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Monday Baseball Circus (22-17)

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Monday Baseball Circus (22-17)
Circus_Bettor PM Circus_Bettor
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Posted: 4/14/2019 11:39:28 PM

Reducing # of plays. 

 

1st 5 inn Toronto (Shoemaker) ML vs Twinkies (former Ranger, the mediocre Perez) Shoemaker is on the verge of a breakout star year with the Jays, and is 3-0, about to go 4-0. 

LAA ml Texas, no lead is safe in that Arlington sh/thole. Miller signs a $4 million dollar deal to pitch for one year, guaranteeing the Dumbass management of the Rangers he will lose as many games as he wins. Mediocrity is rewarded in baseball. .500 or worse, and this is a LOCK. 

SEA Over 7,5

Hooterspfld PM Hooterspfld
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Posted: 4/14/2019 11:47:20 PM
Agree on both what lines did you get? Bovada doesn't have them up yet. Also waiting on the Cubs game.
smacksmiter PM smacksmiter
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:19:39 AM
Did you say the word... "lock"...?

smacksmiter PM smacksmiter
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:43:35 AM
I will agree that Martin Perez is pretty much trash...the question then becomes...why are the Twins -130 favorites in this game?

Thinking I would rather have the OVER in the LAA/Texas game...The Rangers can hit Cahill and, obviously, the Angels are going to smash Miller...I would bet it right now but it's offline...

Kikuchi has been battling some calf cramps lately...could be a factor in this game as well...I lean to the OVER as well...

vinnyherbert PM vinnyherbert
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:56:22 AM
Why are the Twins favored  ?  I hope you are kidding.  They areby far the better team playing at home. They average almost two runs a game more than the Blow Jays. That's why they are favored.
smacksmiter PM smacksmiter
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Posted: 4/15/2019 4:00:02 AM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by vinnyherbert:

Why are the Twins favored  ?  I hope you are kidding.  They areby far the better team playing at home. They average almost two runs a game more than the Blow Jays. That's why they are favored.

I will agree they are the better "team"...

Martin Perez can give it up in buckets...they could be down 6-0 in the 2nd inning...

He sucks..plain and simple...

Pitching has a large affect on which team wins the game...no matter how good the rest of the team is...

tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 4/15/2019 4:37:59 AM
Good luck C_B!
D-Town PM D-Town
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Posted: 4/15/2019 6:54:26 AM
Good luck CB.  
Circus_Bettor PM Circus_Bettor
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Posted: 4/15/2019 8:59:16 AM

TY, fellas for the kind words and supportpeace_5

 

Boston teams on Patriot day games (Boston Marathon, etc) must have a win % of 100%. I haven't checked, but seems like it. Someone check that out.

 

 

RedSox 1st 5 inn RL

Boston sends out a Sonoran Bandido relief pitcher to start this AM, and looks like he can keep the paltry hitting Orioles off balance early. Strailly will be putting the ball in the wheelhouse zone all day long. I suspect the score to be 8-1 by the 6th inning. Only suspense will be the over. Can the O's get a couple of runs off the Sox pen? Only the scrubs in the Sox pen are vulnerable, and given the Sox want to win a series (since they're struggling) likely only the good arms will be given the ball. Lean over but no play. 

HoustonSports PM HoustonSports
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:11:51 AM
Velazquez is listed as the starter for Boston at both Bookmaker and 5dimes
Circus_Bettor PM Circus_Bettor
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:12:22 AM

RedSox 1st 5 inn RL

 

Velasquez was upset a yr ago b/c did not make the playoff roster last season, and winning today on Patriot day to help the Sox win a series at home, this will certainly go a long ways to making the playoff roster, making big playoff bucks, more fame and fortune. 

 

LEANS:

CINCY RL +1,5 -139

Kershaw won't go more than 5-6. Castillo very tough, keeps the total at 7,5 

Circus_Bettor PM Circus_Bettor
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:15:53 AM

Boston 1st 5 inn (Velasquez) RL -140

KktdocT PM KktdocT
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Legend
Posted: 4/15/2019 9:45:25 AM
Forum: MLB Betting
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