D vs Stan was the downfall and almost the downfall yesterday so above all else it seems like there's an edge in the right place with this pick...
Wash St no new major injuries, Oregon couple OL beaten up yesterday they're ??? on the Don-Best-O-Meter...
Gotta play with the Bulls once again, it's been a few times this year, always winning. Key matchup in this will be Buff Rush D vs Toledo's rush, very clear if their rush suffers it's not a good day for them. Nobody's done well in that department vs Buffalo yet except Army and they're just on another level running the ball. Bulls are sporting a great TFL ratio 45:25 and dishing out 17 sacks.... opponents have one sack on this team all year... These stats go quite the opposite way for Toledo giving up alot more than they're dishing out. Buff been very consistent in their rush attack, again sans Army, Toledo's been giving up ALOT of yards on the ground very consistently.....
Buff star RB Marks is on the ??? don-best list is a little concerning But backup Jaret Patterson has filled in well getting ~5ypc so.. Bulls also got back WR Anthony Johnson last game... while he only got them 2 receptions I assume he was covered up pretty tight... KJ Osborne has filled in the lead WR role in AJ's absence and did so again last week 6 Rec, over 100 yds... Johnson will get back in the swing soon hope this week and it'll give them another dimension in their pass game, guys an NFL player for sure...
So possible let down spot on the road.. they certainly had a slower game vs CMU (still covered)... Should also be noted, Buff with Miami Ohio on deck and they're the only competition for them in their MAC division... But still kinda surprised we're catching a few points here but oh well let's ride them bulls one more time!
Fine catching just the 2.5 entirely possible we need a point or two. Probably going up with this one if we see +3 again.
Gotta play with the Bulls once again, it's been a few times this year, always winning. Key matchup in this will be Buff Rush D vs Toledo's rush, very clear if their rush suffers it's not a good day for them. Nobody's done well in that department vs Buffalo yet except Army and they're just on another level running the ball. Bulls are sporting a great TFL ratio 45:25 and dishing out 17 sacks.... opponents have one sack on this team all year... These stats go quite the opposite way for Toledo giving up alot more than they're dishing out. Buff been very consistent in their rush attack, again sans Army, Toledo's been giving up ALOT of yards on the ground very consistently.....
Buff star RB Marks is on the ??? don-best list is a little concerning But backup Jaret Patterson has filled in well getting ~5ypc so.. Bulls also got back WR Anthony Johnson last game... while he only got them 2 receptions I assume he was covered up pretty tight... KJ Osborne has filled in the lead WR role in AJ's absence and did so again last week 6 Rec, over 100 yds... Johnson will get back in the swing soon hope this week and it'll give them another dimension in their pass game, guys an NFL player for sure...
So possible let down spot on the road.. they certainly had a slower game vs CMU (still covered)... Should also be noted, Buff with Miami Ohio on deck and they're the only competition for them in their MAC division... But still kinda surprised we're catching a few points here but oh well let's ride them bulls one more time!
Fine catching just the 2.5 entirely possible we need a point or two. Probably going up with this one if we see +3 again.
Memphis off an absolute heart breaker at home vs UCF, gotta feel for those guys and others caught in the UCF side bet blood bath last week. Well this week after the tears dry they get a pretty tough roadie to Mizzou who at 3-3 and past the really would want a win here and not a struggle in this one before conf. play kicks back in gear. Sure it could be a let down but funny feeling they'll be taking this seriously after 3 straight losses and a heart breaker of their own.
Mizzou stats are a tougher to make sense of because of the easy than tougher slate they've had. To me it seems like the Offense shouldn't have any trouble getting traction. They;ve been dishing out alot more TFL's than giving up which is surprising and their Run Offense has been consistent sans vs Bama... run D consistent sans UGA and Bama... that makes sense.... What was exposed about Memphis a few weeks back with Tulane is when the Tiger rush doesn't supplement the O in a big way the points go way way way down... I'd look for a similar experience here and think Mizzzzzouuu runs away with it at some point.
Memphis off an absolute heart breaker at home vs UCF, gotta feel for those guys and others caught in the UCF side bet blood bath last week. Well this week after the tears dry they get a pretty tough roadie to Mizzou who at 3-3 and past the really would want a win here and not a struggle in this one before conf. play kicks back in gear. Sure it could be a let down but funny feeling they'll be taking this seriously after 3 straight losses and a heart breaker of their own.
Mizzou stats are a tougher to make sense of because of the easy than tougher slate they've had. To me it seems like the Offense shouldn't have any trouble getting traction. They;ve been dishing out alot more TFL's than giving up which is surprising and their Run Offense has been consistent sans vs Bama... run D consistent sans UGA and Bama... that makes sense.... What was exposed about Memphis a few weeks back with Tulane is when the Tiger rush doesn't supplement the O in a big way the points go way way way down... I'd look for a similar experience here and think Mizzzzzouuu runs away with it at some point.
Wash off their big game loss vs Oregon.. really fun game and showed that Wash is a very good all around team... how about those announcers talking about taylor rapp the whole game?... it was well deserved commentary, guy and that D are pretty darn good... welp they lost but that was last game and while we note that they're still looking a step down in most departments from their 2017 form, this is still a great team and can lay the wood pretty hard on their lower competition...
Enter Colorado who going into USC hadn't played a team I'd say deserving of the top 40 or so and got a wake up call when the Trojans smashed their perfect record into smithereens... that wasn't all that got smashed, Super star heisman candidate WR, QB, RB, (and probably more things), Laviska Shenault suffered a toe injury and we found out just how single player dimensional the Buffs were ... not that SC is really superior at anything, maybe some pass D is ok, but they looked great against them even when the guy was playing... Trayvon McMillan, RB also getting put out of that one and buffs quickly devolved into pass only team relying on penalties to move the ball at all... a number of other players were limping around too. team got pretty beat up...
So maybe those players all come back, team cannot be fresh after that drubbing.. now roadie to Wash where the huskies can take out their woe's on them .. hate to say it buffs fans.. seems like this mission just got a hell of a lot more.... impossible....
Wash off their big game loss vs Oregon.. really fun game and showed that Wash is a very good all around team... how about those announcers talking about taylor rapp the whole game?... it was well deserved commentary, guy and that D are pretty darn good... welp they lost but that was last game and while we note that they're still looking a step down in most departments from their 2017 form, this is still a great team and can lay the wood pretty hard on their lower competition...
Enter Colorado who going into USC hadn't played a team I'd say deserving of the top 40 or so and got a wake up call when the Trojans smashed their perfect record into smithereens... that wasn't all that got smashed, Super star heisman candidate WR, QB, RB, (and probably more things), Laviska Shenault suffered a toe injury and we found out just how single player dimensional the Buffs were ... not that SC is really superior at anything, maybe some pass D is ok, but they looked great against them even when the guy was playing... Trayvon McMillan, RB also getting put out of that one and buffs quickly devolved into pass only team relying on penalties to move the ball at all... a number of other players were limping around too. team got pretty beat up...
So maybe those players all come back, team cannot be fresh after that drubbing.. now roadie to Wash where the huskies can take out their woe's on them .. hate to say it buffs fans.. seems like this mission just got a hell of a lot more.... impossible....
UNLV - Looked much improved since NM game, QB actuall ok, need to cut the Sacks out... now back home vs AF team who played the late game vs SDSU with hr ++ rain delay... heart breaker leaves them 0-3 on the road.
BUFFALO - Surprised they're the dog
OLD DOMINION - WKY shouldn't ever be a fav.. these guys are due for a win #2
KENT ST - Akron at home... under the radar heated rivalry.. Anything can happen when there's a Wagon Wheel at stake
BALL ST - EMU hasn't had an easy game yet and the record shows it. Team's gotta be worn out by now... first "easy" game is a trip to ball st... we'll see.
UNLV - Looked much improved since NM game, QB actuall ok, need to cut the Sacks out... now back home vs AF team who played the late game vs SDSU with hr ++ rain delay... heart breaker leaves them 0-3 on the road.
BUFFALO - Surprised they're the dog
OLD DOMINION - WKY shouldn't ever be a fav.. these guys are due for a win #2
KENT ST - Akron at home... under the radar heated rivalry.. Anything can happen when there's a Wagon Wheel at stake
BALL ST - EMU hasn't had an easy game yet and the record shows it. Team's gotta be worn out by now... first "easy" game is a trip to ball st... we'll see.
Temple playing fairly solid all year, tough close losses vs Buff, BC and big win vs MD... Cruzin last couple weeks vs ECU and nice win last week vs Navy with BIG pass stats huge completion %'s!!!.... Run D looks like the key to stopping Cincy, and seems like Temple could make things difficult but Cincy's run has been real strong all year... Cincy looking pretty good all over including against the run and pass, all foes have not fared so well against them...
One concern with the pick is while Cincy played UCLA on the road the resume of their competition has looked a little pedestrian.. They did beat up on Miami Oh 21-zip who has looked pretty good as of late, pretty good run D on them.... tulane, ohio wins.. not much to brag about... What's to like is a pretty solid consistency on both sides of the ball especially on pass D since temple can get dangerous if they can let loose in the air. All Cincy opponents under 200 yds passing and opp QB's sporting a 5-4 TD-Int ratio and run D been pretty solid too, under 4ypc on the year... not bad, tough sledding for opponents...
Cincy also off a bye trying to cement a 6-0 record after years in the doldrums.. I like the momentum, def not going to take these guys lightly... Seems to be the kinda team that might push Temple past their threshold... the 3.5 point buffer feels pretty good too.
Center for cincy out team has some backups, makes it a little concerning but plenty of practice time to get up to speed.
Temple playing fairly solid all year, tough close losses vs Buff, BC and big win vs MD... Cruzin last couple weeks vs ECU and nice win last week vs Navy with BIG pass stats huge completion %'s!!!.... Run D looks like the key to stopping Cincy, and seems like Temple could make things difficult but Cincy's run has been real strong all year... Cincy looking pretty good all over including against the run and pass, all foes have not fared so well against them...
One concern with the pick is while Cincy played UCLA on the road the resume of their competition has looked a little pedestrian.. They did beat up on Miami Oh 21-zip who has looked pretty good as of late, pretty good run D on them.... tulane, ohio wins.. not much to brag about... What's to like is a pretty solid consistency on both sides of the ball especially on pass D since temple can get dangerous if they can let loose in the air. All Cincy opponents under 200 yds passing and opp QB's sporting a 5-4 TD-Int ratio and run D been pretty solid too, under 4ypc on the year... not bad, tough sledding for opponents...
Cincy also off a bye trying to cement a 6-0 record after years in the doldrums.. I like the momentum, def not going to take these guys lightly... Seems to be the kinda team that might push Temple past their threshold... the 3.5 point buffer feels pretty good too.
Center for cincy out team has some backups, makes it a little concerning but plenty of practice time to get up to speed.
Texas Tech fresh off a big road win over TCU and catching the Jay Hawks in a sandwich spot week before another roadie to Iowa State, whose taken on some new prominence in the Big 12 beating W.V. last week. Kansas comes into this one off a bye after a decent performance at West Virginia.. WV and Kansas scores in the last minute or so make the final total a little skewed... Most of the game was spent wondering when oh when is WV going going to just pull away... they didn't need to and game kinda ended with a few ???'s about WV which Iowa state helped them resolve....
Looking like the starting QB for T-Tech Alan Bowman won't be playing but might be good to wait for more confirmation.... But news reports have him not practicing from his collapsed lung.. I'll guess he's not in... Backup Jett Duffy filled in pretty well but nowhere near the produduction they were getting from Bowman like the 63 pts vs Houston... Bowman hitting ~55% 2-4 ratio but has the run dimension couple 80+ yard rush games...
Hard to see them laying the wood in this spot, big HUUUUGE game on deck for them if they want to stay in the Big 12 hunt.. WV had a much bigger motivation to drive the score up being in the champ hunt and Grier in the heisman hunt... T-Tech just has to get past this one.. Also demotivating is Kansas hasn't won on a BIG roadie in last 48 tries back to 2008 ... so over 10 years.. wow.. Slew of other players dinged up on the Don Best list so If you're coach Gosling might as well make sure you're good to go for Iowa State then Oklahoma after that...
Kansas leading the nation in takaways at +13.. should be noted 12 of those +'s came against CMU and Rutgers but took it away from WV 4 times... Pretty good D all around, LB Dinan and a few others are true stars.. And Peyton Bender at QB full time would help.. 60%, 6-1 ratio.. Pooka Williams ripping it for 7ypc.. play needs his help for sure... And did notice the team didn't quit in that WV game played to the end...
Big conference sandwich, key players dinged up, new QB, a scrappy team who hasn't won in this spot in 10 years coming to town... I'll give it a shot.
Texas Tech fresh off a big road win over TCU and catching the Jay Hawks in a sandwich spot week before another roadie to Iowa State, whose taken on some new prominence in the Big 12 beating W.V. last week. Kansas comes into this one off a bye after a decent performance at West Virginia.. WV and Kansas scores in the last minute or so make the final total a little skewed... Most of the game was spent wondering when oh when is WV going going to just pull away... they didn't need to and game kinda ended with a few ???'s about WV which Iowa state helped them resolve....
Looking like the starting QB for T-Tech Alan Bowman won't be playing but might be good to wait for more confirmation.... But news reports have him not practicing from his collapsed lung.. I'll guess he's not in... Backup Jett Duffy filled in pretty well but nowhere near the produduction they were getting from Bowman like the 63 pts vs Houston... Bowman hitting ~55% 2-4 ratio but has the run dimension couple 80+ yard rush games...
Hard to see them laying the wood in this spot, big HUUUUGE game on deck for them if they want to stay in the Big 12 hunt.. WV had a much bigger motivation to drive the score up being in the champ hunt and Grier in the heisman hunt... T-Tech just has to get past this one.. Also demotivating is Kansas hasn't won on a BIG roadie in last 48 tries back to 2008 ... so over 10 years.. wow.. Slew of other players dinged up on the Don Best list so If you're coach Gosling might as well make sure you're good to go for Iowa State then Oklahoma after that...
Kansas leading the nation in takaways at +13.. should be noted 12 of those +'s came against CMU and Rutgers but took it away from WV 4 times... Pretty good D all around, LB Dinan and a few others are true stars.. And Peyton Bender at QB full time would help.. 60%, 6-1 ratio.. Pooka Williams ripping it for 7ypc.. play needs his help for sure... And did notice the team didn't quit in that WV game played to the end...
Big conference sandwich, key players dinged up, new QB, a scrappy team who hasn't won in this spot in 10 years coming to town... I'll give it a shot.
GA-SO is off their wildly uncharacteristic performance against Texas state that many probably didn't see if they were watching TCU.. Tex St very much the benefactors of a down game for the eagles as 17 point or so road favs.. Team just never got going almost cost them the game in the end.
Now off to Las Crusas which is where the concerns with this one start.. Its a nice long trip saturday and it's a short week to appy state.. So yeah another potential look ahead but after last weeks scare and longer prep week coach should have them in gear...
GA-So has been very very consistent most of this year and very strong on the run, can reallly wear a team out... that's the play here.. texas state has spotty hit and miss D and they hit last time.. NMSU has no run D and last we saw they were getting rolled up by ULL for 66-38... A trip through the stats does make it look like NMSU can get a few points and hang in there.. but note their resurgence was against UTEP, Liberty and ULL.. total bottom dwellers... More likely in this one their D doesn't get off the field much and they end up in the tail spit they were in for all of September vs NM, Wyoming and Utah State..
GA-SO is off their wildly uncharacteristic performance against Texas state that many probably didn't see if they were watching TCU.. Tex St very much the benefactors of a down game for the eagles as 17 point or so road favs.. Team just never got going almost cost them the game in the end.
Now off to Las Crusas which is where the concerns with this one start.. Its a nice long trip saturday and it's a short week to appy state.. So yeah another potential look ahead but after last weeks scare and longer prep week coach should have them in gear...
GA-So has been very very consistent most of this year and very strong on the run, can reallly wear a team out... that's the play here.. texas state has spotty hit and miss D and they hit last time.. NMSU has no run D and last we saw they were getting rolled up by ULL for 66-38... A trip through the stats does make it look like NMSU can get a few points and hang in there.. but note their resurgence was against UTEP, Liberty and ULL.. total bottom dwellers... More likely in this one their D doesn't get off the field much and they end up in the tail spit they were in for all of September vs NM, Wyoming and Utah State..
Keep it short, high winds expected for this game, weather channel showing 17mph morning of the game and gusts 20-30.. greater Iowa expecting these windy days all weekend not just the one day. This seemed to bring the line down from an open of 13.5 and total down from 52 to 47.5.
Think there's a pretty good beat on Md by now although they have thrown a few curve balls this year. Team playing much better at home and much much better when there's not a decent D on the field... Michigan game was expected, and they got 2 garbage time TD's in that one... but Temple held them to 14 and those points were off a pick 6 and a punt return.... Def not the team we saw tearing up UT in Week 1.. UT not the same either...
MD offense heavily reliant on the run... a trip through the stats showing that their pass game is not lighting it up... 15-20 attempts and ~50% completions / hundred yds/game pretty consistently. When we put the Bridge Play stamp on Mich vs MD a few weeks back the expectation was shut down their run and make them pass... very bad results for the Terps.. Similar situation here.. Iowa with a very impressive run D.. most teams under 100 yds and well under 3 per carry other than Wisco who was effective... So game plan here is to really load the box and with a big wind doing it's thing they can turn to their already inaccurate QB if they want... Will be tough sleddin either way...
Iowa has a grind it out style run game and pretty good passing ... Big wind might limit their pass but should still be a dangerous dimension and keep drives going.. MD's run D has been pretty good too but teams solid in run and pass are hanging about 30/game on them.... Iowa at home think this ends up 28-7 or so...
One concern is the spot for Iowa.. MD in the middle of a B2B double roadie sandwich... Iowa killed Minn and Indy so this might seem a nice break before roadies to Penn St and Purdue... Hawkeyes D has been very consistent so still like the play...
Possible the line drops further under 10.. I think is a great deal... Would play the total sooner than later. Definitely looking at the Team total for Md, calc ~19 I'd take it 17.5 or better....
Keep it short, high winds expected for this game, weather channel showing 17mph morning of the game and gusts 20-30.. greater Iowa expecting these windy days all weekend not just the one day. This seemed to bring the line down from an open of 13.5 and total down from 52 to 47.5.
Think there's a pretty good beat on Md by now although they have thrown a few curve balls this year. Team playing much better at home and much much better when there's not a decent D on the field... Michigan game was expected, and they got 2 garbage time TD's in that one... but Temple held them to 14 and those points were off a pick 6 and a punt return.... Def not the team we saw tearing up UT in Week 1.. UT not the same either...
MD offense heavily reliant on the run... a trip through the stats showing that their pass game is not lighting it up... 15-20 attempts and ~50% completions / hundred yds/game pretty consistently. When we put the Bridge Play stamp on Mich vs MD a few weeks back the expectation was shut down their run and make them pass... very bad results for the Terps.. Similar situation here.. Iowa with a very impressive run D.. most teams under 100 yds and well under 3 per carry other than Wisco who was effective... So game plan here is to really load the box and with a big wind doing it's thing they can turn to their already inaccurate QB if they want... Will be tough sleddin either way...
Iowa has a grind it out style run game and pretty good passing ... Big wind might limit their pass but should still be a dangerous dimension and keep drives going.. MD's run D has been pretty good too but teams solid in run and pass are hanging about 30/game on them.... Iowa at home think this ends up 28-7 or so...
One concern is the spot for Iowa.. MD in the middle of a B2B double roadie sandwich... Iowa killed Minn and Indy so this might seem a nice break before roadies to Penn St and Purdue... Hawkeyes D has been very consistent so still like the play...
Possible the line drops further under 10.. I think is a great deal... Would play the total sooner than later. Definitely looking at the Team total for Md, calc ~19 I'd take it 17.5 or better....
Excellent choices my friend and continue to wear a path to the pay window!
Take a look at the under of the Kent State/Akron game. Could very well be my play of the week, as neither of this teams can score.
Word up Urban I will... Didn't do much on the totals only caught "wind" of the iowa one when checking the line bet...
From what I recall the wagon wheel game is actually a relatively big rivalry and I know this because I got stung in the azz backing Thomas Woodson -6 vs Kent State's RB turned 3rd string QB Nick Holley and his bro Nate on D...
Excellent choices my friend and continue to wear a path to the pay window!
Take a look at the under of the Kent State/Akron game. Could very well be my play of the week, as neither of this teams can score.
Word up Urban I will... Didn't do much on the totals only caught "wind" of the iowa one when checking the line bet...
From what I recall the wagon wheel game is actually a relatively big rivalry and I know this because I got stung in the azz backing Thomas Woodson -6 vs Kent State's RB turned 3rd string QB Nick Holley and his bro Nate on D...
Keep it short, high winds expected for this game, weather channel showing 17mph morning of the game and gusts 20-30.. greater Iowa expecting these windy days all weekend not just the one day. This seemed to bring the line down from an open of 13.5 and total down from 52 to 47.5.
Think there's a pretty good beat on Md by now although they have thrown a few curve balls this year. Team playing much better at home and much much better when there's not a decent D on the field... Michigan game was expected, and they got 2 garbage time TD's in that one... but Temple held them to 14 and those points were off a pick 6 and a punt return.... Def not the team we saw tearing up UT in Week 1.. UT not the same either...
MD offense heavily reliant on the run... a trip through the stats showing that their pass game is not lighting it up... 15-20 attempts and ~50% completions / hundred yds/game pretty consistently. When we put the Bridge Play stamp on Mich vs MD a few weeks back the expectation was shut down their run and make them pass... very bad results for the Terps.. Similar situation here.. Iowa with a very impressive run D.. most teams under 100 yds and well under 3 per carry other than Wisco who was effective... So game plan here is to really load the box and with a big wind doing it's thing they can turn to their already inaccurate QB if they want... Will be tough sleddin either way...
Iowa has a grind it out style run game and pretty good passing ... Big wind might limit their pass but should still be a dangerous dimension and keep drives going.. MD's run D has been pretty good too but teams solid in run and pass are hanging about 30/game on them.... Iowa at home think this ends up 28-7 or so...
One concern is the spot for Iowa.. MD in the middle of a B2B double roadie sandwich... Iowa killed Minn and Indy so this might seem a nice break before roadies to Penn St and Purdue... Hawkeyes D has been very consistent so still like the play...
Possible the line drops further under 10.. I think is a great deal... Would play the total sooner than later. Definitely looking at the Team total for Md, calc ~19 I'd take it 17.5 or better....
Good Luck!!
Really detailed and thoughtful write-ups Bridge. I am impressed.
About this Iowa game. Iowa made the top of my list as soon as lines came out and then I started to think of how they could not cover. You brought up the run and Maryland. Assume Iowa stacks the box, the speed of Maryland is unreal at their offensive talent positions. What about a jet sweep getting the WRs involved in a slot position and then use the gaps up the middle or run it? This would soften up the constant urge to stack the box and I expect Maryland to FIND A WAY to score 14 pts in this game. Given the wind that is expected and Iowa's SWITCH to more passing it seems or a better balance than past years, I actually like Maryland now a lot more.
BOL and thanks
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Keep it short, high winds expected for this game, weather channel showing 17mph morning of the game and gusts 20-30.. greater Iowa expecting these windy days all weekend not just the one day. This seemed to bring the line down from an open of 13.5 and total down from 52 to 47.5.
Think there's a pretty good beat on Md by now although they have thrown a few curve balls this year. Team playing much better at home and much much better when there's not a decent D on the field... Michigan game was expected, and they got 2 garbage time TD's in that one... but Temple held them to 14 and those points were off a pick 6 and a punt return.... Def not the team we saw tearing up UT in Week 1.. UT not the same either...
MD offense heavily reliant on the run... a trip through the stats showing that their pass game is not lighting it up... 15-20 attempts and ~50% completions / hundred yds/game pretty consistently. When we put the Bridge Play stamp on Mich vs MD a few weeks back the expectation was shut down their run and make them pass... very bad results for the Terps.. Similar situation here.. Iowa with a very impressive run D.. most teams under 100 yds and well under 3 per carry other than Wisco who was effective... So game plan here is to really load the box and with a big wind doing it's thing they can turn to their already inaccurate QB if they want... Will be tough sleddin either way...
Iowa has a grind it out style run game and pretty good passing ... Big wind might limit their pass but should still be a dangerous dimension and keep drives going.. MD's run D has been pretty good too but teams solid in run and pass are hanging about 30/game on them.... Iowa at home think this ends up 28-7 or so...
One concern is the spot for Iowa.. MD in the middle of a B2B double roadie sandwich... Iowa killed Minn and Indy so this might seem a nice break before roadies to Penn St and Purdue... Hawkeyes D has been very consistent so still like the play...
Possible the line drops further under 10.. I think is a great deal... Would play the total sooner than later. Definitely looking at the Team total for Md, calc ~19 I'd take it 17.5 or better....
Good Luck!!
Really detailed and thoughtful write-ups Bridge. I am impressed.
About this Iowa game. Iowa made the top of my list as soon as lines came out and then I started to think of how they could not cover. You brought up the run and Maryland. Assume Iowa stacks the box, the speed of Maryland is unreal at their offensive talent positions. What about a jet sweep getting the WRs involved in a slot position and then use the gaps up the middle or run it? This would soften up the constant urge to stack the box and I expect Maryland to FIND A WAY to score 14 pts in this game. Given the wind that is expected and Iowa's SWITCH to more passing it seems or a better balance than past years, I actually like Maryland now a lot more.
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