Acela Angle: Dallas@Boston

The Acela Angle
February 12, 2007
By https://www.vegasinsider.com/handicappers/bios.cfm/hc/197/ed-meyer
VegasInsider.com
The most talked about road trips among NBA handicappers are the trip through the Texas Triangle of Dallas, Houston and San Antonio, the trip through Florida to face the Heat and Magic and the trip through Utah and Denver.

However, perhaps the trip with the most interesting and profitable results involves a trip you can take on the Acela, the high speed train that goes between Boston and New York, with the round trip taking under four hours. The Celtics’ and Knicks’ franchises have a wealth of basketball history and success associated with them. They are in the “club” of past NBA champions. As such, these two have a certain amount of respect for each other. This respect is not manifested when they play each other – the respect is apparent when another team is trying to sweep the storied franchises on the road, back-to-back.

It seems as if New York and Boston have a pact – unspoken or other otherwise – that no team will sweep them consecutively. If a team beats the Knicks in New York, the Celtics go all out to prevent the 2-0, New York – Boston sweep.

Similarly, if a team beats the Celtics in Boston, the Knicks “pick them up” by playing significantly above the linesmakers expectations. This “agreement” has been going on for quite some time.

In fact, the league is 0-9 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since March 6th 1996 in Boston after beating the Knicks in New York. Similarly, the league is 0-10 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since January 20th 1997 in New York after beating the Celtics in Boston!

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I believe the angle is 20-3 ATS since then. I lost my stat on when the game is played back to back and when played with a rest in between so still take caution. Anyway, if we follow this system the play for tomorrow is none other than the Celtics. Then again, Boston doesn't need much of an angle or crazy train ride to win against the Mavericks. They are crazy 22-3 at home hosting a 14-7 road team. They played pretty close early in the season where Dallas won 89-87 in Dallas.

Following the Acela Angle we got:
Boston Celtics -6.5

or if you're feeling it take a dab at the ML.

Goodluck fellas.

unders seems like a good play too . boston emphasizes defense at home ! would love to see it at 194-190

thats a great play.....I see -6 everywhere though

and this line may even go to 5.5

interesting, never heard of this
BOL

Next up for this angle. Be sure to bookmark or something.
Lakers @ Boston 2/10
Lakers @ New York 2/11

Interesting, but meaningless.

It's like those crazy trends, where a team goes 10-0 ATS on mondays or smth. like that, probably happens quite often in a league with so many games.
Where is just no reasonable connection.

but BOL

Agreed.

If its 20-3 then it must be meaningful

long thread already debating this.

cmm, correct me if i'm wrong...but i think the acela angle only applies to b2b road games.. dallas played at new york yesterday, got some rest today and will play atboston tomorrow..

the lakers @ bos,then nyk the next day is a sure thing, though.

Nope. Some of the samples made by the website has a day of rest in between. The angle is in effect as long as the road team is playing Boston or New York back to back, not necessarily back to back games.

what we need is a couple decades of ATS results to confirm this theory. Since I'm bored, I'm gonna get to it.

Nice work.  BOL 

haven't tracked it personally, but I have seen a post online that it's 18-1 since 2000. Will have to track this to make sure it's correct

good read

wats d call for pba today cmm?

Not really.

so cmm, we'll hit boston BIGtime??? is 10k enough? :D

the line seems pretty high 

Very risky play because Dallas is a very good road team, and Boston just came back from a very long road trip, so they could have a let-down in their 1st home game back, as they traveled 3,000 miles from California to Boston just the other day.

if anyone has the stats correct me if I am wrong, but I am showing 23-1 ATS here since '96

@ SMart Bets: Was the one loss last year?I actually waited for the "Acela angle" last year and it seemed like a perfect situation & it actually lost. Atl had defeated the knicks in blowout fashion and were +9.5 vs. Boston 2days later- Atl won that game SU..

Yes I've read about this Acela triangle trend several years back from some place I can't remember exactly where but it did lose that game and I lost my bet, if my memory serves me well.  Besides from that angle, I'm still on Boston as it looks to be a good play. 

 

-888

been waiting for this scenario as well. bol