Posted something in the systems / strategy forum, but got no feedback. Looking for some hockey help here -- Lippsman you have been of great help in the past -- maybe you have some quick thoughts on this.
My local just uses posted public lines (20 and 30 cents wide) and allows various parlays that I believe borderline on or flat out are correlated parlays. There are 2 opportunities I think could work for me...I have kept track of scores for the last 4 or 5 days but unsure I see a clear opportunity. They are:
1. Parlay game puck line (+/- 1.5 goals) to the game total. Example, Penguins minus 1.5 goals, plus 165 with the game over 6 minus 115. Obviously could also take Rangers and the under. Does this still work with totals of this era that are not 5.5? I did it with just 5.5 totals a few weeks ago for a few days and it worked better but then kinda reverted back to not so awesome.
2. Parlay first period puck line (+/- half a goal) tot he first period total. Example, Penguins minus 0.5 goal, plus 150 with the first period over 1.5 goals minus 130. Or Rangers plus 0.5 witht he under. This one seems better, but the small data set has been marginal so far.
I realize Vegas and most places do not allow these bets, which makes me want to try either or both strategies even more.
I appreciate any constructive thoughts. Please assume I will have zero credit risk with collecting/paying. Help me out and let me know when in Chicago next and a night on the town is on me Thanks for your help, fellas.
Posted something in the systems / strategy forum, but got no feedback. Looking for some hockey help here -- Lippsman you have been of great help in the past -- maybe you have some quick thoughts on this.
My local just uses posted public lines (20 and 30 cents wide) and allows various parlays that I believe borderline on or flat out are correlated parlays. There are 2 opportunities I think could work for me...I have kept track of scores for the last 4 or 5 days but unsure I see a clear opportunity. They are:
1. Parlay game puck line (+/- 1.5 goals) to the game total. Example, Penguins minus 1.5 goals, plus 165 with the game over 6 minus 115. Obviously could also take Rangers and the under. Does this still work with totals of this era that are not 5.5? I did it with just 5.5 totals a few weeks ago for a few days and it worked better but then kinda reverted back to not so awesome.
2. Parlay first period puck line (+/- half a goal) tot he first period total. Example, Penguins minus 0.5 goal, plus 150 with the first period over 1.5 goals minus 130. Or Rangers plus 0.5 witht he under. This one seems better, but the small data set has been marginal so far.
I realize Vegas and most places do not allow these bets, which makes me want to try either or both strategies even more.
I appreciate any constructive thoughts. Please assume I will have zero credit risk with collecting/paying. Help me out and let me know when in Chicago next and a night on the town is on me Thanks for your help, fellas.
To your first wexample yes it can work?. With teams pulling there goalie when down by two three minutes early sometimes an I' over 6.5 can come out of nowhere quickly. Islf a teams down 3-2 , pulls there goalie, bam empty net goal, 4-2, net still empty so wham bam another makes a nice over 6 or 6.5. I personally haven't done tried to nail this one because iI used to get burned on PL.
To your first wexample yes it can work?. With teams pulling there goalie when down by two three minutes early sometimes an I' over 6.5 can come out of nowhere quickly. Islf a teams down 3-2 , pulls there goalie, bam empty net goal, 4-2, net still empty so wham bam another makes a nice over 6 or 6.5. I personally haven't done tried to nail this one because iI used to get burned on PL.
Thanks Kenny. Yeah, the empty netters seems to really make the favorite/overs work in the game. Obviously the first period ones don't get that luxury. essentially the first period wager I propose can also be voiced as "will the favorite score 2 goals in the first period." Is it worth taking for what seems to be between 3 to 1 and 4.5 to 1 odds (the favorite and the over).
Thanks Kenny. Yeah, the empty netters seems to really make the favorite/overs work in the game. Obviously the first period ones don't get that luxury. essentially the first period wager I propose can also be voiced as "will the favorite score 2 goals in the first period." Is it worth taking for what seems to be between 3 to 1 and 4.5 to 1 odds (the favorite and the over).
Thanks Kenny. Yeah, the empty netters seems to really make the favorite/overs work in the game. Obviously the first period ones don't get that luxury. essentially the first period wager I propose can also be voiced as "will the favorite score 2 goals in the first period." Is it worth taking for what seems to be between 3 to 1 and 4.5 to 1 odds (the favorite and the over).
I would personally try to nail the winner of the first and worry about totals later. I see you would like to capitalize on this perceived edge you may have with parlay. I personally don't have enough expertise with this. Good luck though I can't get this at my book!...
Thanks Kenny. Yeah, the empty netters seems to really make the favorite/overs work in the game. Obviously the first period ones don't get that luxury. essentially the first period wager I propose can also be voiced as "will the favorite score 2 goals in the first period." Is it worth taking for what seems to be between 3 to 1 and 4.5 to 1 odds (the favorite and the over).
I would personally try to nail the winner of the first and worry about totals later. I see you would like to capitalize on this perceived edge you may have with parlay. I personally don't have enough expertise with this. Good luck though I can't get this at my book!...
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