This is the week...going to Vegas so this will be my last report of the season. My spreadsheet is done. Just updating it for injuries and waiting for week 4 stats to be published. The good news is I have at least 8 picks to share with analysis to write up. The best news to report is that we have a RUBBER BAND game to report and wager on. I will add to this thread as I complete my write ups and will summarize at the end.
This is the week...going to Vegas so this will be my last report of the season. My spreadsheet is done. Just updating it for injuries and waiting for week 4 stats to be published. The good news is I have at least 8 picks to share with analysis to write up. The best news to report is that we have a RUBBER BAND game to report and wager on. I will add to this thread as I complete my write ups and will summarize at the end.
This is the week...going to Vegas so this will be my last report of the season. My spreadsheet is done. Just updating it for injuries and waiting for week 4 stats to be published. The good news is I have at least 8 picks to share with analysis to write up. The best news to report is that we have a RUBBER BAND game to report and wager on. I will add to this thread as I complete my write ups and will summarize at the end.
This is the week...going to Vegas so this will be my last report of the season. My spreadsheet is done. Just updating it for injuries and waiting for week 4 stats to be published. The good news is I have at least 8 picks to share with analysis to write up. The best news to report is that we have a RUBBER BAND game to report and wager on. I will add to this thread as I complete my write ups and will summarize at the end.
-First thing is first.Western Michigan is better than Miami – Ohio (ranked 83 vs, 109).Neither of these teams are very good, but the Broncs have the better offense - averaging 36.8 ppg while Miami is only averaging 17.3 ppg.Miami opened the season with a 7 point home loss to Marshall, a team equally ranked in comparison to Western Michigan.I was impressed with Western Michigan’s 19 point beatdown of Georgia State last week, since Georgia State is about equal to Miami – OH.While Miami did win last week (a 38-23 victory over Soylent Green) but Bowling Green hasn’t stopped anyone else this year either.Western Michigan’s two toughest opponents were Michigan and Syracuse.Whereas Miami’s two toughest games were against Cincinnati and Minnesota.In summary, Western Michigan’s offense has played better against a much tougher schedule than Miami has faced.The Bronco offense is ranked 37 while the Redhawk offense isn’t going anywhere ranked 120.It’s the the conference opener for Western Michigan and a victory here will be enough for the cover.Laying down 4 units on the Broncos.
-First thing is first.Western Michigan is better than Miami – Ohio (ranked 83 vs, 109).Neither of these teams are very good, but the Broncs have the better offense - averaging 36.8 ppg while Miami is only averaging 17.3 ppg.Miami opened the season with a 7 point home loss to Marshall, a team equally ranked in comparison to Western Michigan.I was impressed with Western Michigan’s 19 point beatdown of Georgia State last week, since Georgia State is about equal to Miami – OH.While Miami did win last week (a 38-23 victory over Soylent Green) but Bowling Green hasn’t stopped anyone else this year either.Western Michigan’s two toughest opponents were Michigan and Syracuse.Whereas Miami’s two toughest games were against Cincinnati and Minnesota.In summary, Western Michigan’s offense has played better against a much tougher schedule than Miami has faced.The Bronco offense is ranked 37 while the Redhawk offense isn’t going anywhere ranked 120.It’s the the conference opener for Western Michigan and a victory here will be enough for the cover.Laying down 4 units on the Broncos.
ALABAMA – 50.5 vs Louisiana -This is insane!I didn’t sign up for this!How can you have a 50.5 point spread?The Cajuns weren’t exactly Ragin’ when they went down to Mississippi State 2 weeks ago and lost by 46 points.Alabama could win this game by 100 points if it wanted to.Does it want to?Ask Mr. Saban, who was concerned about the possibility of overlooking future opponents.
"Don't take things for granted," he said. "That we're going to show up because we have an Alabama uniform on and win the game. It ain't ... it's not going to happen that way. And it's going to be everybody's choice in the organization."
There’s no need to go through all the stats and common opponents.The bottom line here is Bama isn’t going to let Louisiana score a touchdown.I am sure that’s one of their team goals this week. On the other side of the ball, the Ragin Cajuns are giving up 5.8 yards per carry against teams such as Grambling and Coastal Carolina.Even if Bama runs dive plays, they are going to get first downs every time they carry the ball and Louisiana won’t be able to sustain any drives to keep the ball away from the Tide.Yes the Tide will Roll Roll Roll.The secret sauce in this cover is that Saban is going to let Jalen Hurts do whatever he wants and Hurts will want to prove he could start for any team in college football.The Ragin Cajuns will just be collateral damage.Like Ivan Drago said, “If he dies, he dies.”Laying the 50.5 points and Roll Tide for 5 Units.
ALABAMA – 50.5 vs Louisiana -This is insane!I didn’t sign up for this!How can you have a 50.5 point spread?The Cajuns weren’t exactly Ragin’ when they went down to Mississippi State 2 weeks ago and lost by 46 points.Alabama could win this game by 100 points if it wanted to.Does it want to?Ask Mr. Saban, who was concerned about the possibility of overlooking future opponents.
"Don't take things for granted," he said. "That we're going to show up because we have an Alabama uniform on and win the game. It ain't ... it's not going to happen that way. And it's going to be everybody's choice in the organization."
There’s no need to go through all the stats and common opponents.The bottom line here is Bama isn’t going to let Louisiana score a touchdown.I am sure that’s one of their team goals this week. On the other side of the ball, the Ragin Cajuns are giving up 5.8 yards per carry against teams such as Grambling and Coastal Carolina.Even if Bama runs dive plays, they are going to get first downs every time they carry the ball and Louisiana won’t be able to sustain any drives to keep the ball away from the Tide.Yes the Tide will Roll Roll Roll.The secret sauce in this cover is that Saban is going to let Jalen Hurts do whatever he wants and Hurts will want to prove he could start for any team in college football.The Ragin Cajuns will just be collateral damage.Like Ivan Drago said, “If he dies, he dies.”Laying the 50.5 points and Roll Tide for 5 Units.
AIR FORCE – 6.5 vs Nevada – Remember that scene in “An Officer and a Gentlemen” (yeah, I know those were Navy pilots, but stick with me here) when the trainees had to perform simple tasks in an oxygen deficient room?Zack Mayo’s best friend, Sid, was trying to identify playing cards and the lack of oxygen made him get all goofy and passed out.Then Sid dropped out of the Navy, andproposed to his girlfriend and she said “no”….then it got a little bit worse for him.The reason I mention this is that the Air Force Falcons are home and they play at high altitude.The visiting teams hate it and the Falcons play great there.
Air Force won three out of the previous four H2H encounters including the last two, while the Falcons were victorious in the past two meetings at the Falcon Stadium. Nevada lost eight consecutive games on the road and is without an away victory since November 2016, so I am giving the advantage to the hosts on this one. The Wolf Pack allowed 35+ points in each of their last three games and considering that the Falcons are scoring 32.3 points per contest, I don’t think the visitors will experience good times on Saturday.
This season, Air Force has made a respectable account of themselves.Fisher Deberry would be proud.In their 3 games, they completely annihilated Stony Brook at home, 38-0.Don’t laugh but Stony Brook’s power rating (56) is almost as good as Nevada’s (59).Then Air Force went on the road and lost 2 close games to Florida Atlantic (33-27) and Utah State (42-32)..both of those teams have high powered offenses.Nevada’s offense is good, but not as good as those two and they can’t run the ball at all and certainly won’t be able to run it against Air Force’s run defense which only yields 72 yds per game (2.6 yards per carry) and is ranked 3 in the FBS.So Air Force knows Nevada is going to pass.Everyone knows when you go on the road, you need to be able to run the ball.Nevada won’t be able to do that.
Ty Gangi, the Wolfpack QB, would rather be smoking ganja than trying to make first downs against the Falcons.Against FBS competition, he’s thrown as many Interceptions as he has touchdowns and is only completing 55% of his throws.I’ve got news for you….that’s not going to help them move the chains, which means that Air Force is going to get their hands on the ball, which should mean their pass defense will get plenty of rest.Air Force is ranked 6 in the country churning out 288 yards per game running the option and 2 in the country in time of possession (39 minutes per game).
In the 2 games that Nevada has faced teams better than Air Force, they have lost by 31 points (Vandy) and 19 points (Toledo).Their defense against FBS opponents is giving up 46 points per game.Their only FBS win was a 37-35 win against Oregon State (a game where they gave up 594 yards of offense) and they would have surely lost had Oregon State not turned the ball over 3 times.Air Force at home is a lot better than Oregon State.The fact that Air Force is averaging 33 points per game and they are up against a sieve for a defense, means that the 6.5 points isn’t scaring me at all.Laying the wood for the Falcons for 4 units.
AIR FORCE – 6.5 vs Nevada – Remember that scene in “An Officer and a Gentlemen” (yeah, I know those were Navy pilots, but stick with me here) when the trainees had to perform simple tasks in an oxygen deficient room?Zack Mayo’s best friend, Sid, was trying to identify playing cards and the lack of oxygen made him get all goofy and passed out.Then Sid dropped out of the Navy, andproposed to his girlfriend and she said “no”….then it got a little bit worse for him.The reason I mention this is that the Air Force Falcons are home and they play at high altitude.The visiting teams hate it and the Falcons play great there.
Air Force won three out of the previous four H2H encounters including the last two, while the Falcons were victorious in the past two meetings at the Falcon Stadium. Nevada lost eight consecutive games on the road and is without an away victory since November 2016, so I am giving the advantage to the hosts on this one. The Wolf Pack allowed 35+ points in each of their last three games and considering that the Falcons are scoring 32.3 points per contest, I don’t think the visitors will experience good times on Saturday.
This season, Air Force has made a respectable account of themselves.Fisher Deberry would be proud.In their 3 games, they completely annihilated Stony Brook at home, 38-0.Don’t laugh but Stony Brook’s power rating (56) is almost as good as Nevada’s (59).Then Air Force went on the road and lost 2 close games to Florida Atlantic (33-27) and Utah State (42-32)..both of those teams have high powered offenses.Nevada’s offense is good, but not as good as those two and they can’t run the ball at all and certainly won’t be able to run it against Air Force’s run defense which only yields 72 yds per game (2.6 yards per carry) and is ranked 3 in the FBS.So Air Force knows Nevada is going to pass.Everyone knows when you go on the road, you need to be able to run the ball.Nevada won’t be able to do that.
Ty Gangi, the Wolfpack QB, would rather be smoking ganja than trying to make first downs against the Falcons.Against FBS competition, he’s thrown as many Interceptions as he has touchdowns and is only completing 55% of his throws.I’ve got news for you….that’s not going to help them move the chains, which means that Air Force is going to get their hands on the ball, which should mean their pass defense will get plenty of rest.Air Force is ranked 6 in the country churning out 288 yards per game running the option and 2 in the country in time of possession (39 minutes per game).
In the 2 games that Nevada has faced teams better than Air Force, they have lost by 31 points (Vandy) and 19 points (Toledo).Their defense against FBS opponents is giving up 46 points per game.Their only FBS win was a 37-35 win against Oregon State (a game where they gave up 594 yards of offense) and they would have surely lost had Oregon State not turned the ball over 3 times.Air Force at home is a lot better than Oregon State.The fact that Air Force is averaging 33 points per game and they are up against a sieve for a defense, means that the 6.5 points isn’t scaring me at all.Laying the wood for the Falcons for 4 units.
ALABAMA – 50.5 vs Louisiana -This is insane!I didn’t sign up for this!How can you have a 50.5 point spread?The Cajuns weren’t exactly Ragin’ when they went down to Mississippi State 2 weeks ago and lost by 46 points.Alabama could win this game by 100 points if it wanted to.Does it want to?Ask Mr. Saban, who was concerned about the possibility of overlooking future opponents.
"Don't take things for granted," he said. "That we're going to show up because we have an Alabama uniform on and win the game. It ain't ... it's not going to happen that way. And it's going to be everybody's choice in the organization."
There’s no need to go through all the stats and common opponents.The bottom line here is Bama isn’t going to let Louisiana score a touchdown.I am sure that’s one of their team goals this week. On the other side of the ball, the Ragin Cajuns are giving up 5.8 yards per carry against teams such as Grambling and Coastal Carolina.Even if Bama runs dive plays, they are going to get first downs every time they carry the ball and Louisiana won’t be able to sustain any drives to keep the ball away from the Tide.Yes the Tide will Roll Roll Roll.The secret sauce in this cover is that Saban is going to let Jalen Hurts do whatever he wants and Hurts will want to prove he could start for any team in college football.The Ragin Cajuns will just be collateral damage.Like Ivan Drago said, “If he dies, he dies.”Laying the 50.5 points and Roll Tide for 5 Units.
I understand LALA may not score, but, what incentive does Bama have to win by 50+...they have 3 weak SEC teams on deck to beat the crap out of in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee...They honestly do not have to impress to get the Playoff...If they win out, they are in...I understand the talent delta...I understand Saban was not satisfied with the Bama performance against Texas A&M, yada, yada, yada,..I also understand that Bama has the depth to take major injuries at almost any position including QB, and not miss a beat...Just think that's a lot of points to give, and there are many better plays on the board. But, gl on this and your other picks!
ALABAMA – 50.5 vs Louisiana -This is insane!I didn’t sign up for this!How can you have a 50.5 point spread?The Cajuns weren’t exactly Ragin’ when they went down to Mississippi State 2 weeks ago and lost by 46 points.Alabama could win this game by 100 points if it wanted to.Does it want to?Ask Mr. Saban, who was concerned about the possibility of overlooking future opponents.
"Don't take things for granted," he said. "That we're going to show up because we have an Alabama uniform on and win the game. It ain't ... it's not going to happen that way. And it's going to be everybody's choice in the organization."
There’s no need to go through all the stats and common opponents.The bottom line here is Bama isn’t going to let Louisiana score a touchdown.I am sure that’s one of their team goals this week. On the other side of the ball, the Ragin Cajuns are giving up 5.8 yards per carry against teams such as Grambling and Coastal Carolina.Even if Bama runs dive plays, they are going to get first downs every time they carry the ball and Louisiana won’t be able to sustain any drives to keep the ball away from the Tide.Yes the Tide will Roll Roll Roll.The secret sauce in this cover is that Saban is going to let Jalen Hurts do whatever he wants and Hurts will want to prove he could start for any team in college football.The Ragin Cajuns will just be collateral damage.Like Ivan Drago said, “If he dies, he dies.”Laying the 50.5 points and Roll Tide for 5 Units.
I understand LALA may not score, but, what incentive does Bama have to win by 50+...they have 3 weak SEC teams on deck to beat the crap out of in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee...They honestly do not have to impress to get the Playoff...If they win out, they are in...I understand the talent delta...I understand Saban was not satisfied with the Bama performance against Texas A&M, yada, yada, yada,..I also understand that Bama has the depth to take major injuries at almost any position including QB, and not miss a beat...Just think that's a lot of points to give, and there are many better plays on the board. But, gl on this and your other picks!
I agree with your assessment of Alabama in this game. Yes, giving up 50 points is crazy, but I do see them scoring 60 so even if Louisiana scores 10 it will be a cover. I actually love all of your picks, and I expect to see you at the pay window!
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
I agree with your assessment of Alabama in this game. Yes, giving up 50 points is crazy, but I do see them scoring 60 so even if Louisiana scores 10 it will be a cover. I actually love all of your picks, and I expect to see you at the pay window!
I understand LALA may not score, but, what incentive does Bama have to win by 50+...they have 3 weak SEC teams on deck to beat the crap out of in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee...They honestly do not have to impress to get the Playoff...If they win out, they are in...I understand the talent delta...I understand Saban was not satisfied with the Bama performance against Texas A&M, yada, yada, yada,..I also understand that Bama has the depth to take major injuries at almost any position including QB, and not miss a beat...Just think that's a lot of points to give, and there are many better plays on the board. But, gl on this and your other picks!
Thanks for your insight, and I did give all of your thoughts due consideration. I don't think Saban considers a 63-3 game as a humiliation. Remember Tua is up for Heisman consideration and would certainly look to pad his stats. Add in a special teams TD and at least one defensive TD and the scores add up pretty fast. I usually shy against these big lines. Back in the Oregon days you saw a lot of them that used to get taken down by back door cover since the favorites didn't have a great defense or depth. Alabama has a terrific defense and if they have a shutout by halftime I am tempted to think that the JV's are not going to want to get shamed in practice for giving up the goose egg. My thinking is a lot more about Bama's defense...lots of 3 and outs by ULL means that Bama gets the ball over and over again.
I understand LALA may not score, but, what incentive does Bama have to win by 50+...they have 3 weak SEC teams on deck to beat the crap out of in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee...They honestly do not have to impress to get the Playoff...If they win out, they are in...I understand the talent delta...I understand Saban was not satisfied with the Bama performance against Texas A&M, yada, yada, yada,..I also understand that Bama has the depth to take major injuries at almost any position including QB, and not miss a beat...Just think that's a lot of points to give, and there are many better plays on the board. But, gl on this and your other picks!
Thanks for your insight, and I did give all of your thoughts due consideration. I don't think Saban considers a 63-3 game as a humiliation. Remember Tua is up for Heisman consideration and would certainly look to pad his stats. Add in a special teams TD and at least one defensive TD and the scores add up pretty fast. I usually shy against these big lines. Back in the Oregon days you saw a lot of them that used to get taken down by back door cover since the favorites didn't have a great defense or depth. Alabama has a terrific defense and if they have a shutout by halftime I am tempted to think that the JV's are not going to want to get shamed in practice for giving up the goose egg. My thinking is a lot more about Bama's defense...lots of 3 and outs by ULL means that Bama gets the ball over and over again.
TEXAS A&M -20.5 over Arkansas – Whooo pig?Jimbo Fisher is going to be eating a BLT club sandwich by the time this game is over.Let me get two things straight.Texas A&M is a very good football team that plays a tough defense these days.While only 2-2 on the season, their two losses were hard fought losses to Clemson (28-26) and Alabama (45-23).As a team, Texas A&M are averaging the 7th-most total yardage per game in the nation with 545.5 yards per game in addition to 39 points per game while also owning the 7th-tightest run defence in the FBS, allowing just 87 rushing yards per game this season.
The only Aggie FBS victory was a 48-10 over traditional patsy (power rating 57) Louisiana Monroe.What is not traditional at all is that the Razorbacks (power rating = 60) are coming into Jerry World on Saturday and they aren’t much better than Louisiana Monroe.How can that be?Video est credeo.
Arkansas has played 3 FBS games and have lost all 3 of them, giving up an average of 37 points in those games. Two of those losses were to teams (Colorado State and North Texas) not even close to being as good as the Aggies.Arkansas has yet to beat the Aggies since A&M joined the SEC – and this is easily the worst Arkansas team that Texas A&M has seen.Typically Arkansas brings a great running attack with them.This year they are only averaging 4.1 yards per carry, compared to Texas A&M’s rushing attack which is getting 5.9 yards per rush.The air doesn’t get much better.Arkansas’s quarterbacks have thrown a total of 6 touchdown passes vs. 9 interceptions.The Aggies are averaging 545 yards of offense per game, and that includes playing the likes of Clemson and Alabama.Think about what they are going to do to the Razorbacks.Arkansas lost to Colorado State, a team who suffered 30+ point losses to Florida and Colorado.Texas A&M is better than both of these teams.Arkansas lost by 31 to Auburn and lost by 27 to North Texas.They didn’t cover the 20.5 in either of these games. When Jerry Jones watches them play on Saturday, he’s gonna wish he served ham sandwiches to Robert Kraft rather than witness these pigs enter the Aggie slaughterhouse.We won’t see the Aggies this happy since the days when Billy Cash and Paul Cooper opened their acceptance letters from Wharton.Lay the wood for 6 units…collect at the window.Go Aggies.
TEXAS A&M -20.5 over Arkansas – Whooo pig?Jimbo Fisher is going to be eating a BLT club sandwich by the time this game is over.Let me get two things straight.Texas A&M is a very good football team that plays a tough defense these days.While only 2-2 on the season, their two losses were hard fought losses to Clemson (28-26) and Alabama (45-23).As a team, Texas A&M are averaging the 7th-most total yardage per game in the nation with 545.5 yards per game in addition to 39 points per game while also owning the 7th-tightest run defence in the FBS, allowing just 87 rushing yards per game this season.
The only Aggie FBS victory was a 48-10 over traditional patsy (power rating 57) Louisiana Monroe.What is not traditional at all is that the Razorbacks (power rating = 60) are coming into Jerry World on Saturday and they aren’t much better than Louisiana Monroe.How can that be?Video est credeo.
Arkansas has played 3 FBS games and have lost all 3 of them, giving up an average of 37 points in those games. Two of those losses were to teams (Colorado State and North Texas) not even close to being as good as the Aggies.Arkansas has yet to beat the Aggies since A&M joined the SEC – and this is easily the worst Arkansas team that Texas A&M has seen.Typically Arkansas brings a great running attack with them.This year they are only averaging 4.1 yards per carry, compared to Texas A&M’s rushing attack which is getting 5.9 yards per rush.The air doesn’t get much better.Arkansas’s quarterbacks have thrown a total of 6 touchdown passes vs. 9 interceptions.The Aggies are averaging 545 yards of offense per game, and that includes playing the likes of Clemson and Alabama.Think about what they are going to do to the Razorbacks.Arkansas lost to Colorado State, a team who suffered 30+ point losses to Florida and Colorado.Texas A&M is better than both of these teams.Arkansas lost by 31 to Auburn and lost by 27 to North Texas.They didn’t cover the 20.5 in either of these games. When Jerry Jones watches them play on Saturday, he’s gonna wish he served ham sandwiches to Robert Kraft rather than witness these pigs enter the Aggie slaughterhouse.We won’t see the Aggies this happy since the days when Billy Cash and Paul Cooper opened their acceptance letters from Wharton.Lay the wood for 6 units…collect at the window.Go Aggies.
TEXAS A&M -20.5 over Arkansas – Whooo pig? Jimbo Fisher is going to be eating a BLT club sandwich by the time this game is over. Let me get two things straight. Texas A&M is a very good football team that plays a tough defense these days. While only 2-2 on the season, their two losses were hard fought losses to Clemson (28-26) and Alabama (45-23). As a team, Texas A&M are averaging the 7th-most total yardage per game in the nation with 545.5 yards per game in addition to 39 points per game while also owning the 7th-tightest run defence in the FBS, allowing just 87 rushing yards per game this season. The only Aggie FBS victory was a 48-10 over traditional patsy (power rating 57) Louisiana Monroe. What is not traditional at all is that the Razorbacks (power rating = 60) are coming into Jerry World on Saturday and they aren’t much better than Louisiana Monroe. How can that be? Video est credeo. Arkansas has played 3 FBS games and have lost all 3 of them, giving up an average of 37 points in those games. Two of those losses were to teams (Colorado State and North Texas) not even close to being as good as the Aggies. Arkansas has yet to beat the Aggies since A&M joined the SEC – and this is easily the worst Arkansas team that Texas A&M has seen. Typically Arkansas brings a great running attack with them. This year they are only averaging 4.1 yards per carry, compared to Texas A&M’s rushing attack which is getting 5.9 yards per rush. The air doesn’t get much better. Arkansas’s quarterbacks have thrown a total of 6 touchdown passes vs. 9 interceptions. The Aggies are averaging 545 yards of offense per game, and that includes playing the likes of Clemson and Alabama. Think about what they are going to do to the Razorbacks. Arkansas lost to Colorado State, a team who suffered 30+ point losses to Florida and Colorado. Texas A&M is better than both of these teams. Arkansas lost by 31 to Auburn and lost by 27 to North Texas. They didn’t cover the 20.5 in either of these games. When Jerry Jones watches them play on Saturday, he’s gonna wish he served ham sandwiches to Robert Kraft rather than witness these pigs enter the Aggie slaughterhouse. We won’t see the Aggies this happy since the days when Billy Cash and Paul Cooper opened their acceptance letters from Wharton. Lay the wood for 6 units…collect at the window. Go Aggies.
TEXAS A&M -20.5 over Arkansas – Whooo pig? Jimbo Fisher is going to be eating a BLT club sandwich by the time this game is over. Let me get two things straight. Texas A&M is a very good football team that plays a tough defense these days. While only 2-2 on the season, their two losses were hard fought losses to Clemson (28-26) and Alabama (45-23). As a team, Texas A&M are averaging the 7th-most total yardage per game in the nation with 545.5 yards per game in addition to 39 points per game while also owning the 7th-tightest run defence in the FBS, allowing just 87 rushing yards per game this season. The only Aggie FBS victory was a 48-10 over traditional patsy (power rating 57) Louisiana Monroe. What is not traditional at all is that the Razorbacks (power rating = 60) are coming into Jerry World on Saturday and they aren’t much better than Louisiana Monroe. How can that be? Video est credeo. Arkansas has played 3 FBS games and have lost all 3 of them, giving up an average of 37 points in those games. Two of those losses were to teams (Colorado State and North Texas) not even close to being as good as the Aggies. Arkansas has yet to beat the Aggies since A&M joined the SEC – and this is easily the worst Arkansas team that Texas A&M has seen. Typically Arkansas brings a great running attack with them. This year they are only averaging 4.1 yards per carry, compared to Texas A&M’s rushing attack which is getting 5.9 yards per rush. The air doesn’t get much better. Arkansas’s quarterbacks have thrown a total of 6 touchdown passes vs. 9 interceptions. The Aggies are averaging 545 yards of offense per game, and that includes playing the likes of Clemson and Alabama. Think about what they are going to do to the Razorbacks. Arkansas lost to Colorado State, a team who suffered 30+ point losses to Florida and Colorado. Texas A&M is better than both of these teams. Arkansas lost by 31 to Auburn and lost by 27 to North Texas. They didn’t cover the 20.5 in either of these games. When Jerry Jones watches them play on Saturday, he’s gonna wish he served ham sandwiches to Robert Kraft rather than witness these pigs enter the Aggie slaughterhouse. We won’t see the Aggies this happy since the days when Billy Cash and Paul Cooper opened their acceptance letters from Wharton. Lay the wood for 6 units…collect at the window. Go Aggies.
NORTH TEXAS -7.5 vs. Louisiana Tech - while the rest of the world is watching the two biggest narcissists in the Big 10 go at it, I’ll be focused on the matchup which will likely determine the winner of Conference USA West.After getting paid 1 million dollars to go into Arkansas and beat the crap out of Razorbacks, 44-17, the undefeated North Texas Mean Green are actually favored to win 7 of their 8 remaining games.First things first, they have to host the Louisiana Tech Ragin Cajuns but I am thinking that the Mean Green is going to make LA LA Tech look like the California Raisins.
North Texas could very well be one of the best teams in the Lone Star State.They’re averaging 510.8 yards over their first four games of the season, 17th-best in the country. They’re averaging 48.8 points per game, and are holding teams to just 15.8 points per game (ranked 18th nationally) .Along with the 27 point win at Arkansas, they blasted SMU by 23 points at home.SMU, while not great, certainly is a decent opponent.Last week made Jerry Falwell pray to God after destroying Liberty 47-7.Word has it that Falwell has set up a special 800 number to raise money for a new defensive coordinator.Anyway, I can’t be worried about covering 7.5 points when the Mean Green are winning by an average of 33 points.
LA Tech is 1-1 this year against its FBS opponents, beating a crappy South Alabama team by 4 and losing by 17 to a sleepwalking LSU team who was hung over from beating Auburn in the previous week and looking ahead to this week’s game against Mississippi.Based on the season’s performance, one thing we know is that North Texas CAN cover this 7.5 point spread against a decent team (SMU result).We haven’t yet seen LA Tech beat this spread against a team as good as North Texas.
NORTH TEXAS -7.5 vs. Louisiana Tech - while the rest of the world is watching the two biggest narcissists in the Big 10 go at it, I’ll be focused on the matchup which will likely determine the winner of Conference USA West.After getting paid 1 million dollars to go into Arkansas and beat the crap out of Razorbacks, 44-17, the undefeated North Texas Mean Green are actually favored to win 7 of their 8 remaining games.First things first, they have to host the Louisiana Tech Ragin Cajuns but I am thinking that the Mean Green is going to make LA LA Tech look like the California Raisins.
North Texas could very well be one of the best teams in the Lone Star State.They’re averaging 510.8 yards over their first four games of the season, 17th-best in the country. They’re averaging 48.8 points per game, and are holding teams to just 15.8 points per game (ranked 18th nationally) .Along with the 27 point win at Arkansas, they blasted SMU by 23 points at home.SMU, while not great, certainly is a decent opponent.Last week made Jerry Falwell pray to God after destroying Liberty 47-7.Word has it that Falwell has set up a special 800 number to raise money for a new defensive coordinator.Anyway, I can’t be worried about covering 7.5 points when the Mean Green are winning by an average of 33 points.
LA Tech is 1-1 this year against its FBS opponents, beating a crappy South Alabama team by 4 and losing by 17 to a sleepwalking LSU team who was hung over from beating Auburn in the previous week and looking ahead to this week’s game against Mississippi.Based on the season’s performance, one thing we know is that North Texas CAN cover this 7.5 point spread against a decent team (SMU result).We haven’t yet seen LA Tech beat this spread against a team as good as North Texas.
Breaking it down by player, North Texas is led by QB Mason Fine. While Mason is not at all related to Larry Fine, he certainly is making opponents go Pop Goes the Weasel. He Owns North Texas single-season passing yardage (4,052), touchdown (31), completion (324), pass attempts (511) records, all set in 2017. In high school, he set Oklahoma high school career records for passing yards (13,081) and touchdown passes (166). Why is he on North Texas? He’s only 5’11” so the geniuses of the FBS are hung up on the combine kings and their measurables and let this great player slip through the cracks. This season he is passing for 332 yards per game, 9 in the FBS, and has thrown 10 TDs and only one INT while completing 65% of his passes. On the other side of the ball, LA Tech has the athletic J’mar Smith who has some decent numbers, but is less consistent and less reliable than Mason Fine. The North Texas defense has sacked opposing QBs 14 times this season. Louisiana Tech has recorded just eight sacks, which could spell trouble for Smith. North Texas is a little more balanced offensively, and their rushing defense is only giving up 99 yards per game (only 74 yds per game at home). You know what that means – if you go on the road, you better be able to run the ball. I don’t think LA Tech will be able to run the ball, meaning even if they get ahead, they won’t be able to put the game away.
I’m riding the hot hand on this one…laying the wood on the Mean Green for 7 units.
Breaking it down by player, North Texas is led by QB Mason Fine. While Mason is not at all related to Larry Fine, he certainly is making opponents go Pop Goes the Weasel. He Owns North Texas single-season passing yardage (4,052), touchdown (31), completion (324), pass attempts (511) records, all set in 2017. In high school, he set Oklahoma high school career records for passing yards (13,081) and touchdown passes (166). Why is he on North Texas? He’s only 5’11” so the geniuses of the FBS are hung up on the combine kings and their measurables and let this great player slip through the cracks. This season he is passing for 332 yards per game, 9 in the FBS, and has thrown 10 TDs and only one INT while completing 65% of his passes. On the other side of the ball, LA Tech has the athletic J’mar Smith who has some decent numbers, but is less consistent and less reliable than Mason Fine. The North Texas defense has sacked opposing QBs 14 times this season. Louisiana Tech has recorded just eight sacks, which could spell trouble for Smith. North Texas is a little more balanced offensively, and their rushing defense is only giving up 99 yards per game (only 74 yds per game at home). You know what that means – if you go on the road, you better be able to run the ball. I don’t think LA Tech will be able to run the ball, meaning even if they get ahead, they won’t be able to put the game away.
I’m riding the hot hand on this one…laying the wood on the Mean Green for 7 units.
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