I want to risk a little over 2/3rds of what I have cleared here the past month this week. I am up $2780.34 the past month posted here and plan to risk about $2000 because I feel there is at least one major mis-conceptions this week. Ill start tonight as I want to get in on Auburn +4 before it moves.
Let me say up front that after watching Alabama/Auburn religiously since Keith Jackson, Frank Broyles and ABC did the1981 game around the time I started betting. You really have to respect the Dog especially at home in this series normally, but this is not a normal situation. These players know each other like brothers and could not care less about records or anything else, just beating the other team. Normally I would have to side with the dog at home, but once in a blue moon someone like Cam Newton comes along and is just that much better then everyone else on the field he makes the difference.
Saban and his co-ordinators had serious trouble with Malzahn last year using a very immobile QB, less offensive talent and with a much better defense. Perception is that Bama will/can stop Auburn's offense and it is just not going to happen. The only thing that will stop Auburn's offense is Auburn and they have done a nice job protecting the ball. Early weather reports show a dry day which is great news. The other big mis-conception is the fact that Auburn's defense is so bad that it gets them beat. The truth is that it is bad, but it does get several more stops per game then it's opponent going against Auburn which will happen again this week, the only thing that matters other then turnovers and has yet to get them beat.
Bryant-Denny will be electric and Bama will come out firing, but in the end Cam Newton is just too much and makes his supporting (which is very talented) cast that much better, particularly with Malzahn pulling the strings. LeBlanc and Goggins being suspended the first half hurts, but Bama will score any way and they will be fresh in the 2nd half. Auburn wins pretty much along the lines of the games against Ole Miss and Georgia. Bama scores around 30 and Auburn over 40...Note-It is easy to notice that I really did not talk that much about Bama but the fact is that Auburn holds the cards here. Home field and the 6 points giving up at home not withstanding, Bama has not faced an offense like Auburn and Auburn has faced teams similar to Bama. Many will dis-agree (the spread says that) but I really do not care. It is what it is...
.................................................................... 2nd Bet...3 Team 10 point teaser
(1)Auburn +14 at Alabama... (2)Ohio St -8 vs Michigan... (3)Stanford -1 vs Oregon St...
Risking $390 to Win $300
As far as this bet goes Ohio St will destroy Michigan and Oregon St might have beaten USC, but Stanford is a on a complete different level then USC, another thrashing most likely, definitely a Stanford win. Love this teaser... .....................................................................
More coming, just locked these in...Best Of Luck To Everyone,,,
I want to risk a little over 2/3rds of what I have cleared here the past month this week. I am up $2780.34 the past month posted here and plan to risk about $2000 because I feel there is at least one major mis-conceptions this week. Ill start tonight as I want to get in on Auburn +4 before it moves.
Let me say up front that after watching Alabama/Auburn religiously since Keith Jackson, Frank Broyles and ABC did the1981 game around the time I started betting. You really have to respect the Dog especially at home in this series normally, but this is not a normal situation. These players know each other like brothers and could not care less about records or anything else, just beating the other team. Normally I would have to side with the dog at home, but once in a blue moon someone like Cam Newton comes along and is just that much better then everyone else on the field he makes the difference.
Saban and his co-ordinators had serious trouble with Malzahn last year using a very immobile QB, less offensive talent and with a much better defense. Perception is that Bama will/can stop Auburn's offense and it is just not going to happen. The only thing that will stop Auburn's offense is Auburn and they have done a nice job protecting the ball. Early weather reports show a dry day which is great news. The other big mis-conception is the fact that Auburn's defense is so bad that it gets them beat. The truth is that it is bad, but it does get several more stops per game then it's opponent going against Auburn which will happen again this week, the only thing that matters other then turnovers and has yet to get them beat.
Bryant-Denny will be electric and Bama will come out firing, but in the end Cam Newton is just too much and makes his supporting (which is very talented) cast that much better, particularly with Malzahn pulling the strings. LeBlanc and Goggins being suspended the first half hurts, but Bama will score any way and they will be fresh in the 2nd half. Auburn wins pretty much along the lines of the games against Ole Miss and Georgia. Bama scores around 30 and Auburn over 40...Note-It is easy to notice that I really did not talk that much about Bama but the fact is that Auburn holds the cards here. Home field and the 6 points giving up at home not withstanding, Bama has not faced an offense like Auburn and Auburn has faced teams similar to Bama. Many will dis-agree (the spread says that) but I really do not care. It is what it is...
.................................................................... 2nd Bet...3 Team 10 point teaser
(1)Auburn +14 at Alabama... (2)Ohio St -8 vs Michigan... (3)Stanford -1 vs Oregon St...
Risking $390 to Win $300
As far as this bet goes Ohio St will destroy Michigan and Oregon St might have beaten USC, but Stanford is a on a complete different level then USC, another thrashing most likely, definitely a Stanford win. Love this teaser... .....................................................................
More coming, just locked these in...Best Of Luck To Everyone,,,
As far as this bet goes Ohio St will destroy Michigan and Oregon St might have beaten USC, but Stanford is a on a complete different level then USC, another thrashing most likely, definitely a Stanford win. Love this teaser...
Cardinal's last second, 2 point home win over USC in which they were out-gained might suggest otherwise..
As far as this bet goes Ohio St will destroy Michigan and Oregon St might have beaten USC, but Stanford is a on a complete different level then USC, another thrashing most likely, definitely a Stanford win. Love this teaser...
Cardinal's last second, 2 point home win over USC in which they were out-gained might suggest otherwise..
Cardinal's last second, 2 point home win over USC in which they were out-gained might suggest otherwise..
People put way to much stock in numbers earlier in the year that have little to do with where the teams are now, particularly trying to compare teams head to head. Stanford is by far the better team. Expect a slow start after Cal, but a pull away win in the 2nd half. They are just too much better here..
Cardinal's last second, 2 point home win over USC in which they were out-gained might suggest otherwise..
People put way to much stock in numbers earlier in the year that have little to do with where the teams are now, particularly trying to compare teams head to head. Stanford is by far the better team. Expect a slow start after Cal, but a pull away win in the 2nd half. They are just too much better here..
Alabama is obviously not the dog, they just should be...
The linemaker said that the pure mathematical formula used to start the lines had Alabama as 7.5 points better than Auburn. The line was adjusted to reflect anticipation of public money on the Tigers.
Alabama is obviously not the dog, they just should be...
The linemaker said that the pure mathematical formula used to start the lines had Alabama as 7.5 points better than Auburn. The line was adjusted to reflect anticipation of public money on the Tigers.
If you look at Auburn M.O. you'll see a lot of scoring by the Tigers in the 2nd and fourth quarters. I suspect that's because Newton wears out the defensive front (the front including backers get tired of stop-starting) in the first and third and that yields defensive vulnerability in the 2nd and 4th. I don't think that's lost on Saban; they have a lot of talent to rotate in, and that's a luxury most teams don't have. I think that's the difference in Bama stopping Auburn where others haven't. Rsepectfully disagree with you, Droxside, I think Bama covers here.
If you look at Auburn M.O. you'll see a lot of scoring by the Tigers in the 2nd and fourth quarters. I suspect that's because Newton wears out the defensive front (the front including backers get tired of stop-starting) in the first and third and that yields defensive vulnerability in the 2nd and 4th. I don't think that's lost on Saban; they have a lot of talent to rotate in, and that's a luxury most teams don't have. I think that's the difference in Bama stopping Auburn where others haven't. Rsepectfully disagree with you, Droxside, I think Bama covers here.
The linemaker said that the pure mathematical formula used to start the lines had Alabama as 7.5 points better than Auburn. The line was adjusted to reflect anticipation of public money on the Tigers.
The reason I made that post was because I erroneously referred to Bama as a home dog when they obviously are not. As far as why the line is where it is has nothing to do with my comment. My comment about Bama should be the dog reflects where the two teams are at right now. While I understand that Bama is good and at home, they are playing a team this week that is simply better then they are which does not happen often...
The linemaker said that the pure mathematical formula used to start the lines had Alabama as 7.5 points better than Auburn. The line was adjusted to reflect anticipation of public money on the Tigers.
The reason I made that post was because I erroneously referred to Bama as a home dog when they obviously are not. As far as why the line is where it is has nothing to do with my comment. My comment about Bama should be the dog reflects where the two teams are at right now. While I understand that Bama is good and at home, they are playing a team this week that is simply better then they are which does not happen often...
If you look at Auburn M.O. you'll see a lot of scoring by the Tigers in the 2nd and fourth quarters. I suspect that's because Newton wears out the defensive front (the front including backers get tired of stop-starting) in the first and third and that yields defensive vulnerability in the 2nd and 4th. I don't think that's lost on Saban; they have a lot of talent to rotate in, and that's a luxury most teams don't have. I think that's the difference in Bama stopping Auburn where others haven't. Rsepectfully disagree with you, Droxside, I think Bama covers here.
I appreciate your thoughts. One thing is for sure, one of us will be dead on and the other way off, thus the world of gambling. Auburn will score on Bama as they have everyone else recently as the offense is really clicking now...We Will See...Best Of Luck
If you look at Auburn M.O. you'll see a lot of scoring by the Tigers in the 2nd and fourth quarters. I suspect that's because Newton wears out the defensive front (the front including backers get tired of stop-starting) in the first and third and that yields defensive vulnerability in the 2nd and 4th. I don't think that's lost on Saban; they have a lot of talent to rotate in, and that's a luxury most teams don't have. I think that's the difference in Bama stopping Auburn where others haven't. Rsepectfully disagree with you, Droxside, I think Bama covers here.
I appreciate your thoughts. One thing is for sure, one of us will be dead on and the other way off, thus the world of gambling. Auburn will score on Bama as they have everyone else recently as the offense is really clicking now...We Will See...Best Of Luck
You've got to be out of your mind if you think Alabama is going to give up over 40 points. You have to go back to Saban's first (7-6) season in 2007 since they gave up over 40.
Bama's Defense may not be as dominant as last year's, but they're light years ahead of that '07 team in talent and depth.
Also remember Alabama has a 20-game home winning streak and that 101,000+ is mighty.
You've got to be out of your mind if you think Alabama is going to give up over 40 points. You have to go back to Saban's first (7-6) season in 2007 since they gave up over 40.
Bama's Defense may not be as dominant as last year's, but they're light years ahead of that '07 team in talent and depth.
Also remember Alabama has a 20-game home winning streak and that 101,000+ is mighty.
As someone who has watched several games of each team, I think Auburn is definitely the right side.. Alabama simply isn't the team they were last year. They can't run as well with their much weaker OL, and McElroy can't be counted on at all to sustain drives.. And Auburn's defense isn't as bad as everyone thinks they are..
I'm just worried about the rumors that they will suspend Newton, but that's looking like it won't happen..
As someone who has watched several games of each team, I think Auburn is definitely the right side.. Alabama simply isn't the team they were last year. They can't run as well with their much weaker OL, and McElroy can't be counted on at all to sustain drives.. And Auburn's defense isn't as bad as everyone thinks they are..
I'm just worried about the rumors that they will suspend Newton, but that's looking like it won't happen..
This guy did a much better job of explaining this game the I can...
Question 2: Vegas has Alabama as the early favorite to end Auburn's
undefeated season. Do you agree? Do you think they're on crack? Will
homefield advantage be a factor? Can Alabama's youthful defense limit
Cam Newton? What are the other keys to the game?
I think the line is kind of weird. Alabama just hasn't been a special
team this year. Good, sure, but not special. It's a head-scratcher to
figure out how a defense that got run over by Marcus Lattimore and
Stephen Garcia--to say nothing of Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee--is
going to shut down Cam Newton, Mike Dyer, Onterio McCalebb and company.
Perhaps more importantly, it's hard to see how UAT would be expected to
win the game in the trenches, when they haven't been better than
SEC-average (which, granted, is still really, really good on the
national level) on either the offensive or defensive line. Anybody who
saw what LSU's Drake Nevis did to Bama center William Vlachos has to be
shuddering at the thought of what Nick Fairley has in store for Greg
McElroy.
Will the home field help? Sure it will. Playing on the road in the SEC
is always tough, and especially so when the home team has a senior
quarterback. Alabama is going to score some points, particularly
through the air. But the rub is, Auburn is going to score, too, and
likely more often than the Tide. Gus Malzahn was able to utterly
flummox Nick Saban for about two and a half quarters in 2009, and that
was playing with an immobile and mildly-injured Chris Todd at
quarterback. This time around, Malzahn has the horses to run for sixty
minutes, and Auburn's defense has the depth up front and at linebacker
to avoid another late-game collapse. Auburn's game plan will be the
same one the Tigers have thrived on all year: pour on the offense,
especially in the second half, shut down the other guy's run, and force
them predictable offensive situations. Alabama fans should recognize
that tactic right off the bat--it's the same one they've used for the
past three seasons.
For Alabama, the best case would be to do what Auburn did last year, and
get a big lead early--although they would be about the fifth team this
year to jump up on the Tigers, and the previous four all lost in the
end. I think the real question is whether a Tide defense that hasn't
been able to get to quarterbacks all year can turn that around, against
the top QB in the nation, in this last game. If they can't, or if it
comes down to a scoring match, the visitors are going to be a heavy
favorite.
This guy did a much better job of explaining this game the I can...
Question 2: Vegas has Alabama as the early favorite to end Auburn's
undefeated season. Do you agree? Do you think they're on crack? Will
homefield advantage be a factor? Can Alabama's youthful defense limit
Cam Newton? What are the other keys to the game?
I think the line is kind of weird. Alabama just hasn't been a special
team this year. Good, sure, but not special. It's a head-scratcher to
figure out how a defense that got run over by Marcus Lattimore and
Stephen Garcia--to say nothing of Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee--is
going to shut down Cam Newton, Mike Dyer, Onterio McCalebb and company.
Perhaps more importantly, it's hard to see how UAT would be expected to
win the game in the trenches, when they haven't been better than
SEC-average (which, granted, is still really, really good on the
national level) on either the offensive or defensive line. Anybody who
saw what LSU's Drake Nevis did to Bama center William Vlachos has to be
shuddering at the thought of what Nick Fairley has in store for Greg
McElroy.
Will the home field help? Sure it will. Playing on the road in the SEC
is always tough, and especially so when the home team has a senior
quarterback. Alabama is going to score some points, particularly
through the air. But the rub is, Auburn is going to score, too, and
likely more often than the Tide. Gus Malzahn was able to utterly
flummox Nick Saban for about two and a half quarters in 2009, and that
was playing with an immobile and mildly-injured Chris Todd at
quarterback. This time around, Malzahn has the horses to run for sixty
minutes, and Auburn's defense has the depth up front and at linebacker
to avoid another late-game collapse. Auburn's game plan will be the
same one the Tigers have thrived on all year: pour on the offense,
especially in the second half, shut down the other guy's run, and force
them predictable offensive situations. Alabama fans should recognize
that tactic right off the bat--it's the same one they've used for the
past three seasons.
For Alabama, the best case would be to do what Auburn did last year, and
get a big lead early--although they would be about the fifth team this
year to jump up on the Tigers, and the previous four all lost in the
end. I think the real question is whether a Tide defense that hasn't
been able to get to quarterbacks all year can turn that around, against
the top QB in the nation, in this last game. If they can't, or if it
comes down to a scoring match, the visitors are going to be a heavy
favorite.
One thing that has now changed is the weather report. They are now calling for rain on Friday. Will be keeping a close eye on this as the game gets closer...
One thing that has now changed is the weather report. They are now calling for rain on Friday. Will be keeping a close eye on this as the game gets closer...
This will be my final card...As I stated earlier today the weather for Auburn/Alabama looks to be dry and very windy as of now with the rain pushing through several hours before kick off. Here is the first two bets that I made earlier in the week posted above...
I have added 4 more plays risking roughly the amount that I had hoped to risk this week...I am risking most of what I have made the past 4 weeks, but fully expect to really clean up this week in particular...
3rd Bet...3 Team 10 point teaser
(1)UConn +8.5 vs Cincinnati...
(2)Ohio St -6.5 vs Michigan...
(3)Oregon -9 vs Arizona...
I've talked at length as to why I am on Auburn above. I expect between now and kick-off (Thursday night and Friday morning) that big money will come in on Auburn pushing the line down under 3 and possible as low as 1.5 (a huge line move) as they wait out the public and even a lot of very capable people that have pushed Bama as long as they can. Talked about Ohio St and am really surprised the line is down to 16.5 as Ohio St will smoke Michigan. Stanford wins by double digits as I said above.
Now a few words on the new teams that I added...Oregon will get back to doing what they do best (score points in bunches) as this game plays out and Arizona will not be able to keep up, say 48-28...UConn only being favored by 1.5 is mind boggling, records not with standing, they cover easily as they are the superior team in this game right now, something like 34-21...Virginia/Virginia Tech total should be around 49 with Virginia tech shutting down the Virginia and coasting, something like 35-14 (maybe less, not more)...
That pretty much covers everyone I am on. Really looking forward to this week as I said before as I fully expect to profit off the very strange mis-conception that Bama is better then Auburn (the gambling blood bath for so many here and everywhere is unfortunate), that UConn and Cincinnati are basically a pick and that Michigan can stay withing 25 of Ohio St among other things....
This will be my final card...As I stated earlier today the weather for Auburn/Alabama looks to be dry and very windy as of now with the rain pushing through several hours before kick off. Here is the first two bets that I made earlier in the week posted above...
I have added 4 more plays risking roughly the amount that I had hoped to risk this week...I am risking most of what I have made the past 4 weeks, but fully expect to really clean up this week in particular...
3rd Bet...3 Team 10 point teaser
(1)UConn +8.5 vs Cincinnati...
(2)Ohio St -6.5 vs Michigan...
(3)Oregon -9 vs Arizona...
I've talked at length as to why I am on Auburn above. I expect between now and kick-off (Thursday night and Friday morning) that big money will come in on Auburn pushing the line down under 3 and possible as low as 1.5 (a huge line move) as they wait out the public and even a lot of very capable people that have pushed Bama as long as they can. Talked about Ohio St and am really surprised the line is down to 16.5 as Ohio St will smoke Michigan. Stanford wins by double digits as I said above.
Now a few words on the new teams that I added...Oregon will get back to doing what they do best (score points in bunches) as this game plays out and Arizona will not be able to keep up, say 48-28...UConn only being favored by 1.5 is mind boggling, records not with standing, they cover easily as they are the superior team in this game right now, something like 34-21...Virginia/Virginia Tech total should be around 49 with Virginia tech shutting down the Virginia and coasting, something like 35-14 (maybe less, not more)...
That pretty much covers everyone I am on. Really looking forward to this week as I said before as I fully expect to profit off the very strange mis-conception that Bama is better then Auburn (the gambling blood bath for so many here and everywhere is unfortunate), that UConn and Cincinnati are basically a pick and that Michigan can stay withing 25 of Ohio St among other things....
Nice job by Oregon and Auburn...As I said last week I was really looking forward to this one....Really looking forward to tomorrow...Best Of Luck To All...
Nice job by Oregon and Auburn...As I said last week I was really looking forward to this one....Really looking forward to tomorrow...Best Of Luck To All...
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.