118-125-11 after going 0-1 with the Knights last game. Some unlucky bounces but Wild played a good game and deserved to win.
I realize I wrote books below but you're not required to read it, soooo
For tonight...
Senators (-115) - I think the Senators are playing better hockey at the moment despite the Coyotes winning 5 of 7 and beating the Sharks and Leafs (and going to OT with the Penguins). The Coyotes have better possession numbers but they also just like to throw the puck at the net and see what happens, so a lot of their shots have no chance of going in. They also give up a ton of high danger scoring chances compared to the Senators and have had worse goaltending the last 10 games.
Motivationally speaking, the Senators have an edge since they lost their last game and are playing their last game before the break. Coyotes won their last one vs the Leafs and have a game tomorrow for another chance to get a win. ALSO, they will want to get a win for Anderson in the same way they were winning for Nilsson.
The Senators are better at home. They haven't lost by more than a goal at home since 12/22 vs the Capitals. They haven't gotten many wins either, but I believe that to be a goaltending issue.
Islanders (-136) - This line is begging for Islanders money. Knowing that, I'm still taking them. Every time the line crept up near +125 for the Hawks it was bet back down pretty quickly. From vegasinsider, it looks like books are cautiously seeing how much they can increase the line without getting hit by value bettors on the Hawks. The Blackhawks just ended their 5 game losing streak and my guess is that some "sharps" see value in playing them again as a home dog for that reason (?) maybe.
I don't see it happening for a few reasons. 1. The Islanders are obviously on fire right now. 2. Ward is in net. I could see the Blackhawks winning this game if Delia was in net since they just lost to the Islanders in NY (in OT) earlier this month. If I was betting on the Hawks I would HATE this decision. 3. Based on the numbers, it looks like the Hawks were getting lucky even keeping games close recently. They give up way too many high danger scoring chances (most in the league) almost every game and relied on an abnormally high save percentage to win games.
I'm curious to see how this game goes but I'm pretty confident the Islanders will come out on top.
118-125-11 after going 0-1 with the Knights last game. Some unlucky bounces but Wild played a good game and deserved to win.
I realize I wrote books below but you're not required to read it, soooo
For tonight...
Senators (-115) - I think the Senators are playing better hockey at the moment despite the Coyotes winning 5 of 7 and beating the Sharks and Leafs (and going to OT with the Penguins). The Coyotes have better possession numbers but they also just like to throw the puck at the net and see what happens, so a lot of their shots have no chance of going in. They also give up a ton of high danger scoring chances compared to the Senators and have had worse goaltending the last 10 games.
Motivationally speaking, the Senators have an edge since they lost their last game and are playing their last game before the break. Coyotes won their last one vs the Leafs and have a game tomorrow for another chance to get a win. ALSO, they will want to get a win for Anderson in the same way they were winning for Nilsson.
The Senators are better at home. They haven't lost by more than a goal at home since 12/22 vs the Capitals. They haven't gotten many wins either, but I believe that to be a goaltending issue.
Islanders (-136) - This line is begging for Islanders money. Knowing that, I'm still taking them. Every time the line crept up near +125 for the Hawks it was bet back down pretty quickly. From vegasinsider, it looks like books are cautiously seeing how much they can increase the line without getting hit by value bettors on the Hawks. The Blackhawks just ended their 5 game losing streak and my guess is that some "sharps" see value in playing them again as a home dog for that reason (?) maybe.
I don't see it happening for a few reasons. 1. The Islanders are obviously on fire right now. 2. Ward is in net. I could see the Blackhawks winning this game if Delia was in net since they just lost to the Islanders in NY (in OT) earlier this month. If I was betting on the Hawks I would HATE this decision. 3. Based on the numbers, it looks like the Hawks were getting lucky even keeping games close recently. They give up way too many high danger scoring chances (most in the league) almost every game and relied on an abnormally high save percentage to win games.
I'm curious to see how this game goes but I'm pretty confident the Islanders will come out on top.
I also threw Wings/Oilers to go to OT in a round robin at +330 since I liked the angles for both teams to win. Longshot but it would be nice if it hits.
I also threw Wings/Oilers to go to OT in a round robin at +330 since I liked the angles for both teams to win. Longshot but it would be nice if it hits.
I'm going to guess I was fooled by the Sens numbers due to the Coyotes having a much tougher recent schedule than the Senators. I would've rather had Nilsson in goal though as he's been good and Anderson hasn't been too sharp.
So far Islanders are the right call and they probably should've scored more than one goal so far based on how many chances they've had. Hawks could've gotten one at the end of the first though so it's all good.
I'm going to guess I was fooled by the Sens numbers due to the Coyotes having a much tougher recent schedule than the Senators. I would've rather had Nilsson in goal though as he's been good and Anderson hasn't been too sharp.
So far Islanders are the right call and they probably should've scored more than one goal so far based on how many chances they've had. Hawks could've gotten one at the end of the first though so it's all good.
So, the Blackhawks were able to win despite losing the scoring chance battle 18 to 34 (35%) and also the high danger scoring chance battle 8 to 15 (35%). Ward stands on his head, Blackhawks score no even strength goals, and win the game in a shootout.
So, the Blackhawks were able to win despite losing the scoring chance battle 18 to 34 (35%) and also the high danger scoring chance battle 8 to 15 (35%). Ward stands on his head, Blackhawks score no even strength goals, and win the game in a shootout.
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