I come to you with a request for knowledge and insight. The survivor league that I am in has a, winner take all, cash prize of $48k. We started with 2,525 entries and thanks to a few major upsets..the pool is already down to 371 entires. I did the same pool last year with a $30k prize and I ended up taking 32nd out of 1,600+. These first few weeks have been tough for me to get a read on and with this much $$$ on the line im looking for all the insight I can get. I am sure this thread will get buried on the board, but if any of you out there can offer some insight/recommendation on picks for this week and moving forward that would be much appreciated. I know its a long shot, but I think winning this pool can actually be done.
Rules - Can only pick a team once, can only pick against a team twice, regular season only.
Teams picked: BAL, NOR, LAR
Teams against: BUF, CLE, LAC
Week 4: Leaning towards either Jags or LAC. Not confident in either team as of right now. Looking to bounce some ideas back and forth with whoever is interested. Thanks everyone.
I come to you with a request for knowledge and insight. The survivor league that I am in has a, winner take all, cash prize of $48k. We started with 2,525 entries and thanks to a few major upsets..the pool is already down to 371 entires. I did the same pool last year with a $30k prize and I ended up taking 32nd out of 1,600+. These first few weeks have been tough for me to get a read on and with this much $$$ on the line im looking for all the insight I can get. I am sure this thread will get buried on the board, but if any of you out there can offer some insight/recommendation on picks for this week and moving forward that would be much appreciated. I know its a long shot, but I think winning this pool can actually be done.
Rules - Can only pick a team once, can only pick against a team twice, regular season only.
Teams picked: BAL, NOR, LAR
Teams against: BUF, CLE, LAC
Week 4: Leaning towards either Jags or LAC. Not confident in either team as of right now. Looking to bounce some ideas back and forth with whoever is interested. Thanks everyone.
Depends on who's RB for Jags Bortles definitely needs run game to look decent...
Chargers seems like the best play but it could be a let down spot considering they played a tough defense (battle of LA) and are in 3rd place in there division behind the Broncos..it's also a sandwhich game they play Oakland next week..they definitely need to beat Oakland if they want a chance to be in the playoffs..CJ Beathard is alright as a back up but the Niners defense definitely needs help..chargers could be a little worn down ..but I can't see 49ers winning SU but you never know..with a switch of QB.. how's the chargers run defense?maybe take a look at that..??
Depends on who's RB for Jags Bortles definitely needs run game to look decent...
Chargers seems like the best play but it could be a let down spot considering they played a tough defense (battle of LA) and are in 3rd place in there division behind the Broncos..it's also a sandwhich game they play Oakland next week..they definitely need to beat Oakland if they want a chance to be in the playoffs..CJ Beathard is alright as a back up but the Niners defense definitely needs help..chargers could be a little worn down ..but I can't see 49ers winning SU but you never know..with a switch of QB.. how's the chargers run defense?maybe take a look at that..??
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.
I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).
My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1).
Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.
Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...
There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure.
But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.
I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).
My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1).
Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.
Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...
There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure.
But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1). Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure. But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.Good luck.
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1). Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure. But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.Good luck.
Thanks to everyone that has weighed in so far. I probably should have mentioned that I will stay away from all Primetime games as I feel those are just too manipulated. Chargers are in the lead as of now based on the votes and GB/ JAX tied for second.
Chargers - I like the Chargers a lot, but they love to invent new ways of losing. I do like the fact that they are going against a back up QB and a defense that have given up a lot of points in the last 3 weeks.
Jax - Defense is solid, no question about. However, watching their offense only put up 6pts against the Titans scares me.. that game should have been a 2 score win for Jax...so I am cautious about taking them as of now.
GB - Still have a lot to prove before I feel comfortable backing them. They should have lost week 1 if Rodgers didn't have that insane 2nd half comeback. They tied Vikings and lost to Redskins...not the most confident start to the season. I HATE their run game but like that they can put up points in a hurry.
Still have a long week ahead to dive into the exact match ups and I appreciate the votes/insight.
Thanks to everyone that has weighed in so far. I probably should have mentioned that I will stay away from all Primetime games as I feel those are just too manipulated. Chargers are in the lead as of now based on the votes and GB/ JAX tied for second.
Chargers - I like the Chargers a lot, but they love to invent new ways of losing. I do like the fact that they are going against a back up QB and a defense that have given up a lot of points in the last 3 weeks.
Jax - Defense is solid, no question about. However, watching their offense only put up 6pts against the Titans scares me.. that game should have been a 2 score win for Jax...so I am cautious about taking them as of now.
GB - Still have a lot to prove before I feel comfortable backing them. They should have lost week 1 if Rodgers didn't have that insane 2nd half comeback. They tied Vikings and lost to Redskins...not the most confident start to the season. I HATE their run game but like that they can put up points in a hurry.
Still have a long week ahead to dive into the exact match ups and I appreciate the votes/insight.
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1). Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure. But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.Good luck.
Bud, you still have a long way to go with a lot of people in your way.I'm also in a survivor pool with 2,500 entrants and well over 6 figures to the winner(s). That 2,500 is down to 300 after 77% of the pool were knocked out in week 3 (Black Sunday as poolies are calling it).My approach (and not all will agree) is to stay away from the obvious picks week to week if you know a majority of the pool will pick them (case in point Minny and Jax this weekend, NO week 1). Another thing I do is I look at the 17 week schedule as a whole, consider the advanced lines to 'map' out a path I would take if all things stayed equal. This gives me some insight from above to see the big picture. It's been successful for me over many years and I've gone to the end on more than one occasion (always splitting though with others). But still I've found a way through that 17 week maze.Of course advanced lines move week to week via various factors but it at least gets me thinking, strategizing how to tackle the problem of running out of good teams to pick if you happen to still be in it after Thanksgiving. Teams going into bye weeks, teams coming off of bye weeks are stuff to look at as well...There are those who say 'it's called a survivor pool for a reason, just survive to the next week'. And that is one way to look at it for sure. But my reasoning comes down to this. I'd rather fall off the cliff alone, by my own handicapping than to fall off with hundreds of others because I was a follower.Good luck.
Pool is already out, I used chargers already and I’m going w
Rams tomorrow. Since 2006 teams playing on thurs night traveling 2 time zones are 0-10 straight up. The Vikes fall into that category. I know their secondary banged up but vikes are traveling on short week and have little controversy w Griffin situation.
Pool is already out, I used chargers already and I’m going w
Rams tomorrow. Since 2006 teams playing on thurs night traveling 2 time zones are 0-10 straight up. The Vikes fall into that category. I know their secondary banged up but vikes are traveling on short week and have little controversy w Griffin situation.
oh baby, that was the most stressful game I have ever watched. Chargers did everything they could to lose that game...pick 6, 2 missed XP and a missed FG. Thank god for that late INT or I think the Chargers would have lost to a back ups, back up QB.
It also looks like everyone got through on Jax, NE and GB, congrats to you all. Next week doesnt look any easier. I will circle back with my top picks in a couple of days. Thanks, Boys!
oh baby, that was the most stressful game I have ever watched. Chargers did everything they could to lose that game...pick 6, 2 missed XP and a missed FG. Thank god for that late INT or I think the Chargers would have lost to a back ups, back up QB.
It also looks like everyone got through on Jax, NE and GB, congrats to you all. Next week doesnt look any easier. I will circle back with my top picks in a couple of days. Thanks, Boys!
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