exactly...
and everyone needs to reverse course by November 1 on he chalk...a heavy road favorite (with no National Championship aspirations to impress voters) against a marginal team (assuming coach is not being fired and they throw in the towel)...that is scenario ripe to take the dog and the points. the challenge with that is that you have played "favorites" all season. its hard to go to the "dark" side. if one has the ability to manage the bankroll and potentially change course in early November for some relationships, one can evolve into an aspiring "sharp"...GLTA
exactly...
and everyone needs to reverse course by November 1 on he chalk...a heavy road favorite (with no National Championship aspirations to impress voters) against a marginal team (assuming coach is not being fired and they throw in the towel)...that is scenario ripe to take the dog and the points. the challenge with that is that you have played "favorites" all season. its hard to go to the "dark" side. if one has the ability to manage the bankroll and potentially change course in early November for some relationships, one can evolve into an aspiring "sharp"...GLTA
exactly...
and everyone needs to reverse course by November 1 on he chalk...a heavy road favorite (with no National Championship aspirations to impress voters) against a marginal team (assuming coach is not being fired and they throw in the towel)...that is scenario ripe to take the dog and the points. the challenge with that is that you have played "favorites" all season. its hard to go to the "dark" side. if one has the ability to manage the bankroll and potentially change course in early November for some relationships, one can evolve into an aspiring "sharp"...GLTA
hey , i'll make it easy for ya'll,(nov1) i will pick my top 5 faves from the newspaper without doing any research, just fade the picks, i will call them my "paper picks"
exactly...
and everyone needs to reverse course by November 1 on he chalk...a heavy road favorite (with no National Championship aspirations to impress voters) against a marginal team (assuming coach is not being fired and they throw in the towel)...that is scenario ripe to take the dog and the points. the challenge with that is that you have played "favorites" all season. its hard to go to the "dark" side. if one has the ability to manage the bankroll and potentially change course in early November for some relationships, one can evolve into an aspiring "sharp"...GLTA
hey , i'll make it easy for ya'll,(nov1) i will pick my top 5 faves from the newspaper without doing any research, just fade the picks, i will call them my "paper picks"
what do you guys think the line will be Notre Dame v Navy in week 1. The game is in Dublin, Ireland. N Dame has destroyed the service academies recently. Navy lost their 2 year QB and top 2 rushers. Love or hate em, Notre Dame is well coached and seems to be on its way back. they have a AA TE, a young but solid QB, and according to Steele, respectable units.
I know N Dame is a hype machine and subway alumni degenerate gamblers will take them no matter what. But, honestly, contrary to the last 5 years, I think there may be some value with N Dame in certain matchups.
My top 3 plays of week 1 as of 16 June 2012
LSU - 40 over N Texas (I think the books will stay under the 40 barrier with the open, but the public will push it up; it will be good for backers to get on LSU early)
Georgia - 35 over Buffalo (I think the line will lower than 40 along with the perception that losing 4 starters will decrease the effectiveness of the UGA shut down D; I don' think it will; UGA replaces those 4 (granted rambo and ogletree are potential AAs) with 4 Four Star Recruits and among the top position players in their respective classes) I don't see much of a drop against a Buf team working in a new QB. I think Jones will get 3-4 sacks in week 1.
Nebraska -13 over S Miss - I think corley confirmed that S Miss has had a history of taking a few steps back after losing a mult year starter at QB; new systems; signficant losses on D with only 4 returning starters. Granted, S Miss is talent and will be a bowl team, but in week 1, I think a talent and experience advantage for Neb will result in a comfortable win and cover.
Watching
N Dame -X over Navy
UCF -19 over Akron
Oklahoma -29 over UTEP
I will appreciate your comments...
what do you guys think the line will be Notre Dame v Navy in week 1. The game is in Dublin, Ireland. N Dame has destroyed the service academies recently. Navy lost their 2 year QB and top 2 rushers. Love or hate em, Notre Dame is well coached and seems to be on its way back. they have a AA TE, a young but solid QB, and according to Steele, respectable units.
I know N Dame is a hype machine and subway alumni degenerate gamblers will take them no matter what. But, honestly, contrary to the last 5 years, I think there may be some value with N Dame in certain matchups.
My top 3 plays of week 1 as of 16 June 2012
LSU - 40 over N Texas (I think the books will stay under the 40 barrier with the open, but the public will push it up; it will be good for backers to get on LSU early)
Georgia - 35 over Buffalo (I think the line will lower than 40 along with the perception that losing 4 starters will decrease the effectiveness of the UGA shut down D; I don' think it will; UGA replaces those 4 (granted rambo and ogletree are potential AAs) with 4 Four Star Recruits and among the top position players in their respective classes) I don't see much of a drop against a Buf team working in a new QB. I think Jones will get 3-4 sacks in week 1.
Nebraska -13 over S Miss - I think corley confirmed that S Miss has had a history of taking a few steps back after losing a mult year starter at QB; new systems; signficant losses on D with only 4 returning starters. Granted, S Miss is talent and will be a bowl team, but in week 1, I think a talent and experience advantage for Neb will result in a comfortable win and cover.
Watching
N Dame -X over Navy
UCF -19 over Akron
Oklahoma -29 over UTEP
I will appreciate your comments...
thx packers...seems logical to me. good luck to you as well!
thx packers...seems logical to me. good luck to you as well!
steele lists hendrix as the starter...i think rees got arrested in the spring...he won't have mf to bail him out, but i think ND has a AA TE and other resources. I think like USC, ND is back...Cheers
steele lists hendrix as the starter...i think rees got arrested in the spring...he won't have mf to bail him out, but i think ND has a AA TE and other resources. I think like USC, ND is back...Cheers
BA - thanks for the take
I love the Neb pick. It is in my top 3. TM will still look ugly, but effective. I think the loss of Box by S Miss in the biggest impact on this game. even with Box and a great D, S Miss barely pulled it off against a marginal Nevada squad.
you know the OU game will start at 9:30 PM CST. that is late. the sun bowl will be packed, and the miners will be prepared and put up a fight based on their submarginal talen. do you think the late start may have an adverse impact on ou covering. the 4th quarter won's start until probably almost midnight cst. or do you think BGB Stoops will come out and go bombs away, get up by 30 plus, then wear down UTEP with backups. I think Whaley and Finch are going to be special in OU's pass first Offense. I think with M Stoops, the D will be improved. one positive sign that I saw recently was the sharks for OU (hurst et al) are going more low key. that tells me that they will be more focussed with less moxie BS. with mcfarland anchoring the line and word and harris at LB's M Stoops has had an impact. this game was in my top 3, but I dropped it out for now. i plan to read the scout ou board early and often and may put this back in the top 3. what is your take on the late start impacting OU's potential cover at UTEP?
right now, my top 3
Nebraska -13 over S Miss (Lincoln)
LSU -40 over N Texas (BR)
UGA -37 over Buffalo (Athens)
watching
OU -29 over UTEP
N Dame - 14 over Navy (Dublin, Ireland)
UCF -19 over Akron (Akron)
Michigan St. -7 over Boise St. (E Lansing)
I will take a closer look at Cal -14 over Nevada (Berkeley)
Thank you in advance for your follow up!
BA - thanks for the take
I love the Neb pick. It is in my top 3. TM will still look ugly, but effective. I think the loss of Box by S Miss in the biggest impact on this game. even with Box and a great D, S Miss barely pulled it off against a marginal Nevada squad.
you know the OU game will start at 9:30 PM CST. that is late. the sun bowl will be packed, and the miners will be prepared and put up a fight based on their submarginal talen. do you think the late start may have an adverse impact on ou covering. the 4th quarter won's start until probably almost midnight cst. or do you think BGB Stoops will come out and go bombs away, get up by 30 plus, then wear down UTEP with backups. I think Whaley and Finch are going to be special in OU's pass first Offense. I think with M Stoops, the D will be improved. one positive sign that I saw recently was the sharks for OU (hurst et al) are going more low key. that tells me that they will be more focussed with less moxie BS. with mcfarland anchoring the line and word and harris at LB's M Stoops has had an impact. this game was in my top 3, but I dropped it out for now. i plan to read the scout ou board early and often and may put this back in the top 3. what is your take on the late start impacting OU's potential cover at UTEP?
right now, my top 3
Nebraska -13 over S Miss (Lincoln)
LSU -40 over N Texas (BR)
UGA -37 over Buffalo (Athens)
watching
OU -29 over UTEP
N Dame - 14 over Navy (Dublin, Ireland)
UCF -19 over Akron (Akron)
Michigan St. -7 over Boise St. (E Lansing)
I will take a closer look at Cal -14 over Nevada (Berkeley)
Thank you in advance for your follow up!
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