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Sac's Monday Plays

Forum: MLB Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Sac's Monday Plays
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/14/2019 8:02:05 PM
SPRING= 27-20(+9.12)
ML= 27-31(-1.64)
RL= 3-9(-4.68)
O/U= 12-18(-6.51)
K's= 27-20(+4.04)
OVERALL= +0.33 units

3-7 for -3.71 units on Sunday.


Cardinals ML(+116) *1/1.16
Hudson/Peralta listed

Reds ML(+143) *2/2.86
Castillo/Kershaw listed

Not sitting on my laurels in this one. Should bet more but I absolutely suck right now. The Reds could be favorites here imo. 

No offense to chalk players out there who are killing it, you're making money. I just can't wrap my head around some of these lines every day that are off by 15, 20 and even 30 cents on the dollar. Hopefully we can land on the right side of some of these dogs soon.


Best of Luck 
umgmu PM umgmu
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Posted: 4/14/2019 8:28:08 PM
Dogs hit most every day.
I hit royals, whitesox today.
Lost on tigers
GRaNDSLaMBUNT PM GRaNDSLaMBUNT
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Posted: 4/14/2019 11:13:15 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by undermysac:

SPRING= 27-20(+9.12)ML= 27-31(-1.64)RL= 3-9(-4.68)O/U= 12-18(-6.51)K's= 27-20(+4.04)OVERALL= +0.33 units3-7 for -3.71 units on Sunday.Cardinals ML(+116) *1/1.16Hudson/Peralta listedReds ML(+143) *2/2.86Castillo/Kershaw listedNot sitting on my laurels in this one. Should bet more but I absolutely suck right now. The Reds could be favorites here imo. No offense to chalk players out there who are killing it, you're making money. I just can't wrap my head around some of these lines every day that are off by 15, 20 and even 30 cents on the dollar. Hopefully we can land on the right side of some of these dogs soon.Best of Luck

You mean the same reds team that failed to score 1 run for 4 straight games last week should be favored against one of the top hitting teams on the road against kershaw??? I guess if your talking about the angle of him starting  his first game after recovering but hes still kershaw. I think the line is pretty spot on.. who knows anything could happen...

BIGDTITLE PM BIGDTITLE
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:46:07 AM
Who’s Laurel? And wouldn’t you rather her sit on you?
smacksmiter PM smacksmiter
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:55:38 AM
Seems to be the perfect spot for Kershaw...facing a Reds team with a .210 team batting average...

But he has got to be rusty...

Not facing major league hitting...of course, it's slightly debatable that the Reds are a major league hitting team...

TEBOW12 PM TEBOW12
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Posted: 4/15/2019 4:14:19 AM

Like cards bol bro

tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 4/15/2019 4:35:33 AM
I got crushed playing dogs this weekend! Good luck Ksac!
D-Town PM D-Town
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Posted: 4/15/2019 7:00:37 AM
Good luck Sac.  
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 7:10:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Who’s Laurel? And wouldn’t you rather her sit on you?

Well played
OlDirtyBaztid PM OlDirtyBaztid
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Posted: 4/15/2019 7:19:14 AM
this was the first year i abandoned the idea of never payiong over 140 and they have been hitting, man. i've been staying very selective and not making it a habit, but picking spots is definitely profitable. there's obvious favorites out there that are either forcing you to pay the premium or go with the high priced dog. look at the astros and the twins over the weekend. or the reds when they played the marlins. maybe it's just because it's early on in the season, but some of these look like dead giveaways. so if we know this, here's the question: you square for going old school and finding the cheap price, or square for backing a steep favorite that wins?
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:13:42 AM
I like the Cards myself except for the long ride back from Monterey; but then the Brewers also have a long trip home, so what do I know?

Tough sledding lately, but maybe since your profit has bottomed out so have the losses. It is a cyclical game and gambling is a cyclical endeavor. Chin up.

BOL 
JFEEZEE PM JFEEZEE
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:50:38 AM
joe6699 PM joe6699
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Posted: 4/15/2019 9:56:53 AM

Got Reds also, Castillo throws very well against Dodgers and Kershaw recovering from an injury is always a ???.

cjm2008 PM cjm2008
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Posted: 4/15/2019 10:28:41 AM

That Reds play was tempting. Castillo has been lights out for the Reds. Hard to Tell what Kershaw will give you in his debut. GL with the play SAC an_cheers

undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 10:50:00 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

I like the Cards myself except for the long ride back from Monterey; but then the Brewers also have a long trip home, so what do I know?

Tough sledding lately, but maybe since your profit has bottomed out so have the losses. It is a cyclical game and gambling is a cyclical endeavor. Chin up.

BOL 

Exactly. I accounted for both teams long trips. 1st game back home after a roadie has always been a profitable spot. Plus I like the pitching matchup.
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 10:51:50 AM
Marlins 1st 5 ML(+115) *1/1.15

Marlins ML(+128) *1/1.28

Darvish/Richards listed


GL
smacksmiter PM smacksmiter
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Posted: 4/15/2019 12:00:02 PM
Good luck today ...

I will probably be fading Darvish as I usually do...

Been an auto fade for me for a long, long time...

tuck321 PM tuck321
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Posted: 4/15/2019 12:26:51 PM

Makes sense

RebelTell2 PM RebelTell2
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Posted: 4/15/2019 1:11:13 PM
Maybe Puig will punish his old team like Pollock did against the Dbacks.

BOL,
RT2
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 2:20:26 PM
TOR@MIN 1st 5 UNDER 4.5(even) *1.00
Shoemaker/Perez listed

Perez might be a bullpen bum now, and has a poor history vs a few Jays batters. It's just that the Jays vs LHP this year has been tragic. The Phillies and Mets are much better vs lefties and knocked him around his last 2 times out. I'll lean on him in a "starters" role today with something to prove. When he's on, he can kill worms with his GB rate. 

I got no problem leaning on Shoemaker. He's pitched some of his best baseball all spring and all of this season.

Wind blowing in at 8mph.

Hopefully we draw a good ump. 

The public loves the over.


Good Luck 
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 3:14:11 PM
First Series Bet of the year:

Cardinals(+115) *1/1.15

Probables:

Hudson/Peralta
Flaherty/Woodruff
Wacha/Burnes

I see all right handers. The Cards are hitting em much better than the Crew this year, and recently in the last week vs rhp, Cards .282/.875 vs the Crew at .236/.703

History vs lineups favors all the Cardinal pitchers.

Flaherty is favored tomorrow, as he should be. I clearly like em today and am seeing this bet cashing after 2 games. If we go 1-1 and need Wacha as the anchor, I'm not worried about the shelling he took from the Dodgers. They are murdering righties this year and expect a good bounce back against Burnes who's still wet behind the ears.

Good Luck 

capskip PM capskip
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Posted: 4/15/2019 5:26:46 PM
Good luck tonight sac
BarneysDad PM BarneysDad
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Posted: 4/15/2019 5:53:38 PM
Hey Sac had a little buzz  Last nights thread title was misleading, What I meant and  it should have said was best value with a high probability of cashing   Just to clarify bud   GL tonight 
undermysac PM undermysac
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Posted: 4/15/2019 6:15:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

Hey Sac had a little buzz  Last nights thread title was misleading, What I meant and  it should have said was best value with a high probability of cashing   Just to clarify bud   GL tonight 

No reason you shouldn't be buzzed today all ready

Man I didn't even notice or get offended by any of your posts. So I probably understood what you wrote.

WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 4/15/2019 6:20:08 PM
GL , sac      
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