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*** NBA Wednesday ***

Forum: NBA Betting Page 1 of 4  1 2 3 4  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: *** NBA Wednesday ***
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 3/13/2019 10:34:04 AM

  1. Jazz -7 -110 (5x)
  2. Magic +3 -105 (5x)
  3. Jazz -2 / Magic +8 -115 (1x)
NBA YTD: 120-106 ATS +45.32 Units
5 Unit Plays: 18-6


tuck321 PM tuck321
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Posted: 3/13/2019 10:37:03 AM

Getting rather loose on your 5s

BetHumble PM BetHumble
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Posted: 3/13/2019 10:43:32 AM

BOL LC!

D-Town PM D-Town
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Posted: 3/13/2019 10:49:41 AM
Good luck LC.  
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:02:45 AM

Actually like the Magic to win SU. 

 

LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:05:31 AM

Just an FYI, I did have the Jazz as my first bet over 5x on the season and was a click away from posting this below at the start. But being up only 45 units on the season, I just don't feel comfortable having everyone risk too much on one game. We’ve had a lot of unfortunate luck in NBA this season, so I retracted it. But in case anyone is wondering:

Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns

The Suns have been playing well over the last 2 weeks, and are coming off their biggest win of the year beating the Warriors in Golden State. However tonight, they will have to face an extremely angry Jazz team coming off 2 straight losses. 

The Jazz just got swept 4-0 on the season by the Thunder, the same team they dominated in the playoffs last year. This team definitely can’t wait to get back on the court and get that loss off their mind. Utah has responded off bad performances as good as anyone in the league lately – in fact before the loss to the Thunder – Utah was 11-0 ATS off a loss covering 11 straight games. That streak ended when facing the Thunder last game when they lost by double digits at home, but let’s not look too much into that defeat last game - as Utah was playing without their starting PG, and without their backup PG – against the 4th most efficient defense in the league, and against the most athletic PG in the league in Russel Westbrook. It’s not a coincidence the Jazz scored 89 points and shot 36% from the field when they were without both their point guards against the 4th best defense.

So are the Jazz playing without their two PGs against the 4th best defense in the league? No, tonight they will have their starting point guard back, and will be facing the 29th ranked defense in the league. Utah will let out all their frustration on the Suns tonight, and will surely score a whole lot more points than 89. A lot of other reasons why I love the Jazz in this game which propels this play past 5x but regardless, the Jazz are my best play of the season.

1. Jazz -7 -110 (8x)


2017 Best Play of the Season: +$15,800 (NFL)

2018 Best Play of the Season: +$12,700 (NFL)

--

Still, I retracted this and I'm keeping this at 5x for risk purposes, if we were up more on the NBA season I would have played this for 8x. No need to be greedy, but I love the Jazz tonight.

RainDrop77 PM RainDrop77
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:10:12 AM

 Just wondering, what is your opinion on Rubio and his role in this Jazz squad. His likely absence tonight doesn't change much for you im assuming, but do you think he's a good fit for the team overall? Always meant to ask you just forgot. 

POWER_MAX PM POWER_MAX
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:13:33 AM
QUOTE

Jazz -8 now and Magic+2.5 now LC is that still good pick?

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Jazz -7 -110 (5x)Magic +3 -105 (5x)Jazz -2 / Magic +8 -115 (1x)NBA YTD: 120-106 ATS +45.32 Units5 Unit Plays: 18-6

BucktownOzzie PM BucktownOzzie
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:22:18 AM

LFG LC! Always tailing, thanks for the cap

MoneyTalks789 PM MoneyTalks789
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:48:26 AM

Might tease the jazz tonight with the thunder . Two angry teams at home gotta win right? 

BallingLikeNE PM BallingLikeNE
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Posted: 3/13/2019 11:59:45 AM
Wake up and smell the profits #LFG
TrustTheNumbers PM TrustTheNumbers
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Posted: 3/13/2019 12:11:47 PM

A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

chauwagerline PM chauwagerline
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Posted: 3/13/2019 12:24:55 PM

I can’t put in my bet until 7:00 PM every night. Hopefully Jazz and Magic Lines don’t go up any higher. new_praise

LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 3/13/2019 12:29:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RainDrop77:

 Just wondering, what is your opinion on Rubio and his role in this Jazz squad. His likely absence tonight doesn't change much for you im assuming, but do you think he's a good fit for the team overall? Always meant to ask you just forgot. 


He's in tonight, and the jazz are a lot better with him in the lineup. Mitchell isn't a passing guard, which the team needs.
cash8037 PM cash8037
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Posted: 3/13/2019 12:29:43 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers:

A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

 

Could be. I think the outcome of this game is all contingent on whether Rubio plays or not. The jazz are a totally different team when he sits out, their flow and rhythm is totally thrown off when their starting PG is not running the show. His absence puts too much pressure on Mitchell and negates his effectiveness. Suns are a highly confident bunch right now with momentum on their side. If Rubio plays, small one unit lean Jazz. If he doesn't, small fade for me.

LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 3/13/2019 12:31:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers:

A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well


i guess a huge publicly backed team can be a concern, although i'm surprised the jazz are a highly bet team tonight as they haven't been a popular team all season. i don't check the betting percentages anymore, they can sway your position so easily.

still, i expected the line to shoot up from -7, i'm sure it'll reach -8.5 and then they'll be buyback on the suns at such a high number. all those factors don't really matter in the end, just cap the game. there's bets on both sides of every game
Bigdoubleplay PM Bigdoubleplay
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Posted: 3/13/2019 1:04:29 PM
Two 5 unit plays. If your going to gamble, do it right! Love it! GL tonight LC hope they hit.
icebergza PM icebergza
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Posted: 3/13/2019 1:08:05 PM

up to -8.5 and +2

Ghorvath32 PM Ghorvath32
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Posted: 3/13/2019 2:12:48 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers] A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

i guess a huge publicly backed team can be a concern, although i'm surprised the jazz are a highly bet team tonight as they haven't been a popular team all season. i don't check the betting percentages anymore, they can sway your position so easily.still, i expected the line to shoot up from -7, i'm sure it'll reach -8.5 and then they'll be buyback on the suns at such a high number. all those factors don't really matter in the end, just cap the game. there's bets on both sides of every game

 

Up to 8.5 @ stations

Ghorvath32 PM Ghorvath32
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Posted: 3/13/2019 2:17:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers:

A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

 

Suns have a 6% money advantage, though the public money is 65% on Jazz

Ghorvath32 PM Ghorvath32
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Posted: 3/13/2019 2:28:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers] A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

i guess a huge publicly backed team can be a concern, although i'm surprised the jazz are a highly bet team tonight as they haven't been a popular team all season. i don't check the betting percentages anymore, they can sway your position so easily.still, i expected the line to shoot up from -7, i'm sure it'll reach -8.5 and then they'll be buyback on the suns at such a high number. all those factors don't really matter in the end, just cap the game. there's bets on both sides of every game

 

So take Jazz @-8.5??

MoneyTalks789 PM MoneyTalks789
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Posted: 3/13/2019 2:34:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Ghorvath32:

Originally Posted by TrustTheNumbers]A word of caution on the Jazz. The public is all over the Jazz tonight, so when I see this it doesn’t mean it’s the wrong side but I ask myself what am I seeing that Joe six pack isn’t seeing? Not much for me, I tail most of your picks but I’ll be sitting out this one because the Suns are playing really good ball right now. Mild lean Jazz for me but looks like a potential honeypot for Vegas to me. Good luck, on ORL large as well

  Suns have a 6% money advantage, though the public money is 65% on Jazz

 

 

Ref crew is home friendly tonight . 

AMSports PM AMSports
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Posted: 3/13/2019 2:48:28 PM

Backing Orlando is a head scratcher for me. They’re completely unreliable and are not playing well right now. Short line, I don’t expect them to pick up this win as they haven’t really shown they can win these games. Aaron Gordon is questionable.  I guess we’ll see. 

dartmonkey11 PM dartmonkey11
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Posted: 3/13/2019 3:11:56 PM
Should we still be playing Orlando at +2 and Utah at -8.5 for the same 5x?
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 3/13/2019 3:17:20 PM
Still a play at the current lines 
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