Throw math out the window - they only play 16 games so there's no real sample size to base a future game on. Power ratings at team or player level fluctuate dramatically although it is not reported by pro power rankers because it's difficult to know week by week how players feel for the next game after the previous game. I think that variable really makes for super unpredictability. Players will start and practice all week but may not be 100% by next game.
plus with so many sharp squares and information and internet and such these days the lines are super sharp and taking advantage of big dogs and generally fading are over. Same game 20 years ago would be -11 and today is -7 - the value in a solid dog because of an ignorant market is gone.
Tread carefully and BOL this season
Throw math out the window - they only play 16 games so there's no real sample size to base a future game on. Power ratings at team or player level fluctuate dramatically although it is not reported by pro power rankers because it's difficult to know week by week how players feel for the next game after the previous game. I think that variable really makes for super unpredictability. Players will start and practice all week but may not be 100% by next game.
plus with so many sharp squares and information and internet and such these days the lines are super sharp and taking advantage of big dogs and generally fading are over. Same game 20 years ago would be -11 and today is -7 - the value in a solid dog because of an ignorant market is gone.
Tread carefully and BOL this season
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